NASDAQ$SUPN

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong Q3 2020 financial results with increased net product sales and operating earnings.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals reported Q3 2020 total revenues of $155.1 million, including net product sales of $152.1 million. Operating earnings were $56.1 million, and net earnings were $40.0 million, or $0.74 per diluted share. The company increased its full-year 2020 net product sales guidance range to $500 million to $525 million and operating earnings guidance range to $145 million to $160 million.

  • Total revenues for Q3 2020 reached $155.1 million, with net product sales contributing $152.1 million and royalty revenues $3.0 million.
  • Operating earnings for Q3 2020 amounted to $56.1 million.
  • The company is preparing to launch SPN-812 in January 2021, pending FDA approval.
  • NDA for SPN-830 (Apomorphine infusion pump) was submitted to the FDA in September 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$155M

Previous: $102M+51.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.74

Previous: $0.54+37.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.23M

Previous: -$707K-357.4%
Free Cash Flow

$36.8M

Previous: $28.2M+30.6%
Net Income

$40M

Previous: $28.9M+38.6%
Operating Income

$56.1M

Previous: $39.7M+41.3%
Gross Profit

$134M

Previous: $97.3M+37.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$204M

Previous: $117M+74.8%
Total Assets

$1.51B

Previous: $1.11B+36.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.49M

Previous: $3.91M+14.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Supernus · Revenue · Quarterly

$155M

Q3 2020+51.9%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Supernus · $111M total across 2 segments · Q3 2020

  • Trokendi XR
    $82.9M+7.2%
  • Oxtellar XR
    $28.3M+24.7%

Forward guidance

Supernus Pharmaceuticals revised its full-year 2020 financial guidance, inclusive of the impact of acquiring the CNS portfolio of US WorldMeds.

Tailwinds

  • Net product sales are expected to be in the range of $500 million to $525 million.
  • Operating earnings (GAAP) are projected to be between $145 million and $160 million, including amortization of intangible assets.
  • Commercial launch of SPN-812 is on track for January 2021, pending FDA approval.
  • Topline data from the SPN-812 Phase III trial in adult ADHD patients is expected in Q1 2021.
  • The company expects to launch SPN-830 in the fourth quarter of 2021, if approved by the FDA.

Headwinds

  • Research and development expenses are expected to be approximately $75 million.
  • Selling, general, and administrative expenses are estimated to be between $215 million and $225 million.
  • Amortization of intangible assets is projected to be $16 million.
  • Balance of cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities and long term marketable securities decreased from $938.8 million at December 31, 2019 to $740.1 million as of September 30, 2020.
  • There are risks and uncertainties related to the company's ability to receive regulatory approvals and commercialize product candidates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

27 / 56 earnings

Positive

+22.3%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-29.9%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.2%+6.1%-8.1%
Q4 2025+7.9%+0.7%+0.1%
Q3 2025-16.9%-20.4%-19.9%
Q1 2025-4.6%-0.9%+2.2%
Q4 2024-2.7%-3.3%-1.6%
Q3 2024+2.3%+7.7%+9.4%
Q2 2024+14.3%+15.0%+23.1%
Q1 2024-3.7%-4.7%-15.7%
Q4 2023+5.4%+5.1%+15.6%
Q3 2023+9.6%+14.5%+12.8%
Q2 2023-5.3%-1.1%-6.8%
Q1 2023-0.2%-7.2%-3.3%
Q4 2022+3.4%+4.8%-4.5%
Q3 2022-5.9%+0.9%+2.5%
Q2 2022+0.4%-3.1%+7.4%
Q1 2022-6.0%-2.5%+2.7%
Q4 2021-3.1%-8.7%-16.5%
Q3 2021+5.0%+11.6%+1.1%
Q2 2021-1.1%-4.3%+2.1%
Q1 2021-2.7%-2.5%-0.7%
Q4 2020-13.2%-12.1%-11.3%
Q3 2020+22.3%+28.4%+18.5%
Q2 2020-6.0%-12.5%-9.7%
Q1 2020+4.7%+4.3%+7.8%
Q4 2019-18.5%-6.6%-17.7%
Q3 2019-29.9%-23.6%-22.8%
Q2 2019-11.8%-11.5%-14.0%
Q1 2019-7.0%-5.0%-20.3%
Q4 2018+12.8%+2.2%-0.6%
Q3 2018+8.4%+8.6%-2.8%
Q2 2018-8.1%-12.9%-13.6%
Q1 2018+6.3%+26.5%+20.2%
Q4 2017+0.0%+1.9%+17.7%
Q3 2017-13.4%-11.4%-13.3%
Q2 2017+3.1%+4.1%+17.2%
Q1 2017+0.0%+4.2%+28.7%
Q4 2016-2.4%-1.1%+9.5%
Q3 2016+5.1%+10.2%+11.1%
Q2 2016+3.2%+4.0%-0.9%
Q1 2016-5.7%
Q4 2015+7.8%
Q3 2015+6.0%
Q2 2015-8.9%
Q1 2015-7.1%
Q4 2014+11.1%
Q3 2014+4.1%
Q2 2014+7.0%
Q1 2014-3.7%
Q4 2013+9.8%
Q3 2013+9.5%
Q2 2013+6.8%
Q1 2013+10.0%
Q4 2012-22.6%
Q3 2012+2.8%
Q2 2012-0.1%
Q1 2012-5.9%
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010

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