NASDAQ$REG

Regency Centers Corp · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Regency Centers reported financial results for Q4 2020 and provided an update on the COVID-19 pandemic.

Regency Centers reported a Net Income of $0.23 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2020. Nareit FFO was $0.76 per diluted share, impacted by one-time items and uncollectible lease income related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Same property NOI, excluding termination fees, decreased by 10.5%.

  • Reported Nareit FFO for the fourth quarter of $0.76 per diluted share, including one-time items and uncollectible lease income.
  • Same property Net Operating Income (NOI), excluding termination fees, decreased 10.5% due to higher uncollectible lease income from the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Realized percent leased of 92.9% in the same property portfolio as of December 31, 2020.
  • Collected 92% of fourth quarter pro-rata base rent as of February 8, 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$258M

Previous: $289M-10.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.76

Previous: $1.00-24.0%
Same Property percent leased

92.9%

Previous: 95.1%-2.3%
Net Income

$38.5M

Previous: $40.3M-4.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Regency Centers · Revenue · Quarterly

$258M

Q4 2020-10.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Regency Centers offered initial 2021 guidance concurrently with the fourth quarter 2020 earnings release.

Tailwinds

  • The midpoint area of our range is based on a “status quo” scenario, which assumes a continuation of our fourth quarter 2020 same-property NOI and collection rates.
  • The higher end of our range is based on a “continued improvement” scenario, which assumes further lifting of restrictions and added federal stimulus, leading to increases in collection rates.

Headwinds

  • While we are gratified to return to more customary guidance practices as transparency remains a key tenet of our values, we believe a wide range of potential outcomes is prudent given the uncertainty that remains in our operating environment
  • The potential outcomes can best be described as three independent scenarios, which each could result in different and distinct impacts to the Net Operating Income.
  • The lower end of our guidance range is based on a “reverse course” scenario, which assumes more shutdowns and increased restrictions, leading to a decline in rent collection rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

71%

46 / 65 earnings

Positive

+10.0%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-7.5%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-0.6%-2.6%
Q4 2025-0.3%+1.3%+4.2%
Q3 2025-3.1%-3.7%-0.5%
Q2 2025+0.8%+0.6%+1.0%
Q1 2025+0.5%+0.9%+0.4%
Q4 2024+1.5%+2.0%+1.4%
Q3 2024+2.0%+0.6%+6.9%
Q2 2024+4.4%+3.6%+7.9%
Q1 2024-0.2%+0.6%+3.9%
Q4 2023-1.0%-2.5%-0.1%
Q3 2023+3.4%-0.9%+5.5%
Q2 2023+0.9%-0.3%-5.0%
Q1 2023+1.8%-1.3%-2.3%
Q4 2022+0.9%+1.0%-10.0%
Q3 2022+5.1%+4.1%+8.8%
Q2 2022+0.0%+1.5%-3.7%
Q1 2022+8.7%+2.2%+0.5%
Q4 2021-7.5%-8.4%-7.5%
Q3 2021+2.1%-0.9%-3.5%
Q2 2021+5.3%+5.1%+10.0%
Q1 2021+4.5%+3.2%+5.2%
Q4 2020+4.9%+4.1%+17.9%
Q3 2020-5.2%+30.2%+36.7%
Q2 2020+0.1%+1.5%+0.0%
Q1 2020+10.0%+1.0%+33.2%
Q4 2019+0.3%+2.2%-11.8%
Q3 2019-1.9%-3.3%-5.1%
Q2 2019-1.4%-3.7%-3.3%
Q1 2019-0.7%-3.2%-2.0%
Q4 2018+0.7%+1.5%-0.9%
Q3 2018+2.1%+3.4%+0.0%
Q2 2018+1.9%-0.4%+3.8%
Q1 2018+0.8%-0.0%-0.6%
Q4 2017-1.4%+0.0%+2.7%
Q3 2017+6.1%+4.4%+10.6%
Q2 2017+1.0%+0.7%-2.1%
Q1 2017+2.3%-1.3%+0.5%
Q4 2016+2.3%+2.8%-9.7%
Q3 2016-4.5%-3.8%-9.1%
Q2 2016-1.0%-2.5%-5.2%
Q1 2016+2.9%
Q4 2015-1.7%
Q3 2015+1.0%
Q2 2015-1.1%
Q1 2015+2.3%
Q4 2014+0.7%
Q3 2014+3.1%
Q2 2014+2.2%
Q1 2014+2.4%
Q4 2013+0.8%
Q3 2013-1.8%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013+2.2%
Q4 2012-1.2%
Q3 2012-3.0%
Q2 2012+1.8%
Q1 2012+3.3%
Q4 2010+1.3%
Q1 2010+1.3%
Q4 2011+1.3%
Q3 2011-4.7%
Q2 2011+4.3%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q2 2010+0.4%

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