NASDAQ$HNRG

Hallador Energy Company · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Hallador Energy reported mixed results with strong shipments but a net loss due to asset impairments.

Hallador Energy Company reported its financial and operating results for the year ended December 31, 2019. The company experienced strong shipments in Q4 and decided to permanently close the Carlisle Mine. However, the company reported a net loss of $59.9 million after $77.9 million in asset impairments.

  • Adjusted EBITDA was $16.7 million for the quarter and $68.7 million for the year.
  • 2.0 million tons of coal were shipped in the 4th quarter.
  • The Carlisle Mine is being permanently closed.
  • A net loss of $1.7 million was reported before the effects of impairments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$78.7M

Previous: $89.7M-12.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.05

Previous: $0.09-155.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$16.7M

No prior period
Net Income

-$59.9M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Hallador Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$78.7M

Q4 2019-12.2%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Hallador Energy is forecasting 6.7 million tons of coal shipments going forward and expects to generate $20 million in cash from lowering coal and parts inventories throughout 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Concentrating production on lower cost Oaktown Mines, returning cost structure to $28-$30/ton.
  • Moving $23 million in equipment and infrastructure to Oaktown, decreasing companywide capex to ~$20 million in 2020.
  • Leading to capex reductions in future years.
  • Generating $20 million in cash from lowering coal and parts inventories throughout 2020.
  • 2020 = 100% contracted at 6.7 million ton pace.

Headwinds

  • Permanently closing the Carlisle Mine.
  • Impairment of $65.7 million was recorded as a result of permanently closing the Carlisle mine.
  • Bulldog reserve was impaired by $9.2 million.
  • Hourglass Sands project was impaired by $2.9 million.
  • Forecasting 6.7 million tons of coal shipments going forward.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+8.2%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+30.9%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-19.7%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.0%+9.5%-5.7%
Q4 2025-11.2%-15.1%-21.4%
Q3 2025+18.8%+1.6%+13.9%
Q1 2025+21.0%+26.6%+6.4%
Q4 2024+4.1%+11.3%+25.2%
Q3 2024+19.3%+16.7%+12.6%
Q2 2024-19.7%-14.0%-5.9%
Q1 2024+5.8%+21.3%+69.1%
Q4 2023-6.0%-24.6%-39.4%
Q3 2023-14.5%-11.0%-12.5%
Q2 2023+3.5%+7.2%+11.4%
Q1 2023+16.0%+19.7%+6.6%
Q4 2022+13.1%+18.7%+24.4%
Q3 2022+13.5%+15.1%+35.3%
Q2 2022-11.8%+0.3%-18.8%
Q1 2022+0.6%+12.7%+76.1%
Q4 2021-15.5%-15.2%+7.4%
Q3 2021-12.5%-15.7%-22.7%
Q2 2021-17.6%-16.1%-13.6%
Q1 2021+3.4%+14.5%+35.7%
Q4 2020+16.2%+15.6%+27.7%
Q3 2020+14.9%+17.5%+20.3%
Q2 2020+30.9%+34.5%+15.7%
Q1 2020-3.4%-3.9%+66.4%
Q4 2019+16.8%+12.6%-11.6%
Q3 2019-6.2%-15.5%-8.0%
Q2 2019-6.4%-7.3%-28.1%
Q1 2019+4.1%+12.4%+8.7%
Q4 2018+8.5%+14.1%-3.5%
Q3 2018+1.1%+0.7%-7.3%
Q2 2018-0.9%-7.3%-14.1%
Q1 2018+5.5%+10.0%+11.5%
Q4 2017-3.1%+1.2%+6.7%
Q3 2017+0.8%+9.2%+13.9%
Q2 2017-4.4%-6.9%-14.0%
Q1 2017+21.9%+18.1%+19.5%
Q4 2016+1.2%-4.8%-4.0%
Q3 2016-1.3%+11.1%+2.8%
Q2 2016+5.1%+5.1%+34.2%
Q1 2016-5.2%
Q4 2015+1.9%
Q3 2015+3.2%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015-0.2%
Q4 2014-3.1%
Q3 2014-5.7%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+0.1%
Q4 2013+6.1%
Q3 2013-3.4%
Q2 2013-0.6%
Q1 2013+2.7%
Q4 2012-2.2%
Q3 2012-0.5%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q1 2011-0.5%
Q4 2011-3.2%
Q3 2010+1.9%
Q3 2011+1.9%
Q2 2010+0.0%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q4 2010+0.0%
Q1 2010-7.2%

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