NASDAQ$PTLO

Portillo's Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 25, 2022.

Portillo's Inc. reported an 8.6% increase in total revenue for the fourth quarter of 2022, reaching $150.9 million. Same-restaurant sales increased by 6.0%, and the company saw a significant increase in operating income and net income. However, Restaurant-Level Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA both decreased compared to the prior year.

  • Total revenue increased by 8.6% to $150.9 million.
  • Same-restaurant sales increased by 6.0%.
  • Operating income increased $29.0 million to $6.4 million.
  • Net income increased $36.5 million to $2.7 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$151M

Previous: $139M+8.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.08

Previous: -$0.52+115.4%
Same-restaurant sales change

6.0%

Previous: 10.3%-41.7%
Capital Expenditures

$17M

Previous: $8.5M+100.7%
Free Cash Flow

$871K

Previous: -$5.51M+115.8%
Net Income

$2.7M

Previous: -$57.4M+104.7%
Operating Income

$6.4M

Previous: -$22.6M+128.4%
Gross Profit

$58M

Previous: $35M+65.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$44.4M

Previous: $39.3M+13.2%
Total Assets

$1.28B

Previous: $1B+28.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.79M

Previous: $28.9M-83.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Portillo's · Revenue · Quarterly

$151M

Q4 2022+8.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For fiscal 2023, the Company is anticipating commodity inflation in the mid single digits and general and administrative expenses ranging from $72 million - $77 million.

Tailwinds

  • Four new restaurants openings in the “Class of 2022”
  • Nine new restaurant openings in the “Class of 2023”
  • Commodity inflation in the mid single digits

Headwinds

  • General and administrative expenses ranging from $72 million - $77 million
  • Pre-opening expenses between $7.5 million - $8.0 million
  • Capital expenditures between $70 million - $75 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-2.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-11.4%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

10 / 23 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-17.5%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-16.5%-25.0%-33.7%
Q4 2025-7.1%-7.8%-7.1%
Q3 2025-7.4%-5.7%-5.5%
Q1 2025+1.0%+8.1%+8.1%
Q4 2024+9.8%+2.9%-8.3%
Q3 2024-3.7%-8.3%-23.4%
Q2 2024+11.5%+20.6%+34.6%
Q1 2024-14.7%-16.6%-16.9%
Q4 2023+11.8%+3.7%+3.1%
Q3 2023+9.0%+2.5%+5.2%
Q2 2023-13.1%-14.5%-18.3%
Q1 2023-11.4%-10.8%-10.9%
Q4 2022-0.5%-2.1%-4.4%
Q3 2022+5.0%+7.9%-4.0%
Q2 2022+10.0%+2.5%-9.6%
Q2 2021+10.0%+2.5%-9.6%
Q1 2021+7.7%-4.0%-8.0%
Q1 2022+7.7%-4.0%-8.0%
Q4 2021-7.8%-5.2%-10.4%
Q4 2019-7.8%-5.2%-10.4%
Q3 2020-17.5%-26.4%-41.5%
Q4 2020-17.5%-26.4%-41.5%
Q3 2021-17.5%-26.4%-41.5%
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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