NASDAQ$PRVA

Privia Health Group, Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial results for the third quarter and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2021, and raised full-year 2021 guidance on all metrics.

Privia Health reported strong growth in Q3 2021, with practice collections increasing by 18.1%, care margin growing by 31.5%, and adjusted EBITDA up by 51.9% compared to the third quarter last year. The company also saw a 15.2% growth of implemented providers and a 17.6% increase in attributed lives.

  • Total revenue for the third quarter of 2021 was $251.5 million, compared to $207.2 million for the prior year third quarter, representing a 21.4% increase.
  • Operating loss for the third quarter of 2021 was $12.8 million, compared to operating income of $8.5 million for the prior year third quarter.
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net income was $15.0 million, or $0.13 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2021, compared to $8.4 million, or $0.09 per diluted share, for the prior year third quarter, representing a 78.8% increase.
  • Implemented Providers increased by 15.2% and Value-Based Care Attributed Lives increased by 17.6% compared to the third quarter of 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$252M

Previous: $207M+21.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.13

Previous: $0.18-27.8%
Implemented Providers

2.8K

Previous: 2.5K+15.2%
Attributed Lives

760.0K

Previous: 646.0K+17.6%
Practice Collections

$402M

Previous: $340M+18.1%
Care Margin

$61.5M

Previous: $46.7M+31.7%
Platform Contribution

$31.1M

Previous: $21.5M+44.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$13.9M

Previous: $9.1M+52.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$396K

Previous: $1K-39700.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$9.51M

Previous: $35.5M-126.8%
Net Income

-$9.12M

Previous: $16.7M-154.6%
Operating Income

-$12.8M

Previous: $8.54M-249.9%
Gross Profit

$26.2M

Previous: $21.5M+21.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$362M

Previous: $88.2M+310.6%
Total Assets

$632M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$25.8M

Previous: $121K+21222.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Privia Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$252M

Q3 2021+21.4%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 7 of 11 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Privia Health · $417M total across 6 segments · Q3 2023

  • FFS-patient care
    $246M
  • Capitated revenue
    $88.5M
  • Shared savings
    $33.5M
  • FFS-administrative services
    $29.8M
  • Care management fees (PMPM)
    $17.8M
  • Other revenue
    $2.03M

Forward guidance

Privia Health is updating its full-year 2021 guidance to reflect management’s expectation of the fourth quarter impact of the Company’s recent entry into the California and West Texas markets as well as its strong year-to-date performance and positive business momentum in existing markets.

Tailwinds

  • Implemented Providers: 3,300 - 3,330
  • Attributed Lives: 760,000 - 765,000
  • Practice Collections: $1,520 - $1,540 million
  • GAAP Revenue: $900 - $920 million
  • Care Margin: $225 - $230 million

Headwinds

  • Platform Contribution: $102 - $105 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $39 - $41 million
  • Management has not reconciled forward-looking non-GAAP measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measures of operating income and net income.
  • The Company cannot predict with reasonable certainty and without unreasonable efforts the ultimate outcome of certain GAAP components of such reconciliations due to market-related assumptions that are not within our control as well as certain legal or advisory costs, tax costs or other costs that may arise.
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance does not add back actual or estimated new market entry and development costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+3.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

16 / 25 earnings

Positive

+28.3%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-8.8%

Q2 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%-4.1%-9.9%
Q4 2025+9.9%+4.9%-11.6%
Q3 2025-4.3%-2.8%-4.7%
Q1 2025+7.3%+4.2%-0.6%
Q4 2024+5.8%+6.1%-6.1%
Q3 2024+0.7%+6.7%+0.1%
Q2 2024+4.4%+9.7%+2.1%
Q1 2024-4.7%-4.3%-9.1%
Q4 2023+9.4%+11.6%-2.0%
Q3 2023+9.7%+9.0%+6.0%
Q2 2023+1.6%-1.2%-2.3%
Q1 2023+7.3%+7.2%-8.3%
Q4 2022+4.6%+6.3%+1.7%
Q3 2022+5.3%+6.2%-9.7%
Q2 2022+0.6%-4.6%+13.3%
Q1 2022+28.3%+25.1%+41.0%
Q4 2019-2.0%+6.4%-3.5%
Q4 2021+3.3%+7.5%+10.4%
Q3 2020+12.3%+18.3%-14.5%
Q3 2021+12.3%+18.3%-14.5%
Q2 2020-8.8%-14.8%-26.5%
Q2 2021-8.8%-14.8%-26.5%
Q4 2020-2.2%+0.7%+34.8%
Q1 2020-2.2%+0.7%+34.8%
Q1 2021-1.1%+0.9%+39.1%

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