NASDAQ$DNUT

Krispy Kreme Inc. · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong financial results with net revenue growing year-over-year and reaffirmed full year 2021 guidance.

Krispy Kreme reported strong Q3 2021 results, with net revenue growing 18% year-over-year. Organic growth, excluding the legacy wholesale business, was 14% year-over-year. Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.06, and adjusted EBITDA grew 10%. The company reaffirmed its full year 2021 guidance and long-term outlook, expecting 2022 to exceed the long-term outlook.

  • Net revenue grew 18% year-over-year.
  • Organic growth, excluding the legacy wholesale business, was 14% year-over-year.
  • Adjusted diluted Earnings Per Share was $0.06.
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 10%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$343M

Previous: $290M+18.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.06

Previous: -$0.12+150.0%
Global Points of Access

10.0K

Previous: 6.9K+46.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$83.5M

Previous: $25.3M-429.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$89.1M

Previous: -$8.49M-950.2%
Net Income

-$5.66M

Previous: -$14.9M+61.9%
Operating Income

$1.82M

Previous: $132K+1281.8%
Gross Profit

-$2.88M

Previous: $290M-101.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$44.9M

Previous: $64.2M-30.0%
Total Assets

$3.1B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Krispy Kreme · Revenue · Quarterly

$343M

Q3 2021+18.1%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 5 of 5 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Krispy Kreme · $407M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • U.S.
    $260M+5.4%
  • International
    $106M+15.4%
  • Market Development
    $41.1M+5.9%

Forward guidance

Krispy Kreme reaffirmed the following guidance for the full year 2021 and reiterated the following long-term outlook, anticipating exceeding these long-term targets in the full year 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Net Revenue of $1.34 billion to $1.38 billion (growth of 19.4% to 23.0%)
  • Organic Revenue growth of 10% to 12%
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $178 million to $185 million (growth of 22.4% to 27.2%)
  • Adjusted Net Income of $62 million to $68 million (growth of 46.4% to 60.6%)
  • Organic Revenue growth of 9% to 11%

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA growth of 12% to 14%
  • Adjusted Net Income growth of 18% to 22%
  • Impact of acquisitions
  • Impact of foreign currency translation
  • Impact of 53rd week

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

11 / 22 earnings

Positive

+27.4%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-24.6%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.1%-9.1%-3.8%
Q4 2025+27.4%+18.1%+8.0%
Q3 2025+3.2%+15.6%+13.8%
Q1 2025-24.6%-25.9%-32.6%
Q4 2024-21.9%-32.0%-39.9%
Q3 2024-8.0%-8.9%-17.6%
Q2 2024+15.0%+11.2%+25.3%
Q1 2024+2.4%-6.3%-16.4%
Q4 2023-7.2%-6.2%-14.2%
Q3 2023-4.6%-0.4%-2.6%
Q2 2023-10.1%-7.8%-8.9%
Q1 2023+0.7%-0.3%+0.7%
Q4 2022+10.9%+7.1%+16.2%
Q3 2022+2.7%+7.5%-6.1%
Q2 2022-13.9%-18.1%-16.0%
Q1 2022+7.2%+18.3%+10.1%
Q4 2019-4.1%+3.6%-1.4%
Q4 2021+4.0%+8.7%+9.7%
Q3 2020+10.2%+10.6%+19.6%
Q3 2021-1.3%+6.6%+10.0%
Q2 2020+6.2%+19.2%+8.3%
Q2 2021-10.6%+3.1%+12.0%
Q1 2021
Q4 2020
Q1 2020
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011

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