NASDAQ$VCYT

Veracyte Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Veracyte reported record revenue growth in Q4 2024, driven by strong performance in its testing segment, particularly Decipher and Afirma.

Veracyte delivered strong financial results in Q4 2024, with total revenue increasing by 21% year-over-year to $118.6 million. The company's net income reached $5.1 million, compared to a net loss in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $26.1 million, representing 22% of revenue. The testing business continued to drive growth, with a 24% increase in testing revenue and a 25% rise in testing volume. Looking ahead, Veracyte expects continued momentum in 2025, particularly in its Decipher and Afirma product lines.

  • Q4 revenue grew 21% year-over-year to $118.6 million.
  • Testing revenue increased 24% to $112.2 million, with a 25% rise in volume.
  • Net income reached $5.1 million, reversing a loss from the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $26.1 million, or 22% of revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$119M

Previous: $98.2M+20.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.36

Previous: $0.05+620.0%
Total Volume

41.4K

No prior period
Testing Volume

39.2K

Previous: 33.8K+16.0%
Decipher Revenue

$67.4M

No prior period
Afirma Revenue

$41.3M

No prior period
Decipher Volume

22.5K

No prior period
Afirma Volume

16.3K

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$26.1M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

22.0%

No prior period
Net Income

$5.11M

Previous: -$28.3M+118.1%
Operating Income

$4.18M

Previous: -$35.5M+111.8%
Gross Profit

$78.8M

Previous: $64.8M+21.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Veracyte · Revenue · Quarterly

$119M

Q4 2024+20.8%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 15 of 15 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Veracyte · $90.1M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Testing Revenue
    $82M+27.0%
  • Biopharmaceutical and Other
    $4.08M-47.1%
  • Product Revenue
    $4.02M+21.3%

Forward guidance

Veracyte expects 2025 testing revenue to grow by 12-15%, reaching $470-480 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin is forecasted to be approximately 21.6%. The company is also exploring options for its French subsidiary operations, which could impact future revenue guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Expected testing revenue growth of 12-15% in 2025.
  • Strong momentum in Decipher and Afirma product lines.
  • Anticipated adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.6%.
  • Continued investment in R&D to expand diagnostic capabilities.
  • Strategic evaluation of French subsidiary to optimize financial performance.

Headwinds

  • Potential revenue impact from strategic review of Marseille operations.
  • Regulatory and reimbursement uncertainties affecting growth.
  • Foreign exchange fluctuations could impact international sales.
  • Operational costs and inflationary pressures may affect profitability.
  • Increased competition in the genomic diagnostics market.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.4%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

23 / 46 earnings

Positive

+28.8%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-22.4%

Q3 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+24.9%+20.4%+47.7%
Q4 2025+8.4%-1.8%-16.0%
Q3 2025-9.4%-7.3%-3.1%
Q1 2025+1.3%-5.0%-11.0%
Q4 2024-15.0%-11.7%-21.0%
Q3 2024+3.9%+8.2%+22.8%
Q2 2024+28.8%+39.4%+41.8%
Q1 2024-3.8%+2.2%+2.3%
Q4 2023-9.6%-3.7%-14.1%
Q3 2023-2.3%-6.3%+5.6%
Q2 2023+7.9%+1.5%+2.2%
Q1 2023+8.2%+6.7%+24.2%
Q4 2022+5.3%+6.6%-3.3%
Q3 2022+17.3%+19.8%+41.1%
Q2 2022-3.0%+8.1%-23.3%
Q1 2022+4.0%-14.6%-15.6%
Q4 2021+4.1%-8.1%+6.8%
Q3 2021-9.5%-5.2%-22.4%
Q2 2021+13.0%+13.1%+21.0%
Q1 2021-10.1%-17.6%-19.9%
Q4 2020-6.5%-15.5%-30.4%
Q3 2020+10.3%+23.9%+58.9%
Q2 2020+18.2%+6.7%+9.4%
Q1 2020-0.1%-2.6%-4.4%
Q4 2019-2.3%+3.7%+3.3%
Q3 2019-15.6%-19.0%-1.8%
Q2 2019-2.8%-13.8%-7.3%
Q1 2019+9.1%+6.6%+8.5%
Q4 2018+9.1%+2.5%+20.1%
Q3 2018+20.4%+47.9%+30.6%
Q2 2018+8.6%+4.0%+15.6%
Q1 2018-2.1%+0.5%+26.2%
Q4 2017+1.0%+0.3%-6.7%
Q3 2017-22.4%-24.8%-24.8%
Q2 2017-2.1%-1.3%-4.8%
Q1 2017-0.5%-8.1%-0.5%
Q4 2016+12.0%+17.8%+18.5%
Q3 2016-1.9%+5.3%+19.2%
Q2 2016-0.2%+1.2%+14.4%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015-8.8%
Q3 2015-1.0%
Q2 2015-7.9%
Q1 2015+7.2%
Q4 2014-10.9%
Q2 2013+5.8%
Q4 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012

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