NASDAQ$FANG

Diamondback Energy Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Diamondback's financial performance remained strong, driven by robust production and efficient capital management.

Diamondback Energy, Inc. reported strong financial and operating results for Q4 2023, including average production of 462.6 MBOE/d, net income of $960 million, and free cash flow of $910 million. The company increased its annual base dividend by 7% and repurchased shares of common stock, demonstrating its commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

  • Average production reached 462.6 MBOE/d.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities totaled $1.6 billion.
  • Free cash flow was $910 million.
  • The company repurchased 872,667 shares for $129 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.23B

Previous: $2.03B+9.8%
EPS (adj)

$4.74

Previous: $5.29-10.4%
Avg daily BOE (boe/d)

462.6K

Previous: 391.4K+18.2%
Operating cash flow

$1.62B

Previous: $1.44B+12.8%
OCF before WC changes

$1.56B

Previous: $1.67B-6.6%
Cash capital expenditures

$649M

Previous: $542M+19.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$1.68B

Previous: $1.64B+2.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$2.66B

No prior period
Net Income

$1.01B

Previous: $1.03B-1.7%
Operating Income

$1.21B

Previous: $1.26B-4.1%
Gross Profit

$1.25B

Previous: $1.32B-5.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$14M

Previous: $13M+7.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Diamondback · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.23B

Q4 2023+9.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Diamondback provided guidance for the full year 2024, including production and capital expenditure estimates.

Tailwinds

  • Full year 2024 oil production guidance of 270 - 275 MBO/d (458 - 466 MBOE/d)
  • Full year 2024 cash capital expenditures guidance of $2.30 - $2.55 billion
  • Expects to drill between 265 - 285 gross (244 - 263 net) wells and complete between 300 - 320 gross (273 - 291 net) wells with an average lateral length of approximately 11,500 feet in 2024
  • Q1 2024 oil production guidance of 270 - 274 MBO/d (458 - 464 MBOE/d)
  • Q1 2024 cash capital expenditures guidance of $580 - $620 million

Headwinds

  • Corporate tax rate (% of pre-tax income) of 23%
  • Cash tax rate (% of pre-tax income) of 15% - 18%
  • Midland Basin net lateral feet (%) ~90%
  • Delaware Basin net lateral feet (%) ~10%
  • Gathering, processing and transportation $1.80 - $2.00

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

33 / 57 earnings

Positive

+8.9%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.9%-9.3%+1.1%
Q4 2025+0.5%+0.1%+16.3%
Q3 2025-1.3%+1.7%+12.9%
Q2 2025-2.2%-4.1%-3.9%
Q1 2025-0.7%+3.6%+3.3%
Q4 2024-2.1%+2.4%+3.2%
Q3 2024-0.1%+3.5%-2.7%
Q2 2024+0.3%+5.7%-2.5%
Q1 2024-4.8%-2.1%-4.1%
Q4 2023+0.2%-1.7%+8.3%
Q3 2023-2.0%-2.7%-9.6%
Q2 2023+1.5%+2.0%+3.9%
Q1 2023-5.0%-6.6%-10.6%
Q4 2022+1.9%+5.7%-6.0%
Q3 2022+1.4%+1.8%-15.4%
Q2 2022-0.4%-5.2%+4.1%
Q1 2022+7.8%+13.2%+21.1%
Q4 2021-1.5%+1.4%+8.9%
Q3 2021+6.8%+6.2%-3.9%
Q2 2021+4.4%+3.8%-3.9%
Q1 2021-3.1%+3.0%+5.8%
Q4 2020+8.3%+5.7%+13.5%
Q3 2020+8.3%-4.7%+56.1%
Q2 2020+3.0%+5.4%-8.9%
Q1 2020+0.1%+4.5%+18.1%
Q4 2019+5.8%+1.9%-75.1%
Q3 2019-14.6%-16.5%-11.5%
Q2 2019+1.4%+5.4%+6.8%
Q1 2019+5.1%+7.1%-3.1%
Q4 2018+0.9%-1.4%+0.4%
Q3 2018-0.1%-1.8%-12.2%
Q2 2018-2.7%-2.1%-16.4%
Q1 2018+4.8%-4.9%-12.4%
Q4 2017+5.9%+6.8%+7.4%
Q3 2017+0.6%+0.6%-4.3%
Q2 2017-0.0%-0.7%-5.3%
Q1 2017+1.3%+0.7%-5.0%
Q4 2016+7.2%+3.2%-0.8%
Q3 2016+2.2%+4.1%+14.9%
Q2 2016+1.6%+8.1%+10.8%
Q1 2016-3.9%
Q4 2015+1.9%
Q3 2015+3.6%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015-5.5%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q3 2014-3.5%
Q2 2014-3.8%
Q1 2014-2.0%
Q4 2013+2.7%
Q3 2013+8.9%
Q2 2012+0.0%
Q2 2013-2.0%
Q1 2012-3.2%
Q1 2013+2.7%
Q4 2012-4.4%
Q3 2012+2.5%
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010

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