NASDAQ$ASTH

Astrana Health Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. reported improved financial performance in Q4 2019, marked by revenue growth and increased net income.

ApolloMed reported a strong Q4 2019 with a 68% increase in total revenue to $178.8 million and a net income of $6.7 million, driven by recent acquisitions and preferred dividends. The company manages over one million lives and is focused on scalable and profitable growth.

  • Total revenue increased by 68% to $178.8 million.
  • Capitation revenue increased by 92% to $148.6 million, representing 83% of total revenue.
  • Net income attributable to Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc. was $6.7 million, compared to a net loss of $3.1 million in the same quarter of the previous year.
  • The company entered into a new management services agreement effective January 1, 2020, covering approximately 145,000 members in Southern California.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$179M

Previous: $105M+69.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.20

Previous: -$0.10+300.0%
Capital Expenditures

$235K

Previous: $302K-22.2%
Free Cash Flow

$3.35M

Previous: -$6.67M+150.3%
Net Income

$6.73M

Previous: -$3.1M+317.3%
Operating Income

$10.9M

Previous: $2M+445.7%
Gross Profit

$26.9M

Previous: $26M+3.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$103M

Previous: $107M-3.5%
Total Assets

$729M

Previous: $513M+42.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$541K

Previous: $1.44M-62.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Astrana Health · Revenue · Quarterly

$179M

Q4 2019+69.5%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 5 of 10 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the year ending December 31, 2020, ApolloMed expects total revenue between $665.0 million and $675.0 million, net income between $20.0 million and $30.0 million, EBITDA between $55.0 million and $67.0 million, and Adjusted EBITDA between $75.0 million and $90.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue between $665.0 million and $675.0 million.
  • Net income between $20.0 million and $30.0 million.
  • EBITDA between $55.0 million and $67.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA between $75.0 million and $90.0 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.1%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

23 / 57 earnings

Positive

+83.3%

Q3 2011

Best reaction

-40.5%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+29.4%+22.5%+20.6%
Q3 2025-23.4%-29.4%-33.8%
Q1 2025-11.1%-20.8%-24.5%
Q4 2024-26.8%+5.0%+16.1%
Q3 2024-21.1%-27.9%-30.4%
Q2 2024-1.4%-1.8%+0.1%
Q1 2024-0.7%+1.5%+8.0%
Q4 2023+2.3%+1.8%-1.9%
Q3 2023+9.3%+2.9%+13.4%
Q2 2023+4.2%+3.5%-17.4%
Q1 2023+5.4%+7.0%-0.8%
Q4 2022+6.9%+5.2%+15.2%
Q3 2022+8.4%+8.9%-14.5%
Q2 2022-4.3%-11.0%-29.3%
Q1 2022-0.5%-5.4%-26.4%
Q4 2021-2.0%-11.0%-7.0%
Q3 2021+14.7%+30.5%+0.8%
Q2 2021-11.8%-10.7%-12.9%
Q1 2021+4.5%+4.7%+10.9%
Q4 2020+9.1%+8.8%+8.3%
Q3 2020-1.2%-1.6%+0.5%
Q2 2020+1.8%+2.4%+7.9%
Q1 2020-10.4%-11.6%+13.1%
Q4 2019-12.9%-24.0%+7.0%
Q3 2019-2.9%-0.9%+25.0%
Q2 2019-5.0%+4.8%+31.1%
Q1 2019-1.2%-4.3%-29.7%
Q4 2018-6.4%-8.3%-6.9%
Q3 2018+26.3%+4.0%-4.6%
Q2 2018-13.7%-23.3%-32.2%
Q4 2017+10.8%-6.3%+2.1%
Q1 2018+10.8%-6.3%+2.1%
Q3 2017+3.9%+3.9%+140.0%
Q2 2017+0.0%+0.0%-10.5%
Q1 2017+0.0%+6.7%+36.7%
Q1 2016+4.0%+4.0%+0.0%
Q3 2016-4.8%
Q2 2016-12.9%
Q1 2015-6.5%
Q3 2015-3.2%
Q2 2015+0.0%
Q2 2014+15.6%
Q4 2013
Q3 2013+1.6%
Q2 2013+13.5%
Q1 2013-13.3%
Q4 2012-2.2%
Q3 2012-9.1%
Q2 2012-40.5%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011
Q3 2011+83.3%
Q2 2011+0.5%
Q1 2011-0.5%
Q4 2010-3.9%
Q3 2010+19.0%
Q2 2010+0.0%
Q1 2010-2.1%
Q4 2009+9.9%

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