NASDAQ$LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lumentum's financial results for Q3 2020 were announced.

Lumentum reported a net revenue of $402.8 million for the fiscal third quarter of 2020, with a GAAP net income of $43.4 million, or $0.56 per diluted share. The COVID-19 pandemic impacted revenue by more than $10 million higher than prior guidance.

  • Net revenue was $402.8 million.
  • GAAP operating margin was 10.6%; Non-GAAP operating margin was 25.0%.
  • GAAP diluted net income per share was $0.56; Non-GAAP diluted net income per share was $1.26.
  • COVID-19 revenue impact was more than $10 million higher than in prior guidance.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$403M

Previous: $433M-7.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.26

Previous: $0.91+38.5%
Operating Margin

10.6%

No prior period
Non Gaap Operating Margin

25.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$64.9M

Previous: -$80.5M+19.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$21.5M

Previous: -$155M+86.1%
Net Income

$43.4M

Previous: -$74.3M+158.4%
Operating Income

$42.5M

Previous: -$76.4M+155.6%
Gross Profit

$158M

Previous: $88.3M+78.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$688M

Previous: $357M+92.6%
Total Assets

$3.27B

Previous: $2.77B+17.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$19.2M

Previous: $16M+20.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Lumentum · Revenue · Quarterly

$403M

Q3 2020-7%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Lumentum expects net revenue in the range of $325 million to $365 million, Non-GAAP operating margin of 18% to 21% and Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.70 to $0.90 for the fiscal fourth quarter 2020. Estimated fourth quarter impact from COVID-19 is a reduction in revenue of more than $90 million and a reduction in non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of more than $0.50

Tailwinds

  • Net revenue in the range of $325 million to $365 million
  • Non-GAAP operating margin of 18% to 21%
  • Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.70 to $0.90

Headwinds

  • Estimated fourth quarter impact from COVID-19 is a reduction in revenue of more than $90 million
  • Estimated fourth quarter impact from COVID-19 is a reduction in non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of more than $0.50

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.5%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

21 / 47 earnings

Positive

+25.8%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-21.5%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-7.7%+5.9%-13.2%
Q2 2026+11.3%+32.6%+28.3%
Q1 2026+23.6%+38.0%+75.9%
Q3 2025+3.0%+11.3%+26.5%
Q2 2025-7.3%-14.5%-33.0%
Q1 2025+16.5%+20.4%+29.0%
Q4 2024+13.0%+14.2%+20.6%
Q3 2024-7.5%-2.1%+1.5%
Q2 2024-14.6%-19.0%-18.9%
Q1 2024-5.9%-2.6%+4.8%
Q4 2023+2.5%+9.6%+3.1%
Q3 2023-7.0%-11.8%+6.7%
Q2 2023-2.9%-3.0%-15.7%
Q1 2023-21.5%-18.0%-20.8%
Q4 2022-7.2%-3.9%-21.1%
Q3 2022+8.1%+5.9%+2.3%
Q2 2022-10.5%-5.5%-7.5%
Q1 2022+7.5%+6.3%-1.0%
Q4 2021+5.9%+7.4%+6.4%
Q3 2021-17.9%-12.1%-1.6%
Q2 2021-7.4%-7.2%-10.8%
Q1 2021-1.1%+7.2%+5.4%
Q4 2020+5.6%+5.6%-20.2%
Q3 2020+2.7%+3.7%-2.3%
Q2 2020+12.9%+13.1%+12.7%
Q1 2020+13.9%+15.1%+28.8%
Q4 2019+8.6%+8.2%+4.9%
Q3 2019-2.4%-3.7%-27.6%
Q2 2019-5.8%-14.7%-6.7%
Q1 2019-4.2%+0.8%-18.6%
Q4 2018+1.0%+0.8%+13.7%
Q3 2018+11.3%+16.7%+16.4%
Q2 2018+25.8%+34.3%+53.4%
Q1 2018-6.8%-9.1%-17.3%
Q4 2017-10.5%-8.7%-4.8%
Q3 2017+15.7%+20.1%+36.4%
Q2 2017+18.2%+22.3%+18.2%
Q1 2017-7.9%-11.9%+1.4%
Q4 2016+1.8%+4.6%+20.2%
Q3 2015-5.2%
Q3 2016-5.2%
Q2 2016+9.2%
Q1 2015-0.6%
Q1 2016-0.4%
Q4 2015-0.1%
Q2 2015-0.1%
Q4 2014-0.1%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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