NASDAQ$STRA

Strategic Education Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong results, demonstrating resilience in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. Revenue and income from operations increased.

Strategic Education, Inc. reported a 7.6% increase in revenue and a significant increase in income from operations for the first quarter of 2020. The company is adapting to the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic by ensuring student and employee well-being and providing financial relief to impacted students and partners.

  • Revenue increased by 7.6% to $265.3 million.
  • Income from operations was $44.0 million, representing 16.6% of revenue.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased to $1.60 from $0.52.
  • Strayer University and Capella University saw increased student enrollment.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$265M

Previous: $247M+7.6%
EPS (adj)

$2.11

Previous: $1.66+27.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$14.3M

Previous: -$8.76M-62.8%
Free Cash Flow

$21M

Previous: $2.74M+664.6%
Net Income

$35.2M

Previous: $11.5M+206.4%
Operating Income

$44M

Previous: $25.7M+70.9%
Gross Profit

$132M

Previous: $112M+17.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$443M

Previous: $352M+25.7%
Total Assets

$1.78B

Previous: $1.78B+0.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.03M

Previous: $3.01M+0.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Strategic Education · Revenue · Quarterly

$265M

Q1 2020+7.6%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Strategic Education · $223M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • U.S. Higher Education
    $202M+8.8%
  • Education Technology Services
    $20.8M+26.7%

Forward guidance

Strategic Education expects COVID-19 to negatively impact revenue-per-student and bad debt expense over the next three to four quarters. They anticipate some expense savings in 2020 to partially offset this decline.

Tailwinds

  • The company maintains over $500 million in cash and $250 million of undrawn credit.
  • Projected continued quarterly cash generation.
  • Existing financial resources are sufficient to support ongoing operations.
  • The company does not plan to seek COVID-19 related financial support from the Federal government.
  • Capital expenditures for 2020 are now expected to be at the lower end of our previous estimate of between $40 million and $45 million.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 crisis will likely negatively impact revenue-per-student.
  • COVID-19 crisis will likely negatively impact bad debt expense over the next three to four quarters.
  • The Company also decided to pause planned 2020 new campus expansion for campus projects that have not yet started.
  • Estimate to open at least four to five new campuses in 2020, with the potential for an additional four to five new campuses later in the year, pending improved visibility into U.S. recovery from the COVID-19 crisis.
  • Additional reserves to account for projected deterioration in collections performance in 2020 due to the COVID-19 crisis.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+38.1%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-23.2%

Q3 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-13.7%-7.0%-6.1%
Q4 2025+4.8%+4.1%+3.9%
Q3 2025+0.9%+7.4%+7.2%
Q1 2025-0.2%+2.5%+9.1%
Q4 2024-18.5%-16.9%-12.5%
Q3 2024+3.6%+1.6%+1.8%
Q2 2024-19.8%-22.0%-20.1%
Q1 2024+20.3%+14.1%+14.1%
Q4 2023+14.3%+11.2%+9.5%
Q3 2023+5.1%+6.5%+8.4%
Q2 2023+7.7%+7.6%+12.3%
Q1 2023-4.8%-10.6%-14.1%
Q4 2022-8.4%-7.4%-7.0%
Q3 2022+11.9%+17.1%+20.5%
Q2 2022+4.8%+3.1%-3.2%
Q1 2022-7.6%-7.2%-4.2%
Q4 2021+17.9%+20.8%+34.8%
Q3 2021-8.2%-11.9%-23.0%
Q2 2021+11.1%+9.3%+6.4%
Q1 2021-9.3%-6.3%-14.4%
Q4 2020-4.4%-12.6%+2.9%
Q3 2020-12.5%-10.0%-6.8%
Q2 2020-17.9%-26.4%-36.6%
Q1 2020+6.1%-0.5%+13.0%
Q4 2019+2.0%+6.2%-13.6%
Q3 2019+9.7%+13.3%+19.4%
Q2 2019-2.8%-8.1%-7.0%
Q1 2019+13.4%+16.5%+22.8%
Q4 2018+8.7%+6.5%+0.4%
Q3 2018+4.5%+6.2%-10.9%
Q2 2018+7.3%+4.5%+17.8%
Q1 2018+3.6%+0.9%+5.6%
Q4 2017+0.0%+8.4%+12.7%
Q3 2017+2.2%+2.4%+7.5%
Q2 2017-12.0%-12.4%-11.6%
Q1 2017+5.0%+5.5%+2.8%
Q4 2016-3.6%-6.1%-1.8%
Q3 2016+23.8%+24.6%+58.4%
Q2 2016-8.1%-5.9%+1.6%
Q1 2016-8.7%
Q4 2015-16.7%
Q3 2015-8.9%
Q2 2015+33.7%
Q1 2015-2.1%
Q4 2014-10.4%
Q3 2014+9.8%
Q2 2014+9.3%
Q1 2014+20.7%
Q4 2013+38.1%
Q3 2013-23.2%
Q2 2013-10.5%
Q1 2013-6.0%
Q4 2012-18.8%
Q3 2012-17.2%
Q2 2012-0.5%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011-3.9%
Q1 2010-1.6%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q4 2008-0.9%
Q3 2010+9.1%
Q3 2009+9.1%
Q2 2009+1.8%
Q4 2009+1.8%
Q2 2010+1.8%

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