NASDAQ$LNZA

LanzaTech Global Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Financial results reported for Q3 2024, outlook updated for 2024, and business model expanded to accelerate revenue growth.

LanzaTech reported a disappointing Q3 2024 with revenue of $9.9 million, missing financial targets due to a delay in a LanzaJet sublicensing event and softer ethanol pricing. However, the company announced a long-term off-take agreement with ArcelorMittal and advanced Project Drake, positioning it for greater upside.

  • Announced a two-stage ethanol off-take agreement with ArcelorMittal, including contracts for one-year and five-year terms.
  • Announced Project Drake, a 30 million gallon per year, EU-based, ethanol-to-sustainable aviation fuel project, with a financing commitment expected by the end of 2024.
  • Reported revenue of $9.9 million for third-quarter 2024, compared to $19.6 million for third-quarter 2023, with the decrease driven by timing delay in anticipated LanzaJet sublicensing event and higher engineering services revenue in the prior year.
  • Expanding business model to complement licensing business by developing and financing more of LanzaTech's own projects with infrastructure capital partners.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$9.94M

Previous: $19.6M-49.3%
EPS

-$0.29

Previous: -$0.13-123.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.56M

Previous: -$7.14M+50.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$61M

Previous: -$32.5M-87.9%
Net Income

-$57.4M

Previous: -$25.3M-126.8%
Operating Income

-$33M

Previous: -$24.6M-34.0%
Gross Profit

$9.24M

Previous: $18.9M-51.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$58.7M

Previous: $91.4M-35.7%
Total Assets

$216M

Previous: $246M-12.2%
R&D Expense

$22M

Previous: $16.6M+32.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.51M

Previous: $3.22M+9.0%

Revenue & EPS history

LanzaTech · Revenue · Quarterly

$9.94M

Q3 2024-49.3%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 2 of 11 quarters(18%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

LanzaTech · $1M total across 1 segment · Q2 2023

  • CarbonSmart
    $1M

Forward guidance

LanzaTech anticipates a wide range of potential financial outcomes for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, contingent on several large initiatives with varying degrees of timing uncertainty.

Tailwinds

  • Base business expected to generate approximately $10.0 million in revenue.
  • Advancement of Project Drake is forecasted to have a material positive impact on cash flow and income.
  • Potential project transfer in Norway, pending a positive FID evaluation by Brookfield, could represent approximately $20.0 million of revenue or income.
  • Finalization of the award contracting process for Project SECURE is forecasted to generate approximately $4.0 million of revenue.
  • Successful signing of another Alcohol-to-Jet sublicense agreement by LanzaJet could result in additional share consideration and incremental revenue estimated to be approximately $8.0 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 16 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-4.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

29%

5 / 17 earnings

Positive

+25.0%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-13.5%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-5.8%-53.9%-71.5%
Q4 2025+25.0%+12.5%+54.8%
Q4 2024+8.7%+24.7%+25.1%
Q3 2025-4.7%-7.6%+2.4%
Q2 2025-4.6%+1.0%-6.8%
Q1 2025-5.7%-24.6%+1.9%
Q3 2024-13.5%-29.2%-43.8%
Q2 2024-9.8%+0.0%+2.3%
Q1 2024-8.9%+1.7%-22.9%
Q4 2023-4.5%-5.0%-8.2%
Q3 2023+0.5%+13.1%+14.7%
Q2 2023-6.9%+0.6%+11.1%
Q1 2023-3.5%-2.3%+24.0%
Q4 2022+15.1%-8.6%-7.0%
Q3 2022+0.1%+0.2%+0.5%
Q2 2022-0.6%-0.6%-0.6%
Q1 2022+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%

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