NASDAQ$WING

Wingstop Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Wingstop reported strong top-line momentum with 13.1% unit growth despite macro inflationary challenges.

Wingstop Inc. announced financial results for the fiscal third quarter ended September 25, 2021, with system-wide sales increasing by 16.7% to $594.3 million and domestic same-store sales growing by 3.9%. The company achieved 49 net new openings. Total revenue increased by 2.8% to $65.8 million, and net income increased by 12.0% to $11.3 million, or $0.38 per diluted share.

  • System-wide sales increased 16.7% to $594.3 million.
  • 49 net new openings in the fiscal third quarter 2021, an increase of 13.1%.
  • Domestic same-store sales increased 3.9%.
  • Total revenue increased 2.8% to $65.8 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$65.8M

Previous: $64M+2.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.29

Previous: $0.30-3.3%
Domestic AUV

$1.58M

Previous: $1.44M+10.0%
Domestic same store sales growth

3.9%

Previous: 25.4%-84.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$16.5M

Previous: -$3.73M-343.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.25M

Previous: $6.35M-182.7%
Net Income

$11.3M

Previous: $10.1M+12.0%
Operating Income

$20.8M

Previous: $14.3M+45.7%
Gross Profit

$50.6M

Previous: $52.2M-3.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$50.1M

Previous: $48.2M+3.9%
Total Assets

$260M

Previous: $220M+18.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.05M

Previous: $3.01M-31.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Wingstop · Revenue · Quarterly

$65.8M

Q3 2021+2.8%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Wingstop · $65.8M total across 3 segments · Q3 2021

  • Royalty revenue, franchise fees and other
    $32.8M+14.0%
  • Company-owned restaurant sales
    $17.4M+11.9%
  • Advertising fees
    $15.6M-20.8%

Forward guidance

The Company expects the following for the fiscal year ending December 25, 2021: •Domestic same store sales growth of 7-8% •Unit growth of 12%+ •Total cost of sales of approximately 80% to 83%, as a percentage of company owned restaurant sales •SG&A of $62.2 to 63.2 million; and •Adjusted SG&A, a non-GAAP measure, of between $52.5 - $53.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Domestic same store sales growth of 7-8%
  • Unit growth of 12%+
  • Total cost of sales of approximately 80% to 83%, as a percentage of company owned restaurant sales
  • SG&A of $62.2 to 63.2 million
  • Adjusted SG&A of between $52.5 - $53.0 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+2.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.5%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

31 / 49 earnings

Positive

+26.6%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.8%-13.0%-9.3%
Q4 2025+10.8%-1.4%-25.4%
Q3 2025+10.8%+11.3%+22.8%
Q1 2025+14.5%+16.8%+48.2%
Q4 2024-13.4%-22.7%-29.6%
Q3 2024-22.0%-19.5%-10.9%
Q2 2024-1.3%-6.4%+2.5%
Q1 2024-0.8%+2.9%-4.2%
Q4 2023+3.0%+7.7%+9.8%
Q3 2023+8.7%+13.0%+32.8%
Q2 2023-1.7%-0.9%-5.7%
Q1 2023+4.1%+3.6%-0.8%
Q4 2022+4.8%+4.2%+10.9%
Q3 2022+17.5%+17.5%+15.3%
Q2 2022+26.6%+24.3%+16.1%
Q1 2022-1.4%-9.4%-12.4%
Q4 2021-1.5%-15.3%-16.7%
Q3 2021-2.6%+1.1%-7.7%
Q2 2021+2.5%+0.5%+1.1%
Q1 2021+6.7%+8.0%-3.7%
Q4 2020-16.0%-20.9%-20.8%
Q3 2020+1.6%+13.7%+8.3%
Q2 2020+19.1%+22.0%+23.6%
Q1 2020+1.7%+4.6%-0.8%
Q4 2019-0.5%-4.2%-44.4%
Q3 2019-0.3%-8.0%-4.4%
Q2 2019-3.2%-1.3%+4.8%
Q1 2019+3.7%+3.6%+16.8%
Q4 2018+0.6%-1.2%+14.8%
Q3 2018-6.7%-7.1%-4.7%
Q2 2018+20.6%+20.6%+36.4%
Q1 2018+10.7%+12.7%+4.1%
Q4 2017-3.0%-0.1%+3.0%
Q3 2017+10.4%+8.7%+17.5%
Q2 2017+5.2%+6.7%+8.9%
Q1 2017+10.7%+5.8%+0.3%
Q4 2016-3.7%-6.8%+4.7%
Q3 2016+1.5%-1.5%+17.6%
Q2 2016+11.6%+16.8%+17.2%
Q1 2015+2.3%
Q1 2016+1.4%
Q4 2013+0.2%
Q1 2014+0.2%
Q4 2015+4.2%
Q3 2014-5.8%
Q3 2015-0.5%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q4 2014+0.4%
Q2 2015+0.7%

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