NASDAQ$LILA

Liberty Latin America Ltd. · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported sequential financial growth with Q2 revenue up 2% and strong Adjusted OIBDA growth in C&W Panama & C&W Caribbean. Experienced post-migration impacts in Puerto Rico, with performance expected to improve in H2. Agreed to combine operations with Tigo in Costa Rica.

Liberty Latin America reported flat revenue year-over-year at $1,118 million for Q2 2024. The company experienced strong performances in Panama, Costa Rica, and the Caribbean, offset by challenges in Puerto Rico following a mobile subscriber migration. Adjusted OIBDA decreased by 12% to $389.1 million.

  • C&W Caribbean: YoY reported and rebased revenue growth of 3% and 4%, respectively, and Adj. OIBDA growth of 7% and 8%, respectively.
  • C&W Panama: YoY revenue and Adj. OIBDA growth of 9% and 10%, respectively, with 51,000 postpaid mobile subscriber additions.
  • Liberty Networks: YoY reported enterprise revenue up 17%.
  • Liberty Costa Rica: YoY reported and rebased revenue growth of 9% and 4%, respectively, with postpaid net adds 65% higher YoY.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.12B

Previous: $1.12B-0.4%
EPS

-$0.22

Previous: $0.17-229.4%
Total Customers

2.0M

No prior period
Fixed RGUs

4.0M

No prior period
Mobile Subscribers

7.9M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$142M

Previous: -$337M+57.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$42.7M

Previous: -$299M+85.7%
Net Income

-$42.7M

Previous: $38.2M-211.8%
Operating Income

$111M

Previous: $140M-20.6%
Gross Profit

$873M

Previous: $889M-1.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$599M

Previous: $633M-5.4%
Total Assets

$13.2B

Previous: $13.4B-1.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.9M

Previous: $24.5M-51.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Liberty Latin America · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.12B

Q2 2024-0.4%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Looking to the second half of the year, the company anticipates a significant inflection in financial performance, driven by improved performance in Puerto Rico and continued momentum across the rest of the group.

Tailwinds

  • Significant inflection in financial performance expected in the second half of the year.
  • Move past impacts from Puerto Rico migration.
  • Begin to execute on growth plans in Puerto Rico.
  • Maintain healthy positive momentum across the rest of the group.
  • Expect synergies, operating cost improvements and top line sequential growth will drive Adjusted OIBDA to more than $45 million per month towards the end of the second half in Puerto Rico.

Headwinds

  • Hurricane Beryl impacted Jamaica operation and certain smaller operations within C&W Caribbean.
  • Revenue and Adjusted OIBDA will be negatively impacted by between $10 million and $20 million for the remainder of 2024 due to Hurricane Beryl.
  • Property and equipment additions of approximately $10 million to $20 million will be incurred to replace infrastructure and equipment damaged by Hurricane Beryl.
  • Potential adverse subscriber and financial impacts during the remainder of 2024 due to Hurricane Beryl.
  • Still in the process of assessing the impact of Hurricane Beryl on homes passed and subscribers.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.5%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

25 / 42 earnings

Positive

+19.0%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-29.4%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.3%-3.2%-2.8%
Q4 2025+3.6%+4.7%+1.0%
Q3 2025+7.6%+1.3%+12.6%
Q1 2025-15.1%-11.5%-8.7%
Q4 2024-5.3%-5.7%-6.7%
Q3 2024-17.6%-25.4%-31.6%
Q2 2024-7.3%-8.1%-4.0%
Q1 2024+5.8%+2.9%+10.7%
Q4 2023-7.7%-2.2%+2.5%
Q3 2023+8.9%+7.9%+8.3%
Q2 2023+19.0%+13.2%-3.0%
Q1 2023+1.0%-6.9%+3.6%
Q4 2022+7.6%+2.3%-8.1%
Q3 2022-10.2%-2.2%-14.8%
Q2 2022+3.6%+1.2%-6.4%
Q1 2022-6.5%-16.1%-3.0%
Q4 2021-3.9%-6.8%-11.7%
Q3 2021+2.0%+4.5%-10.8%
Q2 2021+8.0%+3.7%+7.2%
Q1 2021+2.9%-0.6%+2.8%
Q4 2020+13.4%+18.5%+19.4%
Q3 2020-2.0%+3.6%+13.3%
Q2 2020-9.9%-2.7%-3.2%
Q1 2020-8.8%-4.6%-0.6%
Q4 2019+10.3%+5.0%-45.3%
Q3 2019-0.4%-6.4%-12.2%
Q2 2019+8.4%+8.7%+8.2%
Q1 2019-8.5%-11.0%-17.5%
Q4 2018+2.3%+2.8%+6.4%
Q3 2018+6.2%-0.2%-9.1%
Q2 2018-1.2%-3.1%+5.9%
Q1 2018+2.0%+2.8%+5.9%
Q4 2017+5.5%+5.5%-3.9%
Q3 2017+3.3%+0.8%-1.0%
Q2 2017+1.0%+2.5%-3.2%
Q1 2017+6.5%+1.4%+3.9%
Q4 2016+15.2%+18.9%+0.9%
Q3 2016-29.4%-25.1%-22.0%
Q2 2016-7.7%-15.7%-19.1%
Q1 2016+3.5%
Q4 2015+3.0%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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