NASDAQ$PRDO

Perdoceo Education Corporation · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported an increase in revenue and operating income, driven by enrollment growth and the Trident acquisition.

Perdoceo Education Corporation reported an 8.0% increase in revenue to $171.2 million and a 13.0% increase in operating income to $36.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2020. Enrollment growth at both CTU and AIU, along with the Trident acquisition, supported the revenue increase. Earnings per diluted share remained flat at $0.38, while adjusted earnings per diluted share increased to $0.39.

  • Revenue increased by 8.0 percent to $171.2 million.
  • Operating income increased by 13.0 percent to $36.2 million.
  • Earnings per diluted share of $0.38 remained flat.
  • Total student enrollments increased 16.7 percent.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$171M

Previous: $158M+8.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.39

Previous: $0.33+18.2%
CTU Enrollment Growth

4.2%

Previous: 4.4%-4.5%
AIUS Enrollment Growth

39.2%

Previous: 10.2%+284.3%
Net Income

$27.1M

Previous: $27.5M-1.7%
Operating Income

$36.2M

Previous: $32M+13.0%
Gross Profit

$143M

Previous: $134M+6.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$410M

Previous: $294M+39.5%
Total Assets

$722M

Previous: $599M+20.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.64M

Previous: $5.35M-31.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Perdoceo · Revenue · Quarterly

$171M

Q4 2020+8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Perdoceo · $171M total across 3 segments · Q4 2020

  • CTU
    $103M+0.1%
  • AIUS
    $68.1M+22.0%
  • Corporate and Other
    $336K

Forward guidance

The Company is providing the following outlook, subject to the key assumptions identified below. Please see the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation for adjusted operating income and adjusted earnings per diluted share attached to this press release for further details.

Tailwinds

  • Prospective student interest in the Company’s programs remains consistent with recent experience
  • No significant changes in the timing and amounts of planned investments and investments continue to positively impact student enrollments
  • No significant impact of new or proposed regulations, including the “borrower defense to repayment” regulations, or other adverse changes in the legal or regulatory environment
  • No significant operating impacts from the settlements with the U.S. Federal Trade Commission and state attorneys general or other legal or regulatory matters
  • No significant operating or financial impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic beyond known costs which have been incorporated in the outlook

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.4%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

34 / 69 earnings

Positive

+31.7%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-30.4%

Q1 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%+1.4%-0.5%
Q4 2025+4.2%+5.8%+9.6%
Q3 2025-1.9%-1.0%-8.9%
Q1 2025+22.3%+20.6%+35.2%
Q4 2024-5.9%-9.3%-14.7%
Q3 2024+9.9%+4.4%+7.4%
Q2 2024-2.6%-9.1%-11.1%
Q1 2024+31.7%+33.1%+23.0%
Q4 2023-0.7%+3.6%+4.4%
Q3 2023-3.6%-7.2%-3.7%
Q2 2023+14.9%+20.7%+25.5%
Q1 2023-5.1%-3.0%+0.2%
Q4 2022-2.1%-0.6%-6.5%
Q3 2022+16.0%+24.2%+20.5%
Q2 2022-6.3%-4.8%-15.0%
Q1 2022-3.7%-4.3%-0.5%
Q4 2021+3.1%+5.4%+16.6%
Q3 2021+0.7%-4.2%-4.6%
Q2 2021-1.5%-4.0%-8.0%
Q1 2021+0.7%-1.0%+4.4%
Q4 2020-4.2%-2.2%-7.4%
Q3 2020-10.5%-5.6%-0.2%
Q2 2020+4.0%+14.4%-5.2%
Q1 2020+15.4%+14.6%+31.6%
Q4 2019+0.3%-5.5%-50.7%
Q3 2019+5.8%+8.5%+11.7%
Q2 2019+12.8%+13.6%+6.5%
Q1 2019+7.2%+2.9%+11.3%
Q4 2018+18.0%+20.5%+15.1%
Q3 2018-6.7%-9.3%-6.2%
Q2 2018-4.3%-8.4%-13.3%
Q1 2018+13.5%+12.0%+23.1%
Q4 2017+16.8%+16.6%+12.9%
Q3 2017+13.8%+17.6%+24.9%
Q2 2017+2.3%+6.4%+14.6%
Q1 2017+9.2%+2.1%-0.9%
Q4 2016-12.4%-12.3%-8.8%
Q3 2016-4.1%+3.3%+43.8%
Q2 2016+2.8%+7.0%-5.4%
Q1 2016+12.2%
Q4 2015+29.4%
Q3 2015+8.0%
Q2 2015+29.6%
Q1 2015+17.0%
Q4 2014+12.4%
Q3 2014-7.3%
Q2 2014-1.1%
Q1 2014-30.4%
Q4 2013+10.8%
Q3 2013-18.6%
Q2 2013-1.7%
Q1 2013+4.9%
Q4 2012-11.8%
Q3 2012-18.2%
Q2 2012-19.8%
Q1 2012-11.2%
Q4 2008-23.7%
Q4 2011-23.7%
Q3 2008-10.0%
Q2 2008-15.6%
Q1 2008+1.6%
Q4 2010-6.6%
Q3 2009-2.3%
Q3 2010-2.3%
Q2 2010-7.7%
Q2 2009-7.7%
Q1 2010+1.4%
Q4 2009+1.4%
Q1 2009+1.4%

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