NASDAQ$CNDT

Conduent Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Conduent's Q3 2023 financial results reflected consistent performance in Revenue and EBITDA, exceeding expectations. Portfolio diversity accommodated variation between businesses, and the sales pipeline grew, indicating optimism regarding future sales.

Conduent reported Q3 2023 revenue of $932 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.9%, both exceeding expectations. The company experienced a net loss of $289 million, impacted by a goodwill impairment related to the BenefitWallet agreement. Despite macroeconomic challenges in the Commercial sector, the Government and Transportation segments provided offset advantages.

  • Revenue and Adjusted Revenue reached $932 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin was 9.9%.
  • New business signings ACV totaled $154 million.
  • Net ARR Activity Metric (TTM) was $103 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$932M

Previous: $977M-4.6%
EPS (adj)

-$0.09

Previous: $0.09-200.0%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

9.9%

No prior period
New Business Signings ACV

$154M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$33M

Previous: -$62M+46.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$322M

Previous: -$47M-585.1%
Net Income

-$289M

Previous: $15M-2026.7%
Operating Income

-$232M

Previous: $162M-243.2%
Gross Profit

$208M

Previous: $223M-6.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$451M

Previous: $577M-21.8%
Total Assets

$3.15B

Previous: $3.92B-19.8%
R&D Expense

$2M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$5M

Previous: $6M-16.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Conduent · Revenue · Quarterly

$932M

Q3 2023-4.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Conduent anticipates adjusted revenue between $3.700 billion and $3.720 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 10.0% for FY 2023. Adjusted Free Cash Flow is expected to be approximately 0% of Adjusted EBITDA.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted Revenue is expected to be between $3,700M and $3,720M.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin is expected to be approximately 10.0%.
  • The company anticipates completing the transfer of its BenefitWallet HSA portfolio in the first half of 2024.
  • An estimated pre-tax gain of approximately $425 million is expected from the BenefitWallet HSA portfolio transfer.
  • The company's $1.0 billion total liquidity position remains strong with long-dated debt maturities and a modest net leverage ratio.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow as a percentage of Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately 0%.
  • Macro-economic conditions in the Commercial sector influenced near-term sales opportunities.
  • FY 2023 Outlook for Adjusted Free Cash Flow is provided as a factor of expected Adjusted EBITDA, and such outlook is only available on a non-GAAP basis.
  • The company is unable without unreasonable efforts to predict with reasonable certainty the totality or ultimate outcome or occurrence of these adjustments for the forward-looking period.
  • Based on past reported results, where one or more of these items have been applicable, such excluded items could be material, individually or in the aggregate, to reported results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

21 / 40 earnings

Positive

+84.8%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-40.0%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.6%-21.0%-23.9%
Q4 2025+0.4%+3.0%-3.7%
Q3 2025-20.1%-14.0%-12.2%
Q1 2025-3.0%+12.2%+29.8%
Q4 2024-6.2%-4.3%-28.7%
Q3 2024+10.0%+15.6%+8.6%
Q2 2024-14.0%-15.1%+1.1%
Q1 2024+16.8%+22.5%+11.1%
Q4 2023+8.8%+7.4%-3.5%
Q3 2023-18.2%-22.6%-0.6%
Q2 2023+5.0%-3.2%-7.6%
Q1 2023-17.2%-13.3%-1.8%
Q4 2022-3.7%-3.2%-23.3%
Q3 2022-7.0%-9.0%+1.0%
Q2 2022-10.3%-6.9%-13.7%
Q1 2022-15.5%-16.9%-2.2%
Q4 2021+0.0%+2.1%+0.9%
Q3 2021-12.7%-14.8%-26.6%
Q2 2021+10.5%+9.5%+18.4%
Q1 2021+2.8%+2.7%+8.4%
Q4 2020-10.1%-10.6%+25.3%
Q3 2020+7.8%+8.0%+21.1%
Q2 2020+84.8%+80.8%+65.3%
Q1 2020+2.3%-11.6%+32.7%
Q4 2019-16.8%-26.9%-58.0%
Q3 2019+10.6%-1.3%-1.8%
Q2 2019-23.5%-20.9%-21.9%
Q1 2019-40.0%-33.2%-29.5%
Q4 2018+5.6%+3.9%-6.3%
Q3 2018-31.2%-27.9%-37.8%
Q2 2018+6.5%+6.1%+21.9%
Q1 2018-2.1%-1.1%+4.1%
Q4 2017+14.3%+19.0%+19.3%
Q3 2017+1.3%+1.7%-3.8%
Q2 2017+8.4%+7.9%+1.3%
Q1 2016+1.2%-1.5%-1.7%
Q1 2017-3.8%-2.6%-5.4%
Q4 2014+1.7%+2.8%+4.9%
Q2 2016+1.7%+2.8%+4.9%
Q4 2016+14.3%-0.2%+4.1%
Q4 2015
Q3 2016
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015

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