NASDAQ$PSNY

Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Polestar reported its preliminary unaudited financial and operational results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2023.

Polestar reported a significant increase in revenue and car deliveries for Q3 2023, with revenue up 41% year-on-year to $613.2 million and deliveries up 51% to 13,976 cars. Despite this growth, gross profit decreased by 11% due to irregular supplier charges and increased inventory impairment. The company also reported an operating loss of $261.2 million.

  • Total revenue for Q3 2023 increased by 41% year-on-year to $613.2 million.
  • 13,976 cars were delivered in Q3 2023, marking a 51% increase.
  • Gross profit decreased by 11% to $3.6 million, primarily due to irregular supplier charges and increased inventory impairment.
  • Operating loss for the quarter was $261.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$613M

Previous: $435M+40.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.16

Previous: $0.14-211.0%
Vehicles Delivered

14.0K

Previous: 9.2K+51.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$61.9M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$1.68B

No prior period
Net Income

-$155M

Previous: $299M-151.9%
Operating Income

-$261M

Previous: -$196M-33.0%
Gross Profit

$3.6M

Previous: $4.06M-11.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$951M

No prior period
Total Assets

$4.39B

No prior period
R&D Expense

$54.9M

Previous: $24.6M+123.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Polestar · Revenue · Quarterly

$613M

Q3 2023+40.8%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 1 of 7 quarters(14%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Polestar expects to deliver approximately 60,000 vehicles for the full year 2023 and anticipates a gross margin of approximately 2%. The company has a strengthened business plan targeting accelerated margin improvement and cash flow break-even by 2025, supported by additional liquidity from Geely Holding and Volvo Cars.

Tailwinds

  • Targeting accelerated margin improvement and cash flow break-even by 2025.
  • Gross margin target of high teens for fiscal year 2025 with 155,000-165,000 cars.
  • Richer product mix with four models in production by 2025.
  • Reduced cost structure and refocused approach to key markets, including a new joint venture in China.
  • Additional liquidity provided by Geely Holding and Volvo Cars, including extended loan maturities and increased loan capacity.

Headwinds

  • Requires approximately $1.3 billion in external funding until achieving cash flow break-even.
  • Potential for delays in production ramp-up of new vehicle models (Polestar 3 and 4).
  • Risks of not meeting market expectations for new models, leading to lower sales volumes and negative third-party reviews.
  • Potential for cost overruns due to increases in raw material prices, supplier charges, and inventory impairment.
  • Inability to accurately forecast demand could lead to inadequate manufacturing capacity or excess inventory, impacting profitability.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-2.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

6 / 15 earnings

Positive

+6.4%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-18.2%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.3%+7.9%-3.2%
Q4 2026+5.3%-11.7%+6.1%
Q3 2024-10.7%-9.8%-9.8%
Q4 2023-4.8%+7.3%+109.5%
Q1 2024+1.3%+1.3%-9.7%
Q3 2023-0.4%-1.5%-24.2%
Q2 2023+3.0%-7.0%+4.8%
Q1 2023-16.6%-18.1%-16.4%
Q4 2022-0.3%-6.6%-15.3%
Q3 2022+6.4%+14.7%-2.4%
Q2 2022-18.2%-11.5%-17.5%
Q1 2022-18.2%-11.5%-17.5%
Q4 2021+5.7%-0.8%-9.2%
Q3 2021-0.7%-1.6%+4.0%
Q2 2021-0.2%-0.3%+1.4%
Q1 2021
Q4 2020
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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