NASDAQ$VERX

Vertex Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Vertex reported strong third quarter results with solid revenue growth and accelerated cloud adoption.

Vertex announced its Q3 2020 financial results, reporting a total revenue of $94.6 million, which is up by 14.8% year-over-year. The company's software subscription revenue reached $79.8 million, reflecting a 12.3% increase year-over-year. The Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) was $306.5 million, up 15.4% year-over-year. However, the GAAP operating loss was $50.0 million, and the GAAP net loss was $21.0 million.

  • Total revenue was $94.6 million, an increase of 14.8% year-over-year.
  • Software subscription revenue reached $79.8 million, up 12.3% year-over-year.
  • Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) was $306.5 million, reflecting a 15.4% increase year-over-year.
  • Net Revenue Retention Rate (NRR) was 108%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$94.6M

Previous: $82.4M+14.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.15

Previous: $0.09+63.4%
Annual Recurring Revenue

$307M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$15M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$36M

No prior period
Net Income

-$21M

Previous: $11.9M-276.7%
Operating Income

-$50M

Previous: $12.3M-505.7%
Gross Profit

$46.6M

Previous: $55M-15.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$270M

No prior period
Total Assets

$515M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Vertex · Revenue · Quarterly

$94.6M

Q3 2020+14.8%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 10 quarters(90%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vertex · $14.8M total across 1 segment · Q3 2020

  • Services
    $14.8M

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter of 2020, Vertex expects total revenue in the range of $93 million to $95 million, representing growth of 8.0% to 10.4%, and Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $18.5 to $19.5 million, representing an increase of 8.0% to 13.8%. For the full year 2020, the company expects total revenue in the range of $368 million to $370 million, representing annual growth of 14.5% to 15.1%, and Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $78.0 million to $79.0 million, representing annual growth of 14.9% to 16.3%.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue in the range of $93 million to $95 million representing growth of 8.0% to 10.4% for Q4 2020
  • Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $18.5 to $19.5 million, representing an increase of 8.0% to 13.8% for Q4 2020
  • Total revenue in the range of $368 million to $370 million, representing annual growth of 14.5% to 15.1% for full year 2020.
  • Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $78.0 million to $79.0 million, representing annual growth of 14.9% to 16.3% for full year 2020.
  • Delivered new and expanded tax content to increase coverage in Brazil and support VAT COVID-19 changes around the world.

Headwinds

  • Certain non-GAAP measures included in our financial outlook were not reconciled to the comparable GAAP financial measures because the GAAP measures are not accessible on a forward-looking basis.
  • The company is unable to reconcile these forward looking non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures without unreasonable efforts because the Company is currently unable to predict with a reasonable degree of certainty the type and extent of certain items that would be expected to impact GAAP measures for these periods but would not impact the non-GAAP measures.
  • Such items may include stock-based compensation charges, public offering related charges, depreciation and amortization of capitalized software costs and acquired intangible assets, severance, IPO costs, income tax (benefit) expense from S to C Corporation conversion and other items.
  • The unavailable information could have a significant impact on the Company’s GAAP financial results.
  • Given the number of risk factors, uncertainties and assumptions discussed below, actual results may differ materially.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

12 / 24 earnings

Positive

+32.1%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-20.9%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.2%+6.8%+3.9%
Q4 2025-13.8%-14.3%-10.6%
Q3 2025-8.5%-14.8%-13.6%
Q2 2025-18.0%-24.4%-27.3%
Q1 2025-3.1%-3.3%+6.1%
Q4 2024-19.0%-24.4%-16.6%
Q3 2024+17.4%+12.8%+28.8%
Q2 2024-1.4%-1.5%-2.5%
Q1 2024+1.3%+5.1%+13.7%
Q4 2023+32.1%+17.9%+25.0%
Q3 2023+21.3%+23.7%+27.6%
Q2 2023+8.2%+9.9%+23.1%
Q1 2023-5.9%-7.0%+8.7%
Q4 2022+20.2%+21.2%+48.4%
Q3 2022+11.3%+3.1%-7.0%
Q2 2022+10.1%+10.4%+13.6%
Q1 2022-19.7%-5.5%-13.2%
Q4 2021+1.1%-5.6%+16.0%
Q3 2021+1.4%+1.1%-14.2%
Q2 2021-0.2%+3.0%+1.7%
Q1 2021+13.5%+20.4%+16.7%
Q4 2020-20.9%-16.6%-34.3%
Q3 2020-10.2%-8.8%-1.2%
Q2 2020+0.7%-2.0%+8.4%
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019

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