NASDAQ$PTC

PTC Inc. · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PTC's Q2 2020 performance was solid, with revenue, operating margin, and EPS exceeding expectations, driven by the strength of the recurring revenue model.

PTC reported solid Q2 2020 results with ARR growing 11% on a constant currency basis. Revenue, operating margin, and EPS exceeded expectations. The company remains committed to delivering solid results for the remainder of FY'20 while navigating macroeconomic uncertainty.

  • ARR was $1.18 billion, growing 10%, or 11% in constant currency.
  • Revenue was $360 million, growing 24% compared to Q2'19.
  • Operating margin was 14% on a GAAP basis and 29% on a non-GAAP basis.
  • Total cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $884 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$360M

Previous: $290M+23.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.59

Previous: $0.22+168.2%
ARR as reported

$1.18B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$10.2M

Previous: -$51.3M+80.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$3.09M

Previous: -$94.8M+96.7%
Net Income

$7.16M

Previous: -$43.5M+116.4%
Operating Income

$50M

Previous: -$22.9M+318.9%
Gross Profit

$277M

Previous: $211M+31.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$827M

Previous: $294M+180.9%
Total Assets

$3.87B

Previous: $2.72B+42.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$20.5M

Previous: $27M-24.0%

Revenue & EPS history

PTC · Revenue · Quarterly

$360M

Q2 2020+23.8%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PTC · $43.7M total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Professional services
    $35.5M
  • Perpetual license
    $8.22M

Forward guidance

Revised fiscal 2020 guidance includes the impact of weakening macroeconomic conditions, a severe disruption in new bookings growth, deterioration in churn, and operating expense growth.

Tailwinds

  • Even in this challenging environment, PTC will remain financially healthy.
  • PTC will still post solid growth.
  • Operating expense growth of roughly 2% YoY compared to our previous projection of 9% YoY due primarily to restructuring activity conducted in H1’20 as well as increased cost discipline related to headcount additions, variable compensation expense, travel and marketing expense.
  • GAAP tax rate is expected to be 20%.
  • Non-GAAP tax rate is expected to be 19%.

Headwinds

  • Impact of weakening of macroeconomic conditions related to the COVID-19 crisis.
  • A severe disruption in new bookings growth, down 30% YoY at the midpoint for the second half of the year.
  • The low end of the range assumes ~50% decline in new bookings for Q3’20 and Q4’20.
  • The high end of the range assumes a ~30% decline in new bookings for Q3’20 and a ~20% decline in Q4.
  • Churn deteriorates approximately 100 bps to 8%, rather than a modest improvement over FY’19.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

38 / 68 earnings

Positive

+16.9%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-19.5%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+0.0%+5.6%+0.2%
Q1 2026+1.7%+7.5%+7.5%
Q4 2025-8.4%-6.3%-8.7%
Q2 2025+0.9%+2.4%+8.6%
Q1 2025-9.6%-11.5%-14.3%
Q4 2024+0.0%+2.2%+5.8%
Q3 2024-0.3%-4.7%+1.5%
Q2 2024-3.9%+0.4%-0.7%
Q1 2024-2.5%-3.7%+2.0%
Q4 2023+4.2%+5.9%+13.5%
Q3 2023+0.7%+1.1%+0.4%
Q2 2023-0.7%+1.1%+5.5%
Q1 2023-1.9%-2.6%-7.4%
Q4 2022+4.4%+6.1%+7.2%
Q3 2022+13.1%+9.8%+3.0%
Q2 2022+16.9%+17.4%+21.2%
Q1 2022-4.2%+1.4%-2.7%
Q4 2021-4.3%+0.0%-10.7%
Q3 2021-7.4%-8.7%-8.1%
Q2 2021-9.7%-11.9%-9.2%
Q1 2021+6.8%+5.8%+5.7%
Q4 2020+1.9%+3.1%+28.9%
Q3 2020+4.0%+5.0%+10.8%
Q2 2020+4.3%+1.2%+15.1%
Q1 2020+7.9%+6.8%+12.4%
Q4 2019+6.1%+2.2%+14.0%
Q3 2019-19.5%-22.2%-28.1%
Q2 2019-9.9%-9.8%-15.3%
Q1 2019-7.1%-5.1%+8.4%
Q4 2018-8.5%-12.9%-7.5%
Q3 2018-1.9%-1.8%-6.7%
Q2 2018+2.2%+2.2%+1.2%
Q1 2018+7.1%+11.6%+12.2%
Q4 2017+5.9%+8.3%+7.7%
Q3 2017-6.8%-4.0%-7.8%
Q2 2017-0.5%+0.2%+3.3%
Q1 2017+6.0%+6.6%+14.6%
Q4 2016+0.2%+4.2%+9.4%
Q3 2016+2.9%+2.7%+8.3%
Q2 2016+11.5%
Q1 2016+3.5%
Q4 2015+0.1%
Q3 2015-6.4%
Q2 2015+4.4%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014-3.1%
Q3 2014-1.7%
Q2 2014+0.6%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+9.0%
Q3 2013+0.7%
Q2 2013+1.4%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2012+5.1%
Q3 2012+13.5%
Q2 2012+15.1%
Q1 2012-0.1%
Q4 2011-4.9%
Q3 2011-0.9%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2010+1.2%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q2 2010+0.2%
Q4 2010+0.2%
Q4 2008+0.2%
Q3 2009-1.4%
Q3 2010-1.4%
Q4 2009-1.4%

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