NASDAQ$DNUT

Krispy Kreme Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong fourth quarter financial results with double-digit organic revenue growth and improved profitability.

Krispy Kreme reported an 11.4% increase in net revenue, reaching $450.9 million, and a 13.2% increase in organic revenue. GAAP net income was $1.9 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 14.7% to $64.1 million, with margins improving by 40 basis points to 14.2%. The company's global points of access increased by 19.5% to 14,147.

  • Net revenue grew by 11.4% to $450.9 million.
  • Organic revenue grew by 13.2% to $446.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 14.7% to $64.1 million.
  • Global Points of Access increased by 19.5% to 14,147.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$451M

Previous: $405M+11.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $0.11-18.2%
Global Points of Access

14.1K

Previous: 11.8K+19.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$32.8M

Previous: $36M-191.1%
Net Income

$1.9M

Previous: $1.36M+40.1%
Operating Income

-$5.3M

Previous: $16.5M-132.2%
Gross Profit

$101M

Previous: $274M-63.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.38M

Previous: $5.95M+7.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Krispy Kreme · Revenue · Quarterly

$451M

Q4 2023+11.4%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Krispy Kreme · $407M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • U.S.
    $260M+5.4%
  • International
    $106M+15.4%
  • Market Development
    $41.1M+5.9%

Forward guidance

Krispy Kreme issued the following guidance for the full year 2024 (vs FY2023)

Tailwinds

  • Net Revenue growth of +5% to +7%
  • Organic Revenue growth of +6% to +8%
  • Adjusted EBITDA growth of +8% to +11%
  • Adjusted Diluted EPS of $0.27 to $0.31
  • Income Tax rate between 26% and 28%

Headwinds

  • Capital Expenditures of 7% to 8% of net revenue
  • Interest Expense, net of $55 million to $65 million
  • The above guidance assumes nominal impact from foreign exchange.
  • The Company continues to expect to reduce its net leverage in 2024, as we make progress towards our 2026 goal of approximately 2.0x to 2.5x net leverage.
  • On October 3, 2023, the Company announced it is exploring strategic alternatives for Insomnia Cookies. Guidance for the full year 2024 includes operations from Insomnia Cookies.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

11 / 22 earnings

Positive

+27.4%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-24.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.1%-9.1%-3.8%
Q4 2025+27.4%+18.1%+8.0%
Q3 2025+3.2%+15.6%+13.8%
Q1 2025-24.6%-25.9%-32.6%
Q4 2024-21.9%-32.0%-39.9%
Q3 2024-8.0%-8.9%-17.6%
Q2 2024+15.0%+11.2%+25.3%
Q1 2024+2.4%-6.3%-16.4%
Q4 2023-7.2%-6.2%-14.2%
Q3 2023-4.6%-0.4%-2.6%
Q2 2023-10.1%-7.8%-8.9%
Q1 2023+0.7%-0.3%+0.7%
Q4 2022+10.9%+7.1%+16.2%
Q3 2022+2.7%+7.5%-6.1%
Q2 2022-13.9%-18.1%-16.0%
Q1 2022+7.2%+18.3%+10.1%
Q4 2019-4.1%+3.6%-1.4%
Q4 2021+4.0%+8.7%+9.7%
Q3 2020+10.2%+10.6%+19.6%
Q3 2021-1.3%+6.6%+10.0%
Q2 2020+6.2%+19.2%+8.3%
Q2 2021-10.6%+3.1%+12.0%
Q1 2021
Q4 2020
Q1 2020
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011

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