NASDAQ$CFFN

Capitol Federal Financial Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Capitol Federal Financial's Q3 2023 results were announced, revealing a net income of $8.3 million and earnings per share of $0.06.

Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. reported a net income of $8.3 million, or $0.06 per share, for the quarter ended June 30, 2023. The decrease in net income compared to the previous quarter was primarily due to higher deposit interest expense.

  • Net income was $8.3 million.
  • Basic and diluted earnings per share were $0.06.
  • Net interest margin was 1.32% (1.39% excluding the effects of the leverage strategy).
  • Dividends of $0.085 per share were paid.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$40.6M

Previous: $56.1M-27.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.06

Previous: $0.16-62.5%
Net interest margin

1.3%

Previous: 1.8%-26.3%
Efficiency ratio

72.3%

Previous: 50.6%+42.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.4M

Previous: -$4.49M+2.1%
Free Cash Flow

$3.91M

Previous: $16.7M-76.6%
Net Income

$8.3M

Previous: $21.2M-60.8%
Operating Income

-$36M

Previous: $18M-299.4%
Gross Profit

$39.2M

Previous: $55.2M-28.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$329M

Previous: $54.8M+501.2%
Total Assets

$10.3B

Previous: $9.48B+8.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$75K

Previous: $126K-40.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Capitol Federal · Revenue · Quarterly

$40.6M

Q3 2023-27.7%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 13 quarters(46%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Capitol Federal · $56.5M total across 4 segments · Q3 2021

  • Loans receivable
    $54.8M
  • FHLB stock
    $944K
  • Investment securities
    $763K
  • Cash and cash equivalents
    $26K

Forward guidance

Capitol Federal Financial anticipates net interest margin compression to continue, potentially up to 10 basis points during the September 30, 2023 quarter. They also intend to implement a new core processing system by September 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Loan growth is occurring at market interest rates that are higher than the overall loan portfolio rate.
  • Management plans to continue using shorter term advances, as necessary, with the anticipation that when rates begin to decrease, those borrowings can be repaid or repriced to lower cost alternatives.
  • The digital transformation is expected to better position the Bank for the future and allow for the introduction of new products and services to enhance customer experiences.
  • Salaries and employee benefits are expected to be approximately $1 million lower in fiscal year 2023 compared to fiscal year 2022.
  • Management anticipates the effective tax rate for fiscal year 2023 will be approximately 18%.

Headwinds

  • Net interest margin compression is anticipated to continue, and the margin is expected to compress more in the near term, possibly up to 10 basis points during the September 30, 2023 quarter.
  • The continued net interest margin compression is due to the Federal Reserve continuing to increase short-term interest rates which is impacting the shape of the yield curve, the pace at which liabilities are repricing compared to assets, and deposit funds moving from lower costing deposit accounts to certificates of deposit.
  • Funding deposit run-off continues to be a challenge and could require the use of longer-term funding.
  • Higher mortgage loan rates have made the purchase of homes less affordable, which lowers the likelihood of existing one- to four-family loans at lower rates being paid off as a result of housing turnover.
  • While it is still management's expectation that we will stay under $10 billion in total assets at September 30, 2023, that threshold was exceeded at March 31, 2023 and June 30, 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

27 / 67 earnings

Positive

+17.9%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-13.3%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+1.5%-2.5%-1.5%
Q1 2026+2.2%+8.6%+3.5%
Q4 2025-4.1%-1.9%+5.1%
Q3 2025-0.6%-1.0%+4.4%
Q2 2025+0.6%+5.9%+3.7%
Q1 2025+2.6%+4.0%+3.7%
Q4 2024+9.3%+8.5%+12.4%
Q3 2024-7.1%-5.3%-9.2%
Q2 2024-6.1%-8.9%-2.7%
Q1 2024+5.3%+7.9%-3.9%
Q4 2023+17.9%-2.4%+19.2%
Q3 2023+0.5%+0.5%-12.1%
Q2 2023+0.0%-5.8%-3.6%
Q1 2023-3.0%-3.4%-0.1%
Q4 2022-13.3%-3.7%-3.3%
Q3 2022+0.8%+3.5%-0.5%
Q2 2022-1.2%-3.8%+1.1%
Q1 2022+0.2%-1.5%-0.7%
Q4 2021+5.0%+5.5%+1.4%
Q3 2021-2.3%-2.9%+1.8%
Q2 2021-1.0%+1.0%-0.9%
Q1 2021-4.7%-3.9%+2.1%
Q4 2020-3.1%+0.0%+10.2%
Q3 2020-1.7%-3.8%-5.4%
Q2 2020-3.3%-6.2%-5.4%
Q1 2020-2.7%-3.0%-9.9%
Q4 2019-1.2%-0.2%-1.9%
Q3 2019-2.8%-6.0%-4.3%
Q2 2019+0.8%+2.2%-2.0%
Q1 2019-4.8%-6.1%-2.2%
Q4 2018-1.2%+0.4%+8.1%
Q3 2018+0.0%+0.4%+1.2%
Q2 2018-0.9%+0.6%+4.3%
Q1 2018-1.1%-1.1%-5.9%
Q4 2017-8.2%-8.7%-9.8%
Q3 2017+2.9%+3.3%-1.0%
Q2 2017-1.6%-2.6%-6.7%
Q1 2017-4.2%-4.9%-4.9%
Q4 2016+4.0%+2.3%+12.9%
Q3 2016+0.2%-1.3%+0.8%
Q2 2016-0.2%
Q1 2016+3.4%
Q4 2015-0.7%
Q3 2015+0.5%
Q2 2015-2.3%
Q1 2015+1.1%
Q4 2014+1.2%
Q3 2014+0.0%
Q2 2014-1.2%
Q1 2014-0.4%
Q4 2013-3.3%
Q3 2013-0.2%
Q1 2013-1.1%
Q4 2012+1.5%
Q2 2013+1.2%
Q3 2012-1.0%
Q2 2012+0.6%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q1 2012-0.9%
Q4 2009+3.2%
Q2 2010+3.2%
Q4 2011+3.2%
Q2 2011+3.2%
Q1 2010+3.2%
Q3 2010-4.1%
Q4 2010-4.1%
Q3 2011-4.1%

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