NASDAQ$WLDN

Willdan Group Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Willdan Group reported an exceptional fourth quarter with revenue, profitability, and cash flow above expectations, aided by end-of-year program expansions, capping a record year and positioning the company for an outstanding 2024.

Willdan Group reported strong Q4 2023 results, with revenue, profitability, and cash flow exceeding expectations due to end-of-year program expansions. The company's performance capped a record year and sets a positive outlook for 2024.

  • Consolidated contract revenue increased by 37.5% to $155.7 million.
  • Net revenue increased by 25.1% to $80.8 million.
  • Net income increased to $8.0 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $(0.4) million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 48.2% to $17.5 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$80.8M

Previous: $64.6M+25.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.80

Previous: $0.36+122.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$17.5M

Previous: $11.8M+48.3%
Adjusted Diluted EPS

$0.80

Previous: $0.36+122.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.34M

Previous: $2.63M-188.9%
Net Income

$8M

Previous: -$425K+1982.4%
Operating Income

$11.7M

Previous: $4.6M+155.5%
Gross Profit

$50.5M

Previous: $43.1M+17.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.26M

Previous: $1.75M-27.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Willdan Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$80.8M

Q4 2023+25.1%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 14 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Willdan Group · $133M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Energy
    $111M+8.2%
  • Engineering and Consulting
    $21.7M+15.6%

Forward guidance

Willdan Group anticipates net revenue between $270 million and $280 million, adjusted diluted EPS between $1.80 and $1.87 per share, and adjusted EBITDA between $48 million and $50 million for fiscal year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Net revenue between $270 million and $280 million.
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS between $1.80 per share and $1.87 per share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA between $48 million and $50 million.
  • Assumes 14.2 million diluted shares.
  • Assumes a 25% effective tax rate.

Headwinds

  • No future acquisitions are assumed.
  • Uncertainty in predicting subcontractor services and other direct costs.
  • Inability to provide a reconciliation of targeted contract revenue to targeted Net Revenues.
  • Uncertainty in predicting interest expense, income tax expense, stock-based compensation, interest accretion, depreciation and amortization, and gain on sale of equipment.
  • Inability to provide reconciliations of targeted net income to targeted Adjusted Net Income and targeted diluted EPS to targeted Adjusted Diluted EPS.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.7%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

38 / 64 earnings

Positive

+29.7%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-25.4%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%+22.6%+28.1%
Q4 2025-25.4%-29.9%-33.3%
Q3 2025+7.1%+10.4%+22.3%
Q1 2025+4.1%+13.0%+40.5%
Q4 2024+29.7%+23.7%+20.1%
Q3 2024-8.4%-9.0%-8.4%
Q2 2024+9.2%+7.3%+12.5%
Q1 2024+9.2%+15.4%+13.3%
Q4 2023+24.0%+31.3%+40.9%
Q3 2023+12.0%+9.8%+20.2%
Q2 2023+23.3%+22.6%+22.9%
Q1 2023+8.3%+17.5%+19.1%
Q4 2022-9.3%-1.0%-12.7%
Q3 2022+27.7%+25.7%+20.6%
Q2 2022-3.6%-3.6%-24.1%
Q1 2022-9.1%-12.7%-10.0%
Q4 2021-13.8%-19.2%-12.2%
Q3 2021+0.6%+6.6%+5.8%
Q2 2021-8.5%-2.7%-2.1%
Q1 2021+2.5%-0.9%+6.3%
Q4 2020+0.4%-8.4%-11.8%
Q3 2020+27.7%+36.1%+33.8%
Q2 2020+10.8%+11.3%+8.7%
Q1 2020-0.4%-6.6%+22.1%
Q4 2019+5.3%-13.0%-39.7%
Q3 2019-22.8%-20.7%-27.4%
Q2 2019-5.9%-7.5%+3.3%
Q1 2019-3.3%-3.8%-21.6%
Q4 2018-5.8%-3.5%-1.6%
Q3 2018+14.6%+23.9%+24.8%
Q2 2018+4.7%+16.7%+10.8%
Q1 2018-2.8%-8.8%+1.4%
Q4 2017+16.4%+14.1%+31.1%
Q3 2017-10.1%-10.6%-13.4%
Q2 2017+0.8%+9.5%-6.4%
Q1 2017+13.2%+10.3%+18.4%
Q4 2016+18.1%+20.1%+14.2%
Q3 2016+5.7%+18.0%+50.1%
Q2 2016+19.9%+28.0%+71.5%
Q1 2016+0.7%
Q4 2015+3.8%
Q3 2015-24.7%
Q2 2015-5.9%
Q1 2015+2.0%
Q4 2014-14.3%
Q3 2014+8.2%
Q2 2014+15.4%
Q1 2014+6.1%
Q4 2013-4.4%
Q3 2013+0.0%
Q2 2013+5.6%
Q1 2013+9.7%
Q4 2012+0.0%
Q3 2012-5.0%
Q2 2012+1.9%
Q1 2011-10.5%
Q1 2012-10.5%
Q4 2011-1.1%
Q1 2010-1.1%
Q3 2010+4.4%
Q3 2011+4.4%
Q2 2010+0.3%
Q4 2010+0.3%
Q2 2011+0.3%

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