NYSE$AIN

Albany International Corp · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Albany International reported a decrease in net revenues and gross profit for the fourth quarter of 2024, with a significant decline in Adjusted EBITDA compared to the prior year.

Albany International reported a challenging fourth quarter of 2024 with net revenues down 11.3% and gross profit decreasing by 24.6% compared to the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA saw a substantial 33.4% decline. Despite this, the company generated strong free cash flow and re-initiated its share repurchase program, authorizing a new $250 million program.

  • Net revenues for Q4 2024 were $286.9 million, an 11.3% decrease from the prior year.
  • Gross profit for Q4 2024 was $90.3 million, down 24.6% compared to Q4 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 was $50.0 million, a 33.4% decrease from Q4 2023.
  • The Board authorized a new $250 million share repurchase program, superseding the previous one.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$287M

Previous: $324M-11.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.58

Previous: $1.22-52.5%
Free Cash Flow

$59.3M

No prior period
Net Income

$17.7M

Previous: $30.5M-41.7%
Operating Income

$24.3M

Previous: $41.8M-41.9%
Gross Profit

$90.3M

Previous: $120M-24.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Albany · Revenue · Quarterly

$287M

Q4 2024-11.3%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Albany · $154M total across 1 segment · Q3 2021

  • Machine Clothing
    $154M+11.1%

Forward guidance

Albany International's initial financial guidance for the full-year 2025 projects total company revenue between $1.165 billion and $1.265 billion, with Adjusted EBITDA between $240 million and $260 million. The effective income tax rate is expected to be approximately 31%, and diluted EPS is forecasted between $3.00 and $3.40.

Tailwinds

  • Machine Clothing revenue is projected to be between $705 million and $755 million.
  • Machine Clothing Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $220 million and $240 million.
  • Albany Engineered Composites revenue is projected to be between $460 million and $510 million.
  • Albany Engineered Composites Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $60 million and $70 million.
  • Total company Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $240 million and $260 million.

Headwinds

  • Effective income tax rate is expected to be approximately 31%, an increase from the prior year's Q4 rate.
  • Capital expenditures are projected to be in the range of $85 million to $95 million.
  • Diluted Earnings Per Share is forecasted between $3.00 and $3.40.
  • The company is unable to forecast restructuring expenses, foreign currency revaluation (gains)/losses, and strategic/integration costs due to uncertainty.
  • Income attributable to the noncontrolling interest is expected to be negative.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.4%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

31 / 68 earnings

Positive

+19.1%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-12.5%

Q1 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+0.8%+11.2%
Q4 2025-1.6%-0.5%-10.0%
Q3 2025-1.0%-16.5%-9.1%
Q1 2025-5.4%-3.2%+0.5%
Q4 2024-6.4%-9.3%-12.0%
Q3 2024-5.2%-1.9%+15.7%
Q2 2024+3.6%+5.5%+2.4%
Q1 2024-9.0%-3.4%-2.7%
Q4 2023+3.3%+2.6%+5.5%
Q3 2023-2.3%-5.1%-0.3%
Q2 2023-0.4%+2.0%-0.7%
Q1 2023-5.2%+0.2%-5.4%
Q4 2022-3.8%-4.7%-17.8%
Q3 2022+1.0%+4.3%+17.2%
Q2 2022+5.3%+12.2%+14.1%
Q1 2022-7.7%-5.9%-1.2%
Q4 2021+0.6%-0.1%-1.9%
Q3 2021+1.8%-0.6%+8.2%
Q2 2021+4.9%+5.8%-3.7%
Q1 2021+2.2%+1.5%-2.6%
Q4 2020-5.0%-2.6%+13.8%
Q3 2020-5.5%+1.3%+35.1%
Q2 2020-5.4%-4.1%+3.8%
Q1 2020-0.6%-0.8%+17.2%
Q4 2019+2.5%+3.2%-19.7%
Q3 2019+1.0%+4.2%+3.1%
Q2 2019+9.1%+6.9%+4.6%
Q1 2019+5.4%+8.4%-5.6%
Q4 2018+5.8%+8.6%+5.0%
Q3 2018+6.4%+7.5%+8.8%
Q2 2018+15.8%+17.3%+19.5%
Q1 2018+4.2%+3.4%+9.5%
Q4 2017+3.3%+0.8%+2.7%
Q3 2017+4.1%+1.9%+12.5%
Q2 2017-5.4%-2.5%+0.2%
Q1 2017-2.1%-1.9%+4.4%
Q4 2016+0.7%+0.0%-5.6%
Q3 2016-3.2%-2.6%+16.6%
Q2 2016-3.1%+1.7%+0.0%
Q1 2016-3.4%
Q4 2015+11.7%
Q3 2015+19.1%
Q2 2015-5.0%
Q1 2015-1.4%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014-0.8%
Q2 2014+3.5%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q4 2013+1.5%
Q3 2013-3.0%
Q2 2013-0.7%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2012+3.8%
Q3 2012+4.4%
Q2 2012+10.8%
Q1 2012-12.5%
Q1 2009-3.1%
Q2 2009-3.1%
Q3 2009-3.1%
Q2 2011-3.1%
Q4 2009-3.1%
Q4 2011-3.1%
Q3 2010-1.0%
Q3 2011-1.0%
Q2 2010-8.6%
Q1 2010+7.3%
Q4 2010+7.3%
Q1 2011+7.3%

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