NASDAQ$LCID

Lucid Group Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lucid reported Q4 2021 financial results and updated its 2022 outlook.

Lucid Group, Inc. announced its Q4 revenue was $26.4 million, including $21.3 million from initial deliveries of Lucid Air Dream Edition. They delivered 125 cars to customers in the fourth quarter. Customer reservations exceed 25,000, reflecting potential sales of more than $2.4B. The company is updating its 2022 production outlook for Lucid Air to a range of 12,000 to 14,000 vehicles.

  • Customer reservations now exceed 25,000, reflecting potential sales of more than $2.4B
  • Inaugural customer deliveries of the 2022 MotorTrend Car of the Year®, the Lucid Air, are underway, starting with the sold-out Dream Edition
  • Production exceeds 400 vehicles as of February 28, 2022, with 125 customer deliveries as of year-end 2021 and over 300 deliveries to date
  • Updating 2022 production outlook for Lucid Air to a range of 12,000 to 14,000 vehicles

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$26.4M

Previous: $3.63M+626.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.64

Previous: -$8.88+92.8%
Vehicles Delivered

125

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$122M

Previous: $460M-73.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$435M

Previous: -$652M+33.4%
Net Income

-$1.05B

Previous: -$311M-235.9%
Operating Income

-$486M

Previous: -$200M-143.2%
Gross Profit

-$125M

Previous: $1.11M-11328.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$6.26B

Previous: $614M+919.3%
Total Assets

$7.88B

Previous: $1.4B+461.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$151M

Previous: $1.36M+10994.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Lucid · Revenue · Quarterly

$26.4M

Q4 2021+626.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 2 of 11 quarters(18%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Lucid is updating its outlook for 2022 production to a range of 12,000 to 14,000 vehicles due to supply chain and logistics challenges, while remaining focused on delivering the highest-quality products. The location of their first international manufacturing plant in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia may result in up to $3.4 billion of value to Lucid over 15 years.

Tailwinds

  • Strong demand for Lucid Air
  • Technology leadership
  • Expansion of Casa Grande facility on track
  • Plans to build new manufacturing facility in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
  • Potential for $3.4 billion of value from Saudi Arabia manufacturing plant over 15 years

Headwinds

  • Extraordinary supply chain challenges
  • Logistics challenges
  • Focus on delivering the highest-quality products
  • Updated 2022 production outlook to a range of 12,000 to 14,000 vehicles
  • No specific financial guidance beyond production numbers

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-2.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-7.7%

Avg return

30 days after

30%

7 / 23 earnings

Positive

+26.4%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-19.1%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-6.6%-4.9%-14.6%
Q4 2025+2.1%+1.1%-5.2%
Q3 2025+4.9%-1.5%-22.2%
Q1 2025-3.0%+12.4%-7.7%
Q4 2024-13.4%-18.8%-11.1%
Q3 2024+3.8%+0.5%+8.0%
Q2 2024-1.0%+2.2%+22.4%
Q1 2024-6.1%-4.5%+0.2%
Q4 2023-16.3%-14.4%-24.7%
Q3 2023-8.6%-12.0%+3.7%
Q2 2023+8.6%+0.3%-7.3%
Q1 2023-5.8%-8.9%-17.2%
Q4 2022-11.2%-11.5%-17.3%
Q3 2022-19.1%-6.8%-37.3%
Q2 2022-5.9%-5.1%-23.2%
Q1 2022-10.4%-21.3%-7.8%
Q4 2021-5.2%-14.1%+0.6%
Q4 2019-15.8%-8.6%-6.1%
Q3 2021+26.4%+25.7%-7.1%
Q2 2021-3.9%-7.7%-15.2%
Q1 2021+19.5%+21.5%+40.6%
Q4 2020+2.8%-6.3%-29.9%
Q3 2020-0.2%-0.3%+2.1%

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