NASDAQ$ERAS

Erasca Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Erasca reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2022, and provided business updates.

Erasca reported a net loss of $135.3 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2022, inclusive of the $100.0 million of in-process R&D expenses recorded in connection with the Novartis license agreement, compared to $30.5 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2021. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $435.6 million as of December 31, 2022, and anticipates runway into H2 2025.

  • Signed exclusive worldwide license for pan-RAF inhibitor naporafenib and completed concurrent $100 million equity offering
  • Multiple clinical data readouts planned in 2023, including for HERKULES-2, HERKULES-3, FLAGSHP-1, and THUNDERBBOLT-1 trials for ERAS-007, ERAS-601, and ERAS-801
  • Dosing of the first patient in Phase 1b SEACRAFT-1 trial for naporafenib in RAS Q61X tissue agnostic solid tumors planned for H2 2023, and the dosing of the first patient in the pivotal Phase 3 SEACRAFT-2 trial for naporafenib in NRASm melanoma planned for H1 2024
  • Robust balance sheet with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $436 million as of December 31, 2022, and anticipated runway into H2 2025

Headline financials

EPS (adj)

-$0.28

Previous: -$0.26-7.7%
Capital Expenditures

$864K

Previous: $5.83M-85.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$27.2M

Previous: -$28.3M+3.8%
Net Income

-$135M

Previous: -$30.5M-344.0%
Operating Income

-$138M

Previous: -$31M-344.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$436M

Previous: $459M-5.1%
Total Assets

$515M

Previous: $501M+2.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.38M

Previous: $2.88M+86.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Erasca · Revenue · Quarterly

$0

Q3 2025-100%vs Q3 2024

Forward guidance

Erasca anticipates several milestones in the coming periods, including the dosing of the first patient in the SEACRAFT-1 and SEACRAFT-2 trials, initial Phase 1b combination data for HERKULES-1, HERKULES-2, HERKULES-3 and FLAGSHP-1 trials, and initial Phase 1 data in recurrent GBM in second half of 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Dosing of the first patient in SEACRAFT-1 trial in second half of 2023
  • Initial Phase 1b combination data for HERKULES-2 and HERKULES-3 trials in first half of 2023
  • Phase 1b combination expansion data in BRAF-mutated CRC between the second half of 2023 and the first half of 2024
  • Initial Phase 1b combination data in FLAGSHP-1 trial in first half of 2023
  • Initial Phase 1 data in recurrent GBM in THUNDERBBOLT-1 trial in second half of 2023

Headwinds

  • Initial Phase 1b combination data between the second and fourth quarters of 2024 for SEACRAFT-1
  • Dosing of the first patient in SEACRAFT-2 trial in first half of 2024
  • Initial Phase 1b combination data expected in first half of 2024 for HERKULES-1
  • Phase 1b combination data in human papillomavirus (HPV)-negative advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) in first half of 2024 for FLAGSHP-1
  • Initial Phase 1 data in AURORAS-1 trial in 2024

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 17 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.3%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

11 / 19 earnings

Positive

+11.0%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-10.1%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.3%+1.0%+32.1%
Q4 2025-4.3%-7.8%+16.1%
Q3 2025-4.2%+7.9%+35.8%
Q1 2025-4.0%-5.8%+9.3%
Q4 2024+6.0%-8.2%+25.0%
Q3 2024-8.4%-14.1%-15.4%
Q2 2024+8.3%+16.7%+27.9%
Q1 2024-10.1%-12.8%+8.9%
Q4 2023+4.0%+9.1%-4.5%
Q3 2023-8.6%-1.8%-15.0%
Q2 2023+10.6%-3.2%-0.8%
Q1 2023-1.0%-3.8%-5.6%
Q4 2022-2.7%-5.8%-3.8%
Q3 2022+11.0%+20.7%-19.1%
Q2 2022+2.5%+4.4%-10.8%
Q1 2022+2.8%+9.4%-4.6%
Q4 2021+9.1%+8.1%-9.7%
Q3 2021+2.2%-3.1%-28.9%
Q2 2021+4.8%+8.9%-12.3%
Q1 2021
Q4 2020
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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