NASDAQ$BJRI

BJ's Restaurants Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported solid first quarter results driven by resilient team members and the broad appeal of the BJ's concept.

BJ's Restaurants, Inc. reported solid first quarter results, exceeding expectations due to the efforts of their team members and the appeal of their concept. Improved sales trends were driven by the easing of dining room capacity restrictions and the return of guests.

  • Weekly sales averages improved from $66,400 in January 2021 to $97,300 in March 2021, the highest since the start of the pandemic.
  • Comparable restaurant sales declined approximately 17% in March compared to March 2019.
  • Weekly sales in the first three weeks of April averaged approximately $102,500, with comparable restaurant sales down just 7% compared to April 2019.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $12.7 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$223M

Previous: $255M-12.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.14

Previous: -$0.10-40.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$12.7M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$6.88M

Previous: -$16.3M+57.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$10M

Previous: -$20.5M+51.2%
Net Income

-$3.14M

Previous: -$4.27M+26.4%
Operating Income

-$8.22M

Previous: -$7.71M-6.6%
Gross Profit

$167M

Previous: $191M-12.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$90.2M

Previous: $80.3M+12.4%
Total Assets

$1.09B

Previous: $1.11B-2.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.42M

Previous: $1.54M+56.8%

Revenue & EPS history

BJ's · Revenue · Quarterly

$223M

Q1 2021-12.3%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

BJ's Restaurants plans to open new restaurants and re-open a closed location, with a long-term growth opportunity to reach at least 425 restaurants domestically.

Tailwinds

  • Plan to open restaurants in Merrillville, Indiana and Lansing, Michigan in 2021.
  • Intend to re-open the Richmond, Virginia restaurant in the second half of 2021.
  • Real estate development team is assembling a robust new restaurant pipeline for 2022 and beyond.
  • Confident that the BJ’s concept can grow to at least 425 restaurants domestically.
  • Combination of sales momentum, higher cash flows, and strong balance sheet can readily support an acceleration in the restaurant expansion program.

Headwinds

  • Most California restaurants remain limited to 50% capacity.
  • Late night business remains challenged.
  • The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on restaurant sales and operations.
  • Potential labor shortages and increases in minimum wage.
  • Fluctuating commodity costs and availability of food.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

35 / 60 earnings

Positive

+19.6%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-13.4%

Q2 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027+3.6%+15.6%+16.0%
Q4 2026+6.1%-12.2%-15.0%
Q3 2026+18.4%+24.7%+33.7%
Q1 2025+13.0%+11.9%+33.2%
Q4 2024+6.5%+3.9%-4.7%
Q3 2024-9.2%-8.2%+2.7%
Q2 2024-12.2%-12.6%-9.0%
Q1 2024+8.1%+4.5%+9.2%
Q4 2023+5.0%-0.2%+1.0%
Q3 2023+7.3%+7.8%+28.4%
Q2 2023+8.6%+8.9%-11.7%
Q1 2023+14.7%+13.1%+9.2%
Q3 2022+2.0%+3.6%+16.9%
Q2 2022-2.9%-10.4%+13.1%
Q1 2022-1.1%-3.1%-22.9%
Q4 2021-1.1%-8.8%-19.1%
Q3 2021+1.6%-4.1%-8.2%
Q2 2021-3.8%-8.2%+4.8%
Q1 2021-3.7%-6.0%-9.5%
Q4 2020-2.9%-8.5%+12.3%
Q3 2020-3.0%-10.1%+11.3%
Q2 2020+11.4%+6.7%+39.5%
Q1 2020+13.5%-1.1%+44.9%
Q4 2019-9.9%-15.8%-81.0%
Q3 2019+16.3%+12.0%+8.8%
Q2 2019-4.6%-3.7%-12.4%
Q1 2019+7.6%+5.3%-5.8%
Q4 2018-4.9%-6.4%-11.4%
Q3 2018-1.3%-1.0%-10.6%
Q2 2018+2.3%+1.1%+19.4%
Q1 2018+15.5%+16.0%+8.7%
Q4 2017+13.2%+14.3%+12.5%
Q3 2017+5.2%+2.8%+8.3%
Q2 2017+0.8%+0.1%-9.5%
Q1 2017+4.2%+7.4%+5.1%
Q4 2016+3.6%+1.1%+6.8%
Q3 2016-2.7%-3.2%+8.7%
Q2 2016-13.4%-13.4%-10.1%
Q1 2016+5.3%
Q4 2015+2.4%
Q3 2015+13.1%
Q2 2015-0.9%
Q1 2015-2.0%
Q4 2014+17.5%
Q3 2014+19.6%
Q2 2014+13.3%
Q1 2014+5.4%
Q4 2013-11.3%
Q3 2013-10.0%
Q2 2013-11.9%
Q1 2013+7.2%
Q4 2011-7.8%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q1 2012
Q4 2009-0.3%
Q3 2010-1.8%
Q3 2011-1.8%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q2 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010+1.5%
Q1 2010-6.4%

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