NASDAQ$PLUG

Plug Power Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported revenue of $188.6M, a 31% increase year over year, and reaffirmed 2023 revenue guidance of $1.4B.

Plug Power reported revenue of $188.6M in Q3 2022, a 31% increase year over year. The company reaffirmed its 2023 revenue guidance of $1.4B and is focused on margin expansion and substantial revenue growth, driven by material handling and four key business initiatives.

  • Material handling continues to deliver with the addition of FreezPak and Lidl as pedestal customers.
  • Progress is being made on the buildout of the green hydrogen generation network, with the Georgia plant expected to be commissioned by YE22.
  • The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is seen as a transformational event for the green hydrogen industry, accelerating Plug's fuel margin expansion.
  • The electrolyzer backlog currently stands at 1.5GW, with a sales funnel of over $25B.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$189M

Previous: $144M+31.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.30

Previous: -$0.19-57.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$318M

Previous: -$91.4M-247.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$488M

Previous: -$198M-146.6%
Net Income

-$171M

Previous: -$107M-60.1%
Operating Income

-$160M

Previous: -$98.7M-61.9%
Gross Profit

-$46.1M

Previous: -$31.1M-48.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.75B

Previous: $3.37B-48.2%
Total Assets

$5.86B

Previous: $5.74B+2.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$46.7M

Previous: $14M+233.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Plug Power · Revenue · Quarterly

$189M

Q3 2022+31.1%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Plug Power reaffirmed its 2023 revenue forecast of $1.4B and expects continued margin expansion throughout 2023, driven by multiple factors, including a step change enhancement planned in the fuel business.

Tailwinds

  • Substantial growth in applications and energy/electrolyzer business
  • Continued margin expansion throughout 2023
  • Step change enhancement planned in fuel business
  • Increasing gross margin leverage from volume and supply chain improvements
  • Improved service and PPA margin

Headwinds

  • Some larger projects potentially being completed in 2023 instead of 2022 due to timing and broader supply chain issues.
  • Fuel margin remained under significant pressure due to increased hydrogen molecule cost associated with historically higher natural gas prices and continued supplier disruptions.
  • Potential for revenue to be 5-10% below prior target due to supply chain issues
  • Delays due to supply chain and timing of some large projects
  • Third-party sourcing of hydrogen coupled with increasing natural gas prices has continued to pressure the hydrogen fuel business

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

24 / 64 earnings

Positive

+23.7%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-41.4%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+21.2%+21.5%-8.7%
Q4 2025+2.6%+17.7%+33.1%
Q3 2025-1.6%-12.1%-7.8%
Q1 2025-10.0%-14.4%+44.4%
Q4 2024-6.8%+10.6%-18.0%
Q3 2024-1.0%-6.0%+20.6%
Q2 2024-5.3%+2.9%-22.6%
Q1 2024+1.6%+36.5%+15.1%
Q4 2023+9.3%+13.9%-2.5%
Q3 2023-41.4%-29.7%-33.4%
Q2 2023-17.0%-14.8%-27.0%
Q1 2023-15.7%-19.5%+2.5%
Q4 2022-10.4%-8.1%-21.2%
Q3 2022-2.5%+19.4%-8.0%
Q2 2022+12.3%+15.3%+13.7%
Q1 2022-19.1%-22.6%-4.5%
Q4 2021-0.1%-8.8%+13.1%
Q3 2021-1.9%+5.4%-15.9%
Q2 2021+0.0%+12.4%+2.0%
Q1 2021+13.3%+6.7%-8.4%
Q4 2020-3.5%-2.8%-32.2%
Q3 2020+6.1%+24.2%+41.8%
Q2 2020+20.9%+21.2%+26.0%
Q1 2020+9.1%+2.6%+17.0%
Q4 2019-9.0%-13.0%-29.6%
Q3 2019-4.2%+7.7%+10.5%
Q2 2019-1.4%-1.9%+1.9%
Q1 2019-6.5%-9.7%+3.2%
Q4 2018+7.7%+21.5%+45.3%
Q3 2018-3.1%-6.2%-18.7%
Q2 2018-5.4%-6.4%-5.0%
Q1 2018+9.8%+19.0%+1.1%
Q4 2017+0.5%+10.6%-4.3%
Q3 2017-18.0%-20.9%-21.2%
Q2 2017-10.1%-13.4%-8.8%
Q1 2017-5.1%-8.4%-5.3%
Q4 2016-4.7%-10.8%+13.3%
Q3 2016-11.3%+3.5%+9.9%
Q2 2016-0.6%+0.0%-12.2%
Q1 2016-4.1%
Q4 2015+7.4%
Q3 2015-31.0%
Q2 2015-13.7%
Q1 2015+8.2%
Q4 2014-5.8%
Q3 2014-20.1%
Q2 2014+1.0%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013-1.3%
Q3 2013+23.7%
Q2 2013-13.8%
Q1 2013-8.4%
Q4 2012-11.2%
Q3 2012+4.2%
Q2 2012-15.7%
Q1 2012-4.7%
Q4 2011-5.2%
Q3 2011+13.4%
Q2 2011+20.0%
Q1 2011+2.1%
Q4 2010+1.3%
Q3 2010+1.9%
Q2 2010+8.9%
Q1 2010-4.3%

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