NASDAQ$SLP

Simulations Plus Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong fourth quarter and full-year fiscal 2022 financial results.

Simulations Plus reported a strong fourth quarter with a 19% increase in total revenue to $11.7 million. Full-year revenue grew by 16% to $53.9 million, and diluted earnings per share increased by 28% to $0.60.

  • Total revenue increased 19% to $11.7 million.
  • Software revenue increased 10% to $5.9 million, representing 50% of total revenue.
  • Services revenue increased 30% to $5.8 million, representing 50% of total revenue.
  • Net income was $1.0 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, compared to $0.3 million, or $0.01 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$11.7M

Previous: $9.84M+18.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.05

Previous: $0.01+400.0%
Capital Expenditures

$79K

Previous: $661K-88.0%
Free Cash Flow

$7.85M

Previous: $7.61M+3.1%
Net Income

$1M

Previous: $300K+233.3%
Operating Income

$694K

Previous: $200K+247.0%
Gross Profit

$9.1M

Previous: $7.1M+28.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$51.6M

Previous: $124M-58.3%
Total Assets

$188M

Previous: $180M+4.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$758K

Previous: $709K+6.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Simulations Plus · Revenue · Quarterly

$11.7M

Q4 2022+18.9%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Simulations Plus · $11.7M total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Software
    $5.9M+9.3%
  • Services
    $5.8M+31.8%

Forward guidance

Simulations Plus provides Fiscal 2023 guidance for total revenue of $59.3 million to $62.0 million (+10% to 15%) and diluted earnings per share of $0.63-$0.67 (5-10%).

Tailwinds

  • Expected revenue growth rate for fiscal 2023 is in line with long-term organic growth rate target of 10-15%.
  • Full-year renewal rates are expected to be in-line with historical patterns.
  • Company expects to invest in employee growth, recruiting and retention.
  • Medium to long-term, expect to see a return to higher levels of operating leverage and margins.
  • Deliver on long-term organic revenue growth targets of 10-15%.

Headwinds

  • Expect seasonal revenue patterns to shift with changes in renewal patterns.
  • Impact of somewhat slower renewal patterns on the part of clients is expected to continue into fiscal 2023.
  • Sets up for lower-than-normal first fiscal-quarter revenue growth, roughly flat year-over-year.
  • Seeing a competitive market for modeling and simulation professionals.
  • Expect increased operating expense levels in fiscal 2023 as we digest these incremental costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

39 / 65 earnings

Positive

+23.2%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-24.2%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+3.9%+12.7%+28.4%
Q1 2026+8.5%+3.4%-28.1%
Q4 2025+14.2%+14.8%+6.5%
Q3 2025-0.5%+1.3%+9.8%
Q2 2025+7.8%+7.3%+39.9%
Q1 2025-3.1%-2.9%+22.3%
Q4 2024-9.6%-9.8%-8.6%
Q3 2024-13.6%-15.8%-13.4%
Q2 2024+23.2%+28.0%+21.0%
Q1 2024-8.2%-12.2%-15.3%
Q4 2023-16.2%-14.9%-0.4%
Q3 2023-3.5%+4.3%+16.3%
Q2 2023-0.3%+2.2%-3.7%
Q1 2023-6.1%-4.4%+14.7%
Q4 2022-12.7%-10.6%-11.1%
Q3 2022+8.5%+7.4%+31.1%
Q2 2022+6.9%+2.6%-10.4%
Q1 2022+4.7%+1.4%-14.8%
Q4 2021+16.9%+28.3%+29.6%
Q3 2021-17.4%-18.6%-13.2%
Q2 2021-2.5%+0.7%-12.5%
Q1 2021-13.6%-13.5%+0.2%
Q4 2020-8.4%-13.5%-11.5%
Q3 2020+1.0%+0.8%+6.5%
Q2 2020+4.4%+10.2%+16.8%
Q1 2020+9.1%+6.8%+11.5%
Q4 2019+3.7%+5.5%+0.1%
Q3 2019+10.4%+12.8%+34.4%
Q2 2019+11.8%+8.1%+17.4%
Q1 2019-7.1%-5.3%-4.5%
Q4 2018+0.3%-0.2%-6.0%
Q3 2018-24.2%-23.4%-22.5%
Q2 2018+9.8%+10.1%+24.5%
Q1 2018+1.9%+5.2%+1.3%
Q4 2017-4.5%-4.2%-2.1%
Q3 2017+5.8%+8.5%+8.5%
Q2 2017-2.2%+0.0%+9.4%
Q1 2017+4.2%+4.7%+1.6%
Q4 2016+2.9%+4.6%+10.9%
Q3 2016+0.5%+3.2%+5.4%
Q2 2016-0.8%
Q1 2016+1.5%
Q4 2015+4.6%
Q3 2015+12.6%
Q2 2015+0.7%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014-2.0%
Q3 2014+5.7%
Q2 2014+1.0%
Q1 2014+6.3%
Q4 2013-6.1%
Q3 2013+2.8%
Q2 2013+1.0%
Q1 2013-1.6%
Q4 2012+0.9%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q3 2011-0.7%
Q2 2012+1.1%
Q1 2012+2.0%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q4 2011+2.0%
Q2 2011+2.0%
Q4 2010+3.1%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q2 2009-0.9%

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