NASDAQ$LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lumentum's Q4 2022 results were announced, with revenue above the midpoint and operating margin and EPS exceeding guidance.

Lumentum reported Q4 2022 net revenue of $422.1 million and GAAP net income per share of $0.49. The company achieved record revenue in datacom EMLs, coherent components, pump lasers, tunable products, and sub-sea components in fiscal year 2022.

  • Q4 revenue was $422.1 million.
  • GAAP diluted net income per share was $0.49.
  • Non-GAAP diluted net income per share was $1.47.
  • The company completed the acquisition of NeoPhotonics and announced the purchase of IPG’s telecom transmission product lines.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$422M

Previous: $392M+7.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.47

Previous: $1.15+27.8%
Capital Expenditures

$28.6M

Previous: $18.4M+55.4%
Free Cash Flow

$85.7M

Previous: $106M-19.0%
Net Income

$34.7M

Previous: $21.5M+61.4%
Operating Income

$55.4M

Previous: $45.8M+21.0%
Gross Profit

$182M

Previous: $163M+11.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.29B

Previous: $774M+66.6%
Total Assets

$4.16B

Previous: $3.55B+17.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$27.7M

Previous: $24.2M+14.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Lumentum · Revenue · Quarterly

$422M

Q4 2022+7.7%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Lumentum expects net revenue in the range of $490 million to $520 million for the fiscal first quarter of 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Net revenue in the range of $490 million to $520 million
  • Non-GAAP operating margin of 25.0% to 27.0%
  • Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $1.45 to $1.70
  • Estimated share count of 71.5 million utilizing the treasury stock method.
  • Positioned to create even more value for cloud and networking customers.

Headwinds

  • Share normalization in 3D sensing for smartphones.
  • Highly volatile non-GAAP adjustments
  • Low visibility as to the range that may be incurred in the future.
  • Component shortages in Telecom business
  • Uncertainty related to global markets

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.5%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

21 / 47 earnings

Positive

+25.8%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-21.5%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-7.7%+5.9%-13.2%
Q2 2026+11.3%+32.6%+28.3%
Q1 2026+23.6%+38.0%+75.9%
Q3 2025+3.0%+11.3%+26.5%
Q2 2025-7.3%-14.5%-33.0%
Q1 2025+16.5%+20.4%+29.0%
Q4 2024+13.0%+14.2%+20.6%
Q3 2024-7.5%-2.1%+1.5%
Q2 2024-14.6%-19.0%-18.9%
Q1 2024-5.9%-2.6%+4.8%
Q4 2023+2.5%+9.6%+3.1%
Q3 2023-7.0%-11.8%+6.7%
Q2 2023-2.9%-3.0%-15.7%
Q1 2023-21.5%-18.0%-20.8%
Q4 2022-7.2%-3.9%-21.1%
Q3 2022+8.1%+5.9%+2.3%
Q2 2022-10.5%-5.5%-7.5%
Q1 2022+7.5%+6.3%-1.0%
Q4 2021+5.9%+7.4%+6.4%
Q3 2021-17.9%-12.1%-1.6%
Q2 2021-7.4%-7.2%-10.8%
Q1 2021-1.1%+7.2%+5.4%
Q4 2020+5.6%+5.6%-20.2%
Q3 2020+2.7%+3.7%-2.3%
Q2 2020+12.9%+13.1%+12.7%
Q1 2020+13.9%+15.1%+28.8%
Q4 2019+8.6%+8.2%+4.9%
Q3 2019-2.4%-3.7%-27.6%
Q2 2019-5.8%-14.7%-6.7%
Q1 2019-4.2%+0.8%-18.6%
Q4 2018+1.0%+0.8%+13.7%
Q3 2018+11.3%+16.7%+16.4%
Q2 2018+25.8%+34.3%+53.4%
Q1 2018-6.8%-9.1%-17.3%
Q4 2017-10.5%-8.7%-4.8%
Q3 2017+15.7%+20.1%+36.4%
Q2 2017+18.2%+22.3%+18.2%
Q1 2017-7.9%-11.9%+1.4%
Q4 2016+1.8%+4.6%+20.2%
Q3 2015-5.2%
Q3 2016-5.2%
Q2 2016+9.2%
Q1 2015-0.6%
Q1 2016-0.4%
Q4 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-0.1%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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