NASDAQ$GSM

Ferroglobe Plc · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ferroglobe reported a decrease in sales and net income for Q1 2025, with adjusted EBITDA turning negative, while maintaining positive free cash flow.

Ferroglobe reported a challenging first quarter of 2025 with sales decreasing by 16.4% quarter-over-quarter and 21.6% year-over-year to $307.2 million. The company posted a net loss of $66.5 million and adjusted EBITDA of $(26.8) million, reflecting an uncertain market environment and lower pricing. Despite this, Ferroglobe generated positive free cash flow of $5.1 million and maintained a strong balance sheet with no net debt.

  • Adjusted EBITDA was $(26.8) million, a significant decrease from the prior quarter and prior year, primarily due to lower pricing and higher energy costs.
  • The company generated $5.1 million in free cash flow, which was used to pay increased dividends and repurchase shares.
  • Sales decreased by 16.4% quarter-over-quarter and 21.6% year-over-year, mainly driven by lower sales volumes and pricing across all portfolio products.
  • Ferroglobe repurchased 720,008 shares and increased its quarterly cash dividend to $0.014 per share, demonstrating a commitment to returning capital to shareholders despite the challenging quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$307M

Previous: $392M-21.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.20

Previous: -$0.01-1757.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

-$26.8M

No prior period
Operating Cash Flow

$19.4M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$14.3M

No prior period
Total Cash

$130M

No prior period
Adjusted Gross Debt

$110M

No prior period
Net Debt

$19.2M

No prior period
Total Working Capital

$436M

No prior period
Silicon Metal Shipments

36.3K

No prior period
Silicon Metal ASP

$2.88K

No prior period
Silicon Metal Adj EBITDA

-$15.4M

No prior period
Silicon Metal Adj EBITDA Margin

-14.8%

No prior period
Raw Materials & Energy

$238M

No prior period
Net Income

-$66.5M

Previous: -$2.02M-3184.7%
Operating Income

-$55.7M

Previous: -$8.28M-572.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Ferroglobe · Revenue · Quarterly

$307M

Q1 2025-21.6%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ferroglobe · $276M total across 3 segments · Q3 2025

  • Silicon Metal
    $99M
  • Silicon-Based Alloys
    $92.3M
  • Manganese-Based Alloys
    $84.4M

Forward guidance

Ferroglobe anticipates significant improvement from the second quarter forward, driven by market trough conditions, supportive trade actions in the U.S., and expected EU safeguard measures.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipates significant improvement in adjusted EBITDA from the second quarter forward.
  • Believes the market is at or near its trough, suggesting potential for recovery.
  • Supportive trade actions in the U.S., including the final ferrosilicon determination and a newly filed petition against unfair silicon metal imports, are expected to benefit the company.
  • Expected EU safeguard measures covering main products should begin to benefit the company in the second half of the year.
  • Improving demand is expected to translate into higher revenues, positioning local producers like Ferroglobe to regain market share.

Headwinds

  • The first quarter adjusted EBITDA was negative, reflecting an uncertain market environment.
  • The company expects a modest increase in working capital over the next two quarters as production ramps up in France.
  • The current market environment is uncertain, which could impact the pace of recovery.
  • The benefits from EU safeguard measures are not expected until the second half of the year.
  • The company's outlook is based on assumptions that management believes to be reasonable, but are inherently uncertain, and actual results may differ materially.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.1%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

31 / 52 earnings

Positive

+31.3%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-61.9%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-16.1%-12.8%-12.6%
Q4 2025+4.4%+2.1%-22.4%
Q3 2025-8.2%-17.5%+3.3%
Q2 2025+9.5%-2.7%+5.9%
Q1 2025+2.4%+17.3%+20.8%
Q4 2024-5.0%-6.0%+0.0%
Q3 2024+1.9%-2.1%+0.0%
Q2 2024-1.0%-4.9%-11.5%
Q1 2024+9.9%+10.6%-0.2%
Q3 2023+3.8%-2.2%+34.9%
Q2 2023+6.4%+15.7%+12.8%
Q1 2023+3.4%+11.4%+21.3%
Q4 2022+15.6%+13.3%+2.5%
Q3 2022-19.3%-22.0%-38.4%
Q2 2022+7.9%+3.9%+3.8%
Q1 2022+13.9%+23.7%+27.4%
Q4 2021+19.8%+15.4%+7.9%
Q3 2021-7.1%-11.6%-16.6%
Q2 2021+8.7%+29.2%+33.9%
Q1 2021+6.2%+4.6%+27.3%
Q4 2020-10.7%-14.7%+1.1%
Q3 2020+22.3%+48.4%+68.8%
Q2 2020-2.7%-13.7%+31.4%
Q1 2020-6.0%-15.7%-38.6%
Q4 2019-7.8%-31.2%-46.2%
Q3 2019+8.5%+21.9%+46.9%
Q2 2019-8.4%-6.9%-25.2%
Q1 2019+4.1%+10.8%+20.9%
Q4 2018+31.3%+30.3%-2.4%
Q3 2018-61.9%-53.2%-65.3%
Q2 2018-2.9%+2.1%+3.6%
Q1 2018+7.7%-5.8%-16.9%
Q4 2017+4.6%+7.9%-30.6%
Q3 2017-2.3%-1.2%+0.1%
Q2 2017-4.3%+4.2%-4.6%
Q1 2017+8.7%+16.8%+14.0%
Q4 2016+7.3%+2.7%-1.4%
Q3 2016+1.6%-0.3%-0.3%
Q2 2016-16.0%-14.7%-11.5%
Q1 2016+0.9%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q3 2015+10.4%
Q2 2015-4.7%
Q1 2015+0.2%
Q4 2014+6.3%
Q3 2014+2.2%
Q2 2014+4.0%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q4 2013+2.6%
Q3 2013-4.0%
Q2 2013-0.6%
Q1 2013-6.1%

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