NASDAQ$NMRK

Newmark Group Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Newmark's financial performance declined due to industry-wide headwinds, but management services and leasing showed resilience.

Newmark reported a decrease in total revenues and earnings for the second quarter of 2023 compared to the record revenues of the prior year. Fees from management services increased, and leasing revenues outperformed the industry. The company is focused on cost reductions and expects capital markets to drive future growth as interest rates stabilize.

  • Total revenues decreased by 22.4% year-over-year to $585.8 million.
  • GAAP net income per fully diluted share decreased by 84.6% to $0.04.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 54.3% year-over-year to $72.9 million.
  • Fees from management services, servicing, and other grew by 7.4% year-on-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$586M

Previous: $755M-22.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.18

Previous: $0.46-60.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$33.6M

Previous: -$17.5M-91.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$27.2M

Previous: $31M-187.8%
Net Income

$6.43M

Previous: $48.5M-86.7%
Operating Income

$27.5M

Previous: $89.1M-69.1%
Gross Profit

$239M

Previous: $329M-27.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$164M

Previous: $280M-41.4%
Total Assets

$4.93B

Previous: $4.61B+6.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Newmark · Revenue · Quarterly

$586M

Q2 2023-22.4%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Newmark · $241M total across 1 segment · Q2 2023

  • Management Services
    $241M+3.0%

Forward guidance

Newmark anticipates generating approximately $2.5 billion in total revenues and $425 million of Adjusted EBITDA in 2023. The company expects a tax rate of 14% and 17% for Adjusted Earnings and anticipates full year 2023 fully diluted weighted average share count being approximately flat compared with 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipates generating approximately $2.5 billion in total revenues in 2023.
  • Expects to produce $425 million of Adjusted EBITDA in 2023.
  • Expects to realize at least $35 million during 2023 from cost reduction target.
  • Anticipates full year 2023 fully diluted weighted average share count being approximately flat compared with 2022.
  • Assumes that the decline in industry-wide transactions will begin to rebound near the end of 2023.

Headwinds

  • Guidance assumes that the decline in industry-wide transactions will begin to rebound near the end of 2023.
  • Outlook excludes the potential impact of additional share repurchases.
  • Outlook excludes any material future acquisitions.
  • Results for its higher margin investment sales and mortgage brokerage business continue to be impacted by the rapid rise in interest rates.
  • Newmark generated record second quarter 2022 revenues, which makes year-over-year comparisons more challenging.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

13 / 33 earnings

Positive

+20.1%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-12.3%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.7%-6.0%-13.3%
Q4 2025-0.5%-3.7%-2.9%
Q3 2025-3.1%-8.7%-9.4%
Q1 2025-0.6%+0.5%-0.5%
Q4 2024+6.3%+5.1%-10.3%
Q3 2024+0.7%+6.2%+5.3%
Q2 2024-9.5%-7.4%+8.6%
Q1 2024+1.2%+0.7%+4.3%
Q4 2023-1.0%+3.7%+5.1%
Q3 2023+20.1%+26.3%+48.3%
Q2 2023+1.5%+10.3%-3.4%
Q1 2023-8.8%-11.5%+2.0%
Q4 2022-4.8%-10.0%-25.1%
Q3 2022-12.3%-17.7%-9.5%
Q2 2022-7.4%-10.8%-11.3%
Q1 2022-10.4%-5.1%-15.8%
Q4 2021-3.7%+7.4%-6.0%
Q3 2021+3.4%+3.1%+3.8%
Q2 2021-2.4%+2.2%+0.0%
Q1 2021+18.2%+19.2%+19.0%
Q4 2020+14.7%+17.3%+24.2%
Q3 2020+13.3%+34.5%+56.9%
Q2 2020+5.2%+12.9%+2.4%
Q1 2020+19.1%+3.4%+82.1%
Q4 2019-5.0%-6.1%-45.5%
Q3 2019+6.9%+18.1%+31.4%
Q2 2019-4.5%-10.9%-12.0%
Q1 2019-5.0%-2.1%+1.8%
Q4 2018-3.9%-3.9%-16.7%
Q3 2018+1.1%-4.1%-5.8%
Q2 2018-4.7%-1.2%-7.1%
Q1 2018-5.6%-4.8%-11.6%
Q4 2017-7.8%-6.4%-8.6%
Q2 2017

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