NASDAQ$SHOO

Steven Madden Ltd. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Steve Madden reported earnings results at the high end of its guidance range for Q4 2024 and full year 2024.

Steve Madden announced its Q4 and full year 2024 results, with revenue increasing 15% and Adjusted diluted EPS increasing 9% for the year. The company is cautious on the near-term outlook due to new tariffs but anticipates growth with the pending acquisition of Kurt Geiger.

  • Revenue for the wholesale business increased by 13.6% compared to Q4 2023.
  • Wholesale footwear revenue increased by 1.0%, while wholesale accessories/apparel revenue increased by 35.4%.
  • Direct-to-consumer revenue increased by 8.4% compared to Q4 2023, driven by increases in both brick-and-mortar and e-commerce businesses.
  • The company ended the year with 291 Company-operated brick-and-mortar retail stores and five e-commerce websites, as well as 42 Company-operated concessions in international markets.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$582M

Previous: $517M+12.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.55

Previous: $0.61-9.8%
Gross Profit Margin

40.4%

No prior period
Adjusted Gross Margin

40.4%

No prior period
Operating Expenses %

32.9%

No prior period
Adjusted OpEx %

31.4%

No prior period
Operating Margin

8.0%

No prior period
Adjusted Operating Margin

9.0%

No prior period
Wholesale Gross Margin

30.5%

No prior period
Adj. Wholesale Margin

30.5%

No prior period
DTC Gross Margin

62.0%

No prior period
Adj. DTC Margin

62.0%

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Steve Madden · Revenue · Quarterly

$582M

Q4 2024+12.6%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Steve Madden · $116M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Direct-to-Consumer
    $116M-1.8%

Forward guidance

For 2025, the Company expects revenue will increase 17% to 19% compared to 2024. The Company expects diluted EPS will be in the range of $2.30 to $2.40. This outlook assumes the Kurt Geiger acquisition closes on May 1, 2025.

Headwinds

  • The company is cautious on the near-term outlook, as it faces meaningful headwinds in 2025, most notably the impact of new tariffs on goods imported into the United States.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

40 / 65 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-10.2%

Q3 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.4%-2.8%+10.9%
Q4 2025-6.5%-4.7%-11.4%
Q3 2025+13.7%+14.8%+33.6%
Q1 2025+16.4%+31.2%+24.0%
Q4 2024-8.0%-19.6%-29.7%
Q3 2024+0.9%+1.7%+1.2%
Q2 2024-2.1%-6.5%+1.4%
Q1 2024-0.7%+0.2%+10.0%
Q4 2023-1.9%-1.9%-3.1%
Q3 2023-1.5%+0.0%+15.5%
Q2 2023+9.6%+7.0%+6.2%
Q1 2023+0.7%+0.1%+1.7%
Q4 2022+6.4%+8.2%+4.1%
Q3 2022-2.1%+3.5%+17.5%
Q2 2022-3.5%-1.1%-7.6%
Q1 2022+0.9%+0.7%-10.0%
Q4 2021+5.1%+0.5%-2.1%
Q3 2021+11.1%+11.3%+2.7%
Q2 2021+1.2%+0.0%-4.6%
Q1 2021-4.7%-1.1%-2.6%
Q4 2020+2.5%-6.6%+1.6%
Q3 2020+6.3%+3.7%+43.0%
Q2 2020+1.5%-5.3%-4.3%
Q1 2020-8.8%-2.8%-11.4%
Q4 2019-6.2%-7.5%-31.4%
Q3 2019+14.7%+15.2%+19.9%
Q2 2019+2.3%-9.0%-1.6%
Q1 2019+5.4%+6.9%-9.7%
Q4 2018+0.6%+0.9%+3.2%
Q3 2018+7.3%+11.3%+8.1%
Q2 2018+2.6%+4.0%+7.1%
Q1 2018-0.1%+2.3%+9.5%
Q4 2017-0.7%-1.4%-0.7%
Q3 2017-10.2%-10.3%-0.1%
Q2 2017+2.0%+0.4%+3.4%
Q1 2017+2.8%+3.5%+0.3%
Q4 2016+0.8%-1.6%+2.1%
Q3 2016+5.7%+7.8%+13.5%
Q2 2016-5.3%-2.9%-2.3%
Q1 2016-3.3%
Q4 2015+3.7%
Q3 2015+4.2%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q1 2015+5.4%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014+1.8%
Q2 2014-7.6%
Q1 2014-3.4%
Q4 2013+3.6%
Q3 2013+4.8%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2009-0.7%
Q4 2012-1.5%
Q3 2012+0.0%
Q2 2012+22.0%
Q1 2012-3.8%
Q4 2011+4.1%
Q3 2010-4.8%
Q3 2011-4.8%
Q2 2011+2.7%
Q2 2010+4.2%
Q1 2010+4.2%
Q4 2010+4.2%
Q1 2011+4.2%

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