NASDAQ$WING

Wingstop Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Wingstop's financial performance for Q3 2022 demonstrated strong growth and strategic execution.

Wingstop Inc. reported a system-wide sales increase of 17.7% to $699.6 million, driven by a 6.9% increase in domestic same store sales. The company opened 40 net new restaurants and saw total revenue rise by 40.9% to $92.7 million. Net income increased by 18.4% to $13.4 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, while adjusted EPS also reached $0.45.

  • System-wide sales increased by 17.7% reaching $699.6 million.
  • Domestic same store sales grew by 6.9%.
  • Total revenue increased by 40.9% to $92.7 million.
  • Net income increased by 18.4% to $13.4 million, with EPS at $0.45.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$92.7M

Previous: $65.8M+40.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.45

Previous: $0.29+55.2%
Domestic AUV

$1.6M

Previous: $1.58M+1.3%
Domestic same store sales growth

6.9%

Previous: 3.9%+76.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$19M

Previous: -$16.5M-14.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.59M

Previous: -$5.25M-6.5%
Net Income

$13.4M

Previous: $11.3M+18.4%
Operating Income

$24.1M

Previous: $20.8M+15.6%
Gross Profit

$76.9M

Previous: $50.6M+52.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$174M

Previous: $50.1M+246.2%
Total Assets

$411M

Previous: $260M+57.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.53M

Previous: $2.05M-25.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Wingstop · Revenue · Quarterly

$92.7M

Q3 2022+40.9%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Wingstop · $92.7M total across 3 segments · Q3 2022

  • Royalty revenue, franchise fees and other
    $40.4M+22.9%
  • Advertising fees
    $32.1M+106.4%
  • Company-owned restaurant sales
    $20.2M+16.0%

Forward guidance

The Company is increasing guidance for diluted earnings per share to between $1.61 and $1.63, previously between $1.55 to $1.57. Additionally, the Company expects the following for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022: •Low-single digit domestic same store sales growth; •Net system-wide restaurant openings of between 225 - 235, previously between 220 - 235 •SG&A of between $68.5 - $70.5 million, previously between $70.0 - $72.0 million; •Stock-based compensation expense of approximately $6.0 million, previously $7.5 - 8.5 million; •Depreciation and amortization of between $10.5 - $11.5 million; and •Interest expense of approximately $22.5 million, previously $23.5 million.

Tailwinds

  • Diluted earnings per share guidance increased to between $1.61 and $1.63.
  • Net system-wide restaurant openings expected to be between 225 - 235.
  • SG&A expected to be between $68.5 - $70.5 million.
  • Stock-based compensation expense of approximately $6.0 million.
  • Depreciation and amortization of between $10.5 - $11.5 million.

Headwinds

  • Low-single digit domestic same store sales growth expected.
  • Interest expense of approximately $22.5 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+2.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.5%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

31 / 49 earnings

Positive

+26.6%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.8%-13.0%-9.3%
Q4 2025+10.8%-1.4%-25.4%
Q3 2025+10.8%+11.3%+22.8%
Q1 2025+14.5%+16.8%+48.2%
Q4 2024-13.4%-22.7%-29.6%
Q3 2024-22.0%-19.5%-10.9%
Q2 2024-1.3%-6.4%+2.5%
Q1 2024-0.8%+2.9%-4.2%
Q4 2023+3.0%+7.7%+9.8%
Q3 2023+8.7%+13.0%+32.8%
Q2 2023-1.7%-0.9%-5.7%
Q1 2023+4.1%+3.6%-0.8%
Q4 2022+4.8%+4.2%+10.9%
Q3 2022+17.5%+17.5%+15.3%
Q2 2022+26.6%+24.3%+16.1%
Q1 2022-1.4%-9.4%-12.4%
Q4 2021-1.5%-15.3%-16.7%
Q3 2021-2.6%+1.1%-7.7%
Q2 2021+2.5%+0.5%+1.1%
Q1 2021+6.7%+8.0%-3.7%
Q4 2020-16.0%-20.9%-20.8%
Q3 2020+1.6%+13.7%+8.3%
Q2 2020+19.1%+22.0%+23.6%
Q1 2020+1.7%+4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2019-0.5%-4.2%-44.4%
Q3 2019-0.3%-8.0%-4.4%
Q2 2019-3.2%-1.3%+4.8%
Q1 2019+3.7%+3.6%+16.8%
Q4 2018+0.6%-1.2%+14.8%
Q3 2018-6.7%-7.1%-4.7%
Q2 2018+20.6%+20.6%+36.4%
Q1 2018+10.7%+12.7%+4.1%
Q4 2017-3.0%-0.1%+3.0%
Q3 2017+10.4%+8.7%+17.5%
Q2 2017+5.2%+6.7%+8.9%
Q1 2017+10.7%+5.8%+0.3%
Q4 2016-3.7%-6.8%+4.7%
Q3 2016+1.5%-1.5%+17.6%
Q2 2016+11.6%+16.8%+17.2%
Q1 2015+2.3%
Q1 2016+1.4%
Q4 2013+0.2%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2015+4.2%
Q3 2014-5.8%
Q3 2015-0.5%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q2 2015+0.7%

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