NASDAQ$SHOP

Shopify Inc. · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Shopify reported Q4 2025 revenue of $3.7B (+31% YoY) with a 19% free cash flow margin.

Revenue was $3.67 billion in Q4 (+31% YoY) with gross profit of $1.69 billion and operating income of $631 million. Free cash flow was $715 million (19% margin). FY 2025 revenue grew 30% to $11.6 billion with $2.0 billion of free cash flow. The board authorized a $2 billion share repurchase program.

  • Q4 revenue $3.67B (+31%); GMV $123.8B.
  • Free cash flow $715M (19% margin).
  • FY revenue $11.6B; FY FCF $2.0B.
  • $2B buyback authorization announced.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.67B

Previous: $2.81B+30.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.48

Previous: $0.44+9.1%
Net Income

$743M

Previous: $1.29B-42.5%
Operating Income

$631M

Previous: $465M+35.7%
Gross Profit

$1.69B

Previous: $1.35B+25.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Shopify · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.67B

Q4 2025+30.6%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Shopify · $1.74B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Merchant Solutions
    $1.34B+29.8%
  • Subscription Solutions
    $400M+13.9%

Forward guidance

Q1 2026 outlook: revenue growth low-thirties %, gross profit high-twenties %, opex 37–38% of revenue, FCF margin low-to-mid teens.

Tailwinds

  • Ten consecutive quarters of double-digit FCF margins.
  • International revenue +36%; Shop Pay GMV +62%.
  • AI platform investments (Catalog, Sidekick, UCP).

Headwinds

  • Q1 FCF margin guided below Q1 2025.
  • Stock-based compensation ~$140M in Q1.
  • Net other income volatility from investments.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

+1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.8%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

22 / 41 earnings

Positive

+34.1%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-25.8%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.4%-13.6%-9.1%
Q4 2025-6.7%-11.4%-3.4%
Q3 2025-6.8%-11.9%-6.1%
Q2 2025+21.9%+16.1%+15.6%
Q1 2025-0.6%+13.9%+17.9%
Q4 2024+3.1%+7.0%-24.4%
Q3 2023+26.0%+26.4%+51.4%
Q2 2023-12.5%-14.6%-1.1%
Q1 2023+34.1%+38.1%+26.0%
Q4 2022-10.4%-13.0%-10.8%
Q3 2022+17.7%+19.7%+26.6%
Q2 2022+13.8%+15.5%+2.8%
Q1 2022-22.2%-30.9%-27.2%
Q4 2021-25.8%-26.2%-12.3%
Q3 2021+7.8%+8.5%+15.8%
Q2 2021-1.9%-1.1%-1.5%
Q1 2021+6.6%-3.0%+7.4%
Q4 2020-6.1%-6.3%-24.0%
Q3 2020-9.9%-8.3%+0.7%
Q2 2020+6.5%+10.0%+5.8%
Q1 2020+5.3%+9.4%+6.1%
Q4 2019+8.2%+7.8%-20.7%
Q3 2019-1.8%-2.5%+4.9%
Q2 2019+4.5%+4.7%+21.2%
Q1 2019+8.6%+16.9%+22.7%
Q4 2018-0.7%+2.9%+20.2%
Q3 2018+8.7%+5.6%+10.3%
Q2 2018-7.9%-4.2%-2.2%
Q1 2018-6.6%+1.9%+10.8%
Q4 2017-0.0%+3.8%+7.0%
Q3 2017-12.0%-9.7%-5.1%
Q2 2017+6.5%+4.2%+20.1%
Q1 2017+5.8%+10.7%+20.9%
Q4 2016+8.8%+9.8%+19.5%
Q3 2016-0.9%-1.5%-4.2%
Q2 2016+9.9%+14.3%+26.5%
Q1 2016-7.2%
Q4 2015+0.4%
Q3 2015+0.6%
Q2 2015+9.5%
Q1 2015-7.4%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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