NASDAQ$TTD

Trade Desk Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Revenue decreased due to the impact of COVID-19, but ad spend improved as the quarter progressed.

The Trade Desk reported a decrease in revenue for Q2 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but saw improvement in ad spend as the quarter progressed, with June ending strongly with year-over-year growth.

  • The advertising industry experienced a pause early in the second quarter due to COVID-19 uncertainty, but ad spend improved as the quarter progressed.
  • June ended strongly with ad spend growth turning positive on a year-over-year basis.
  • Advertisers value the agility and flexibility that The Trade Desk's platform provides, along with the ability to measure the ROI of every advertising dollar.
  • Connected TV, Mobile Video and Audio spend grew 40%, 15% and 20% respectively year over year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$139M

Previous: $160M-12.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $0.10-10.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$37.7M

Previous: -$17M-121.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$12.6M

Previous: $10.8M-216.8%
Net Income

$25.1M

Previous: $27.8M-9.7%
Operating Income

-$15.8M

Previous: $31.9M-149.4%
Gross Profit

$97.2M

Previous: $125M-22.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$426M

Previous: $154M+177.6%
Total Assets

$1.85B

Previous: $1.24B+49.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$23.9M

Previous: $21.1M+13.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Trade Desk · Revenue · Quarterly

$139M

Q2 2020-12.9%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Assuming that the economy continues to recover and there are no major COVID-19 related setbacks, the company estimates revenue growth in Q3 to increase 8 to 10 percent on a year-over-year basis and adjusted EBITDA to be at least $30 million.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue range between $177 million and $181 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA of at least $30 million
  • Economy continues to recover
  • No major COVID-19 related setbacks
  • Revenue growth in Q3 to increase 8 to 10 percent on a year-over-year basis

Headwinds

  • Business impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Facing a period of higher uncertainty in business outlook
  • Business performance could be impacted by issues beyond control
  • Changing economic conditions
  • Shelter-in-place orders that may or may not occur

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+7.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+7.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.9%

Avg return

30 days after

69%

29 / 42 earnings

Positive

+46.8%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-33.0%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-17.0%-12.2%-16.9%
Q4 2025+12.0%-0.6%-15.4%
Q3 2025-3.2%-4.6%-12.7%
Q1 2025+18.7%+32.1%+19.3%
Q4 2024-33.0%-34.5%-55.9%
Q3 2024+0.3%+5.1%+11.5%
Q2 2024+16.9%+15.8%+18.1%
Q1 2024-1.1%-2.4%+5.1%
Q4 2023+19.7%+11.1%+3.2%
Q3 2023-18.8%-14.2%-10.4%
Q2 2023-9.6%-11.8%-1.7%
Q1 2023+0.6%-0.2%+16.3%
Q4 2022+26.3%+20.8%+17.2%
Q3 2022+9.5%+10.1%+10.2%
Q2 2022+35.1%+35.5%+17.1%
Q1 2022-3.7%+15.4%+16.7%
Q4 2021-1.4%-3.1%-14.5%
Q3 2021+41.6%+46.4%+42.8%
Q2 2021+4.2%-3.7%-14.0%
Q1 2021-22.2%-21.8%-11.5%
Q4 2020+7.0%-6.3%-13.2%
Q3 2020+29.6%+11.8%+42.9%
Q2 2020-0.6%-10.1%-11.0%
Q1 2020+1.1%-0.5%+13.5%
Q4 2019+7.6%+4.0%-25.2%
Q3 2019+0.6%+15.1%+27.2%
Q2 2019+5.7%+2.9%-9.4%
Q1 2019-17.4%-16.6%+10.3%
Q4 2018+31.7%+30.3%+35.2%
Q3 2018-7.1%-15.0%+1.3%
Q2 2018+39.9%+45.6%+55.4%
Q1 2018+46.8%+55.7%+72.0%
Q4 2017+20.3%+11.5%+7.1%
Q3 2017-17.3%-23.7%-26.6%
Q2 2017+0.9%-5.5%+4.1%
Q1 2016+29.4%+30.3%+28.2%
Q1 2017+29.4%+30.3%+28.2%
Q2 2016+2.2%+10.5%+24.8%
Q4 2016+2.2%+10.5%+24.8%
Q3 2016+10.9%+10.0%+19.7%
Q4 2015+10.9%+10.0%+19.7%
Q3 2015+10.9%+10.0%+19.7%
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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