NASDAQ$SBRA

Sabra Health Care REIT Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sabra Health Care REIT reported third quarter 2020 results and provided a business update.

Sabra Health Care REIT announced its third quarter 2020 results, with net income attributable to common stockholders at $0.18 per diluted common share, FFO at $0.41 per diluted common share, Normalized FFO at $0.48 per diluted common share, AFFO at $0.46 per diluted common share, and Normalized AFFO at $0.46 per diluted common share. The company is no longer normalizing COVID-19 related expenses and government grant income from FFO and AFFO.

  • Net income attributable to common stockholders, FFO, Normalized FFO, AFFO and Normalized AFFO per diluted common share were $0.18, $0.41, $0.48, $0.46 and $0.46, respectively.
  • EBITDARM Coverage for the Skilled Nursing/Transitional Care portfolio increased 0.18x over the second quarter of 2020 to 1.84x, and Skilled Mix remained stable at 39.0%.
  • Cash NOI margins for the Senior Housing - Managed portfolio increased 410 basis points over the second quarter of 2020 to 26.7% primarily due to recognizing $4.2 million of government grant income during the third quarter of 2020.
  • During the third quarter of 2020, the company issued 1.4 million shares of common stock under its at-the-market offering program for net proceeds of $21.1 million, maintaining a strong net debt to adjusted EBITDA of 4.91x (5.48x including the unconsolidated joint venture).

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$143M

Previous: $150M-4.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.18

Previous: $0.47-61.7%
Normalized FFO per share

$0.48

No prior period
AFFO per diluted common share

$0.46

No prior period
Normalized AFFO per share

$0.46

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$125M

Previous: -$31M-304.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$88.9M

Previous: -$7.68M-1057.6%
Net Income

$36.5M

Previous: $23.3M+56.6%
Operating Income

$133M

Previous: $137M-2.9%
Gross Profit

$143M

Previous: $150M-4.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$35M

Previous: $29.4M+19.0%
Total Assets

$5.99B

Previous: $6.07B-1.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$916K

Previous: $3.26M-71.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Sabra Health Care REIT · Revenue · Quarterly

$143M

Q3 2020-4.4%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sabra Health Care REIT · $143M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Rental and related revenues
    $101M
  • Resident fees and services
    $39.3M
  • Interest and other income
    $3.3M

Forward guidance

Sabra Health Care REIT's growth expectations continue to be impacted by the cost of capital. The company has seen improvements in the cost of debt while seeing continued volatility in the cost of equity. Sabra remains focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet with ample liquidity and a well-covered dividend, and continues to pursue opportunities for accretive growth, which it believes can primarily come from the skilled nursing, behavioral and addiction asset classes until the cost of equity stabilizes.

Tailwinds

  • The company collected all of their forecasted rents through October.
  • Liquidity increased $23.7 million during the quarter to $979.0 million as of September 30, 2020.
  • There are no material debt maturities until 2024.
  • The company remains committed to maintaining Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA below 5.50x.
  • The company continues to pursue opportunities for accretive growth, which can primarily come from the skilled nursing, behavioral and addiction asset classes until our cost of equity stabilizes.

Headwinds

  • Growth expectations continue to be impacted by the cost of capital.
  • The company has recently seen significant improvements in our cost of debt while seeing continued volatility in our cost of equity.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic continues to have a significant impact on the operations of our facilities.
  • Occupancy Percentages decreased in Skilled Nursing/Transitional Care, Senior Housing - Leased and Senior Housing - Managed portfolios.
  • It continues to be difficult to know with certainty the ultimate impact that the ongoing pandemic will have on the Senior Housing - Managed portfolio or on the ability of the tenants in the triple-net portfolio to timely pay their monthly rental obligations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

27 / 60 earnings

Positive

+10.4%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-13.1%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%+0.1%-2.3%
Q3 2025+2.3%+4.2%+11.7%
Q1 2025+1.2%+0.1%-0.2%
Q4 2024-1.0%-0.8%+4.3%
Q3 2024-4.8%-4.1%-4.3%
Q2 2024-0.1%-1.1%+4.7%
Q1 2024-1.7%-1.7%-5.1%
Q4 2023+0.4%+0.4%+6.0%
Q3 2023+0.7%+2.0%+1.6%
Q2 2023+0.8%-0.9%-1.2%
Q1 2023-0.5%+1.7%+1.7%
Q4 2022-4.2%-6.3%-22.0%
Q3 2022-13.1%-3.5%-7.1%
Q2 2022+0.0%+2.9%-4.0%
Q1 2022+10.4%+6.0%+10.4%
Q4 2021-3.9%-0.7%+5.6%
Q3 2021-2.1%-0.1%-11.2%
Q2 2021-3.7%-4.7%-8.7%
Q1 2021-2.2%+0.0%-1.3%
Q4 2020+1.7%-3.6%-0.8%
Q3 2020-4.0%+15.7%+27.6%
Q2 2020+4.4%+7.7%+5.9%
Q1 2020-5.7%-1.6%+35.6%
Q4 2019-3.5%-11.1%-50.1%
Q3 2019+3.3%+0.6%-6.4%
Q2 2019+5.5%+4.5%+8.5%
Q1 2019-1.6%+0.5%-0.5%
Q4 2018-2.7%-9.6%-2.0%
Q3 2018-0.6%-1.4%-12.9%
Q2 2018-0.3%-0.3%+3.4%
Q1 2018+3.3%+2.9%+7.6%
Q4 2017+2.8%+4.8%+0.2%
Q3 2017-1.5%-2.7%-2.7%
Q2 2017+1.6%+0.9%-4.1%
Q1 2017-10.2%-8.8%-14.2%
Q4 2016+0.6%+5.4%+6.7%
Q3 2016-8.9%-7.2%-0.4%
Q2 2016+1.6%+2.4%+6.6%
Q1 2016+4.4%
Q4 2015+8.3%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015-4.6%
Q1 2015-6.0%
Q4 2014-0.9%
Q3 2014-0.9%
Q2 2014-2.0%
Q1 2014-2.6%
Q4 2013+0.8%
Q3 2013+4.1%
Q2 2013-7.3%
Q1 2013+2.4%
Q4 2012+0.0%
Q3 2012+2.6%
Q2 2012+3.0%
Q1 2011-4.6%
Q1 2012+2.4%
Q4 2011+5.1%
Q3 2011+7.5%
Q2 2011+3.9%
Q4 2010-6.5%

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