NASDAQ$OCUL

Ocular Therapeutix Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ocular Therapeutix reported second quarter 2020 financial results and business update.

Ocular Therapeutix reported DEXTENZA net product revenue of $1.4 million for the second quarter. The company's cash and cash equivalents as of June 30, 2020, were $84.3 million, expected to provide funding for at least the next twelve months. They also saw a bounce back in DEXTENZA sales with nearly 2,300 in-market units sold in June, exceeding the previous monthly record by 40% and eclipsing $1 million of in-market sales in a calendar month for the first time.

  • Announced published physician fee schedules for the administration of intracanalicular inserts.
  • Announced new product candidate (OTX-DED) to treat episodic dry eye disease.
  • Amended collaboration with Regeneron for the development of a suprachoroidal injection formulation of the FDA-approved VEGF trap aflibercept.
  • Completed common stock financing, raising $48.3 million net of fees.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.57M

Previous: $650K+141.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.64

Previous: -$0.57-12.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$374K

Previous: -$1.22M+69.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$36.9M

Previous: -$25.7M-43.9%
Net Income

-$36.6M

Previous: -$24.5M-49.5%
Operating Income

-$17.9M

Previous: -$21.6M+17.2%
Gross Profit

$1.44M

Previous: $98K+1364.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$84.3M

Previous: $61.8M+36.5%
Total Assets

$107M

Previous: $89.7M+19.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.83M

Previous: $1.7M+7.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Ocular Therapeutix · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.57M

Q2 2020+141.4%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ocular Therapeutix · $1.4M total across 1 segment · Q2 2020

  • Product Revenue
    $1.4M

Forward guidance

Ocular Therapeutix believes that its existing cash and cash equivalents of $84.3 million as of June 30, 2020 will enable the Company to fund its planned operating expenses, debt service obligations and capital expenditure requirements for at least the next twelve months. This estimate is based on the Company’s currently forecasted operating plan which includes estimates of anticipated cash inflows from DEXTENZA and ReSure Sealant product sales and cash outflows from operating expenses.

Tailwinds

  • Continuing expected rebound in cataract surgeries in the third quarter of 2020 and beyond.
  • Revenues and expenses associated with the commercialization of DEXTENZA.
  • Variable expense reductions.
  • Pace of the Company’s research and clinical development programs.
  • Expected cash inflows from DEXTENZA and ReSure Sealant product sales

Headwinds

  • Severity and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Assumptions related to the severity and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic may prove to be wrong.
  • The Company could use its capital resources sooner than we currently expect.
  • The Company would therefore need to raise additional capital to support its ongoing operations.
  • The Company may need to adjust its plans accordingly.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-2.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.2%

Avg return

30 days after

33%

14 / 43 earnings

Positive

+24.0%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.7%-1.2%-10.0%
Q3 2025-4.4%-4.9%+8.9%
Q1 2025-12.4%-19.8%-4.8%
Q4 2024+9.6%+27.3%+18.1%
Q3 2024-13.6%-15.8%-18.0%
Q2 2024+1.8%+1.3%+6.3%
Q1 2024-0.9%-2.4%-10.3%
Q4 2023-6.9%-5.2%-20.7%
Q3 2023-10.7%-23.7%+34.8%
Q2 2023-13.7%-3.5%-13.7%
Q1 2023+4.8%-0.6%+18.6%
Q4 2022-0.6%-17.6%-16.8%
Q3 2022-9.7%-6.6%-20.0%
Q2 2022-1.0%+10.5%+18.5%
Q1 2022-4.3%-5.5%+12.4%
Q4 2021-0.4%-10.7%-8.5%
Q3 2021+9.5%+0.0%-2.9%
Q2 2021+4.4%+2.2%+1.6%
Q1 2021-5.1%-9.4%-13.3%
Q4 2020+6.0%-2.1%-16.0%
Q3 2020+6.6%+11.1%+68.8%
Q2 2020+0.0%-2.6%-8.7%
Q1 2020-1.7%-4.8%+9.0%
Q4 2019-11.4%+47.3%+1.5%
Q3 2019-5.5%-4.4%+38.2%
Q2 2019-9.5%-6.9%-5.6%
Q1 2019-4.6%-1.6%-9.0%
Q4 2018-0.2%+1.4%+3.3%
Q3 2018+8.0%+1.0%+11.1%
Q2 2018+8.7%+14.5%+23.2%
Q1 2018+0.3%+6.4%+7.7%
Q4 2017-0.8%+6.4%+2.7%
Q3 2017-13.7%-12.1%-34.4%
Q2 2017-4.3%-1.5%+13.9%
Q1 2017-11.3%-9.9%+20.9%
Q4 2016-1.6%+0.5%-5.6%
Q3 2016+24.0%+42.9%+77.3%
Q2 2016-4.4%+11.0%+18.3%
Q1 2016-8.0%
Q4 2015+2.4%
Q3 2015-20.4%
Q2 2015-12.2%
Q1 2015
Q3 2014+5.6%
Q1 2014
Q4 2014
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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