NASDAQ$TXRH

Texas Roadhouse Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced third quarter 2023 results, demonstrating double-digit sales growth and strategic expansion.

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. reported a strong third quarter with double-digit sales growth driven by increased guest counts. The company is on track to open a record number of systemwide locations this year and has accelerated its 2024 development pipeline.

  • Comparable restaurant sales increased 8.2% at company restaurants and 7.8% at domestic franchise restaurants.
  • Average weekly sales at company restaurants were $138,668, including $17,058 in to-go sales.
  • Restaurant margin dollars increased 7.1% to $162.8 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased 2.6%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.12B

Previous: $993M+12.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.95

Previous: $0.93+2.2%
Comparable Sales Growth

8.2%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$244M

Previous: -$65.6M-271.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$178M

Previous: -$3.3M-5302.2%
Net Income

$65.6M

Previous: $62.3M+5.3%
Operating Income

$73.9M

Previous: $75.3M-1.9%
Gross Profit

-$952M

Previous: -$835M-14.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$69.3M

Previous: $185M-62.6%
Total Assets

$2.55B

Previous: $2.37B+7.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.52M

Previous: $9.58M-11.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Texas Roadhouse · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.12B

Q3 2023+12.9%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Texas Roadhouse provided expectations for 2023, including positive comparable restaurant sales growth, store week growth of approximately 6%, commodity cost inflation of 5% to 6%, and wage and other labor inflation of 6% to 7%.

Tailwinds

  • Positive comparable restaurant sales growth including the benefit of menu pricing actions
  • Store week growth of approximately 6% including the impact of franchise locations acquired
  • As many as 27 Texas Roadhouse and Bubba’s 33 company restaurant openings
  • Effective income tax rate of approximately 13%
  • Comparable restaurant sales at company restaurants for the first four weeks of our fourth quarter of fiscal 2023 increased 9.2% compared to 2022.

Headwinds

  • Commodity cost inflation of 5% to 6%
  • Wage and other labor inflation of 6% to 7%
  • Total capital expenditures of approximately $340 million.
  • Restaurant margin, as a percentage of restaurant and other sales, decreased 80 basis points to 14.6% as commodity inflation of 4.2%, wage and other labor inflation of 5.6% and higher general liability insurance expenses were partially offset by higher sales
  • Higher depreciation and amortization and higher general and administrative expenses

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.2%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-13.1%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+12.2%+13.4%+7.8%
Q4 2025-2.0%-0.4%-6.4%
Q3 2025+2.9%+4.3%+3.4%
Q1 2025+4.8%+9.6%+13.1%
Q4 2024-1.4%+2.4%-1.0%
Q3 2024+4.7%+7.9%+8.9%
Q2 2024+2.4%+5.1%+1.9%
Q1 2024+4.2%+5.7%+9.9%
Q4 2023+11.6%+11.2%+15.0%
Q3 2023+1.3%+5.3%+16.8%
Q2 2023-2.9%-2.1%-7.5%
Q1 2023-3.9%-4.5%-1.0%
Q4 2022+0.0%+0.2%+1.0%
Q3 2022+1.5%+1.8%+2.0%
Q2 2022+2.4%+2.0%+6.1%
Q1 2022+3.0%-2.3%-1.6%
Q4 2021-1.6%+4.3%-6.6%
Q3 2021+0.4%-0.8%-3.4%
Q2 2021-6.7%-10.2%-3.3%
Q1 2021+6.2%+6.1%-0.1%
Q4 2020+3.3%+6.1%+12.5%
Q3 2020+3.2%-0.0%+8.3%
Q2 2020+6.2%+7.6%+14.9%
Q1 2020-2.7%+6.1%+29.2%
Q4 2019+10.0%+1.8%-44.8%
Q3 2019+21.2%+16.3%+16.7%
Q2 2019+0.7%+1.8%-8.6%
Q1 2019-10.9%-9.7%-14.2%
Q4 2018-4.3%-4.5%-7.0%
Q3 2018-6.9%-7.5%-0.1%
Q2 2018-7.4%-6.7%-1.4%
Q1 2018-1.0%-1.7%-2.1%
Q4 2017-2.3%-1.2%-0.3%
Q3 2017-2.3%-5.0%-0.1%
Q2 2017+3.4%+1.4%-1.8%
Q1 2017+9.4%+7.5%+4.4%
Q4 2016-13.1%-12.5%-9.8%
Q3 2016-2.5%-4.3%+17.8%
Q2 2016-11.5%-5.6%-6.2%
Q1 2016+7.2%
Q4 2015+13.3%
Q3 2015+4.8%
Q2 2015-1.4%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q4 2014+3.9%
Q3 2014+7.2%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014-3.0%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013-0.9%
Q2 2013-0.6%
Q1 2013+11.6%
Q4 2012+8.9%
Q3 2012+5.4%
Q2 2012-3.9%
Q1 2012-4.1%
Q4 2009-2.4%
Q4 2011-2.4%
Q3 2010+1.0%
Q3 2011+1.0%
Q2 2010-9.6%
Q2 2011-9.6%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q4 2010-0.6%
Q1 2011-0.6%

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