NASDAQ$MPAA

Motorcar Parts of America Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

MPA's Q3 2023 financial results were impacted by reduced customer orders, increased interest expenses, and ongoing supply chain disruptions.

Motorcar Parts of America reported a decrease in net sales to $151.8 million compared to $161.8 million in the prior year, and a decrease in net income to $1.0 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, compared to $3.1 million, or $0.16 per diluted share in the prior year. The results were affected by reduced customer orders, higher interest rates, and supply chain disruptions.

  • Net sales decreased due to reduced orders from a major customer and delays in new business orders.
  • Net income decreased, impacted by increased interest expenses and non-cash items.
  • Gross profit decreased due to inflationary costs, lower overhead absorption, and changes in product mix.
  • Company is focused on improving operating efficiencies and remains optimistic about future opportunities in brake-related products and the EV market.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$152M

Previous: $162M-6.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.21

Previous: $0.60-65.0%
EBITDA

$6.63M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$3.61M

Previous: -$5.11M+29.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$25M

Previous: -$27.3M+8.2%
Net Income

$1.03M

Previous: $3.14M-67.3%
Operating Income

$3.53M

Previous: $8.68M-59.4%
Gross Profit

$21M

Previous: $32.6M-35.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$12.6M

Previous: $7.77M+61.9%
Total Assets

$1.02B

Previous: $938M+8.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.02M

Previous: $2.03M-49.7%

Revenue & EPS history

MPA · Revenue · Quarterly

$152M

Q3 2023-6.2%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Motorcar Parts of America expects net sales for its fiscal year ending March 31, 2023 to be between $672 million to $680 million. Operating income is expected to be between $41 million and $46 million.

Tailwinds

  • Annualized price increases of $20 million commencing in current fourth quarter enhances cash flow and gross margin improvement
  • Approximately $52 million annualized net sales have resumed in the fourth quarter as delayed business and customer order patterns normalize
  • Solid new business wins in hard parts and EV emulation shipping in fiscal 2024
  • Brake pad and rotor product line net sales expected to double in fiscal 2024
  • Cost-saving initiatives and sales ramp up to enhance gross margins

Headwinds

  • Revised sales guidance $672 - $680 million, with expectations of achieving record fiscal 2023 fourth quarter sales as momentum resumes
  • Net sales are expected to increase between 5.5 and 6.8 percent in fiscal year 2023, excluding $13.3 million of core revenue realized in fiscal year 2022 (which the company does not expect in fiscal 2023)
  • EBITDA is expected to be between $54 million and $59 million for fiscal 2023 based on the items listed below
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $75 million and $80 million as discussed below
  • The company estimates other non-cash items will be approximately $17 million, including core and finished goods premium amortization and share-based compensation, and cash expenses will be approximately $4 million for special EV-related research and development expenses and severance, impacting operating income.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+2.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

34 / 65 earnings

Positive

+34.8%

Q4 2026

Best reaction

-26.4%

Q2 2026

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+34.8%+42.1%
Q3 2026-17.5%-23.6%-20.5%
Q2 2026-26.4%-24.7%-21.9%
Q1 2026+22.6%+21.8%+29.9%
Q4 2025-0.7%+4.3%-2.0%
Q3 2025+10.6%+61.7%+86.6%
Q2 2025+15.9%+18.8%+41.8%
Q1 2025+0.3%+2.5%-2.7%
Q4 2024-3.5%+7.3%+22.3%
Q3 2024+3.8%-1.5%-11.0%
Q2 2024+4.0%+7.1%+14.6%
Q1 2024-8.2%-6.2%-15.4%
Q4 2023+15.6%+26.8%+56.9%
Q3 2023-10.2%-10.4%-32.5%
Q2 2023-12.9%-23.6%-49.9%
Q1 2023+0.4%+9.6%-1.9%
Q4 2022-6.3%-16.0%-12.6%
Q3 2022+1.3%-0.7%+3.3%
Q2 2022-1.5%-0.8%-1.4%
Q1 2022-1.5%-2.0%-16.0%
Q4 2021+3.6%-4.4%-0.4%
Q3 2021-16.3%-19.8%-7.1%
Q2 2021+22.9%+13.9%+48.6%
Q1 2021-3.3%-1.0%-8.4%
Q4 2020-1.1%-0.3%+7.7%
Q3 2020-15.9%-12.5%-25.8%
Q2 2020+8.0%+2.2%+10.5%
Q1 2020-6.0%-5.5%-14.6%
Q4 2019+11.9%+5.3%-1.1%
Q3 2019-2.6%+7.5%+1.9%
Q2 2019+6.1%+4.0%+4.3%
Q1 2019+9.7%+12.4%+13.8%
Q4 2018-7.1%-4.1%-6.3%
Q3 2018-12.5%+0.3%-11.4%
Q2 2018-2.7%-2.6%-6.6%
Q1 2018+4.9%+5.6%+1.4%
Q4 2017-6.2%-4.4%-1.5%
Q3 2017-0.3%+1.4%+2.0%
Q2 2017+12.9%+11.6%+21.2%
Q1 2017+6.3%+4.9%+0.2%
Q4 2016+10.0%+13.9%-2.2%
Q3 2016+2.9%
Q2 2016+18.4%
Q1 2016+7.8%
Q4 2015+3.7%
Q3 2015-0.7%
Q2 2015+16.9%
Q1 2015+12.4%
Q4 2014+4.7%
Q3 2014+15.2%
Q2 2014+31.9%
Q1 2014+11.1%
Q4 2013+7.0%
Q3 2013-16.2%
Q2 2013+2.9%
Q1 2013+13.5%
Q4 2010-4.5%
Q4 2012-4.5%
Q3 2011-14.7%
Q3 2012-14.7%
Q2 2012+10.3%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q2 2011-0.5%
Q1 2011-0.5%
Q1 2012-0.5%

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