NYSE$AGCO

AGCO Corp · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

AGCO reported fourth quarter results with net sales increasing by approximately 16.1% compared to the fourth quarter of 2020.

AGCO reported net sales of approximately $3.2 billion for the fourth quarter of 2021, an increase of approximately 16.1% compared to the fourth quarter of 2020. Reported net income was $3.75 per share for the fourth quarter of 2021, and adjusted net income was $3.08 per share.

  • Reported fourth quarter regional sales results: Europe/Middle East (“EME”) +4.3%, North America +39.1%, South America +51.6%, Asia/Pacific/Africa (“APA”) +15.0%
  • Constant currency fourth quarter regional sales results: EME +8.7%, North America +38.8%, South America +56.2%, APA +15.4%
  • Fourth quarter regional operating margin performance: EME 12.1%, North America 3.5%, South America 12.0%, APA 13.6%
  • Full-year operating margins and adjusted operating margins improved to 9.0% and 9.1% respectively, in 2021 compared to 6.6% and 7.0% in 2020

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.2B

Previous: $2.72B+17.8%
EPS (adj)

$3.08

Previous: $1.54+100.0%
Capital Expenditures

$71.1M

Previous: $86.8M-18.1%
Free Cash Flow

$413M

Previous: $627M-34.1%
Net Income

$283M

Previous: $135M+109.2%
Operating Income

$264M

Previous: $178M+48.3%
Gross Profit

$683M

Previous: $596M+14.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$889M

Previous: $1.12B-20.6%
Total Assets

$9.18B

Previous: $8.5B+8.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.3M

Previous: $10.8M-41.7%

Revenue & EPS history

AGCO · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.2B

Q4 2021+17.8%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

AGCO’s net sales for 2022 are expected to be approximately $12.3 billion, reflecting improved sales volumes and pricing partially offset by negative foreign currency translation. Based on these assumptions, 2022 earnings per share are targeted at approximately $11.50.

Tailwinds

  • Improved sales volumes
  • Improved pricing
  • Gross margins are projected to improve from 2021 levels
  • Operating margins are projected to improve from 2021 levels
  • Increased engineering and other technology investments to support AGCO’s precision agriculture and digital initiatives

Headwinds

  • Negative foreign currency translation
  • The ability of the Company’s supply chain to deliver parts and components on schedule is currently difficult to predict.
  • AGCO’s results will be impacted if the actual supply chain delivery performance differs from these estimates.
  • Supply chain pressures to persist, presenting challenges throughout the year.
  • Teams are working tirelessly with our suppliers to mitigate the impact of these issues to serve our customers as well as to deliver another strong year of performance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.1%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-12.2%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.9%-3.3%-1.1%
Q4 2025+2.2%+11.6%+1.8%
Q3 2025-0.6%+0.6%-0.2%
Q1 2025+10.1%+11.2%+15.5%
Q4 2024-5.1%-6.9%-0.6%
Q3 2024-3.4%-6.1%-0.4%
Q2 2024-7.5%-12.2%-11.4%
Q1 2024-0.3%+4.4%-4.3%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.9%-6.5%
Q3 2023+4.8%+6.8%+1.2%
Q2 2023-3.2%-2.6%-12.9%
Q1 2023+2.3%+1.9%-10.4%
Q4 2022-0.4%+2.6%+2.0%
Q3 2022-6.9%-2.6%+5.9%
Q2 2022+4.9%+1.6%+6.5%
Q1 2022+5.6%-4.3%+0.8%
Q4 2021+13.1%+10.7%+12.1%
Q3 2021-3.4%-1.4%-7.3%
Q2 2021+5.0%+6.7%+11.3%
Q1 2021-6.6%-2.3%-11.4%
Q4 2020+1.6%+3.3%+13.3%
Q3 2020+7.9%+13.2%+16.1%
Q2 2020+3.5%+7.1%+14.3%
Q1 2020-2.3%+3.0%+23.0%
Q4 2019-8.7%-8.0%-16.1%
Q3 2019-1.1%+0.9%+2.6%
Q2 2019+0.8%-4.2%-10.2%
Q1 2019+6.8%+4.4%-5.0%
Q4 2018-2.3%-4.4%+0.9%
Q3 2018+8.1%+10.2%+12.8%
Q2 2018+2.2%+3.8%-0.5%
Q1 2018-5.5%-4.0%+1.5%
Q4 2017-2.0%-3.7%-6.5%
Q3 2017-2.8%-3.4%-0.9%
Q2 2017+0.2%+0.1%-6.8%
Q1 2017+1.3%-0.3%-0.2%
Q4 2016+1.6%+2.6%-6.2%
Q3 2016-3.3%-1.2%+9.3%
Q2 2016-0.7%-0.1%-2.4%
Q1 2016+0.2%
Q4 2015-7.8%
Q3 2015+9.5%
Q2 2015+6.0%
Q1 2015+6.5%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014-0.7%
Q2 2014-5.2%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013-4.2%
Q3 2013-8.8%
Q2 2013+4.2%
Q1 2013+1.1%
Q4 2012+3.6%
Q3 2012-1.2%
Q2 2012+10.9%
Q1 2012+5.3%
Q4 2008-0.5%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011+2.6%
Q2 2011-12.2%
Q1 2010+2.4%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010+3.7%
Q3 2009+0.2%
Q3 2010+0.2%
Q2 2009-1.3%
Q2 2010-1.3%
Q4 2009-1.3%

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