NASDAQ$ODFL

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Old Dominion's Q4 2019 financial performance reflected a focus on revenue quality and cost control amidst a challenging operating environment, marked by a decrease in revenue and tonnage, but with improved yield and stabilizing volumes.

Old Dominion Freight Line reported a decrease in revenue for the second straight quarter due to a sluggish industrial economy. Despite a decline in LTL tons, the company saw an increase in LTL revenue per hundredweight. The operating ratio increased due to higher fringe benefit costs, including phantom stock expense.

  • Revenue decreased year-over-year due to a sluggish industrial economy.
  • LTL tons declined, but yield continued to improve and volumes began to stabilize.
  • LTL revenue per hundredweight increased, reflecting price discipline and market share maintenance.
  • Operating ratio increased due to higher fringe benefit costs, including phantom stock expense.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.01B

Previous: $1.03B-1.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.60

Previous: $0.65-7.7%
LTL revenue per hundredweight

$22.84

Previous: $22.24+2.7%
LTL shipments

2.8M

Previous: 2.9M-4.1%
LTL tons

2.2M

Previous: 2.3M-4.5%
Average length of haul

915

Previous: 923-0.9%
LTL revenue per shipment

$360.80

Previous: $352.65+2.3%
LTL intercity miles

157.7M

Previous: 163.9M-3.8%
Net Income

$144M

Previous: $159M-9.7%
Operating Income

$188M

Previous: $219M-14.0%
Gross Profit

$277M

Previous: $299M-7.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$404M

Previous: $190M+112.1%
Total Assets

$4B

Previous: $3.55B+12.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.4M

Previous: $1.34M+750.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Old Dominion · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.01B

Q4 2019-1.8%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Old Dominion · $1.01B total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • LTL services revenue
    $997M-1.4%
  • Other services revenue
    $12.6M-19.6%

Forward guidance

Old Dominion expects to continue executing its strategic plan, focusing on superior service and investing in its service center network, technology, and employees to achieve long-term profitable growth and deliver greater value to shareholders.

Tailwinds

  • Continued execution of strategic plan
  • Focus on delivering superior service at a fair price
  • Investment in service center network
  • Investment in technology
  • Investment in OD Family of employees

Headwinds

  • Competitive environment with respect to industry capacity and pricing
  • Economic factors such as recessions and global uncertainty
  • Changes in relationships with significant customers
  • Increases in driver and maintenance technician compensation
  • Costs and potential liabilities related to compliance with governmental laws and regulations

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.7%

Avg return

30 days after

67%

46 / 69 earnings

Positive

+13.0%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-10.3%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.0%-13.3%+1.5%
Q4 2025+9.9%+3.3%+2.2%
Q3 2025+0.1%+1.0%-0.6%
Q2 2025+1.9%-2.8%+2.4%
Q1 2025+0.8%-2.0%+6.2%
Q4 2024+5.4%+9.9%-2.2%
Q3 2024-3.9%+0.7%+10.4%
Q2 2024+6.1%+3.9%+5.1%
Q1 2024-10.3%-16.0%-21.1%
Q4 2023-0.9%+4.7%+12.2%
Q3 2023-4.2%-1.8%+4.8%
Q2 2023+4.2%+6.1%+3.5%
Q1 2023-7.7%-6.4%-6.9%
Q4 2022+11.5%+10.9%+6.5%
Q3 2022-3.5%+0.2%+7.3%
Q2 2022+7.3%+11.2%+4.6%
Q1 2022+7.4%+2.9%-2.9%
Q4 2021+7.0%-0.1%+4.0%
Q3 2021+2.8%+5.9%+8.1%
Q2 2021+3.4%+2.9%+11.8%
Q1 2021+4.5%+4.7%+6.6%
Q4 2020+5.9%+9.0%+11.2%
Q3 2020-5.9%-4.1%+2.3%
Q2 2020+0.3%+1.5%+9.9%
Q1 2020+10.4%+12.7%+23.8%
Q4 2019+6.6%+6.0%-4.1%
Q3 2019+2.0%+3.4%+3.6%
Q2 2019+0.5%+0.8%-3.1%
Q1 2019-3.2%-6.1%-12.9%
Q4 2018+2.0%+2.1%+2.7%
Q3 2018+0.7%+2.2%+4.5%
Q2 2018-2.8%-0.8%-0.9%
Q1 2018-5.5%-7.1%+8.7%
Q4 2017-8.4%-4.5%+3.9%
Q3 2017+11.5%+9.1%+10.8%
Q2 2017-2.4%-5.9%-5.0%
Q1 2017+1.6%+1.4%+2.2%
Q4 2016+1.6%+0.3%+4.1%
Q3 2016+2.1%+0.3%+20.9%
Q2 2016+2.8%+1.4%+2.1%
Q1 2016-8.4%
Q4 2015+7.5%
Q3 2015+2.0%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015-1.6%
Q4 2014+4.0%
Q3 2014+2.5%
Q2 2014+1.4%
Q1 2014+5.0%
Q4 2013-0.1%
Q3 2013-1.1%
Q2 2013+4.3%
Q1 2013+2.7%
Q4 2012-4.3%
Q3 2012+4.3%
Q2 2012+13.0%
Q1 2012-7.4%
Q4 2011+3.5%
Q3 2011-0.6%
Q2 2011+2.2%
Q1 2010+1.9%
Q1 2011+0.8%
Q4 2010-1.9%
Q3 2009-2.8%
Q3 2010-2.8%
Q4 2008+1.4%
Q4 2009+1.4%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q2 2009+1.4%

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