NASDAQ$APA

APA Corporation · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced fourth-quarter and full-year 2022 financial and operational results.

APA Corporation reported a net income attributable to common stock of $443 million, or $1.38 per share on a fully diluted basis for Q4 2022. Adjusted earnings were $476 million, or $1.48 per share. The company's reported fourth-quarter production was 414,000 BOE per day, with adjusted production at 334,000 BOE per day. Net cash provided by operating activities was $1.4 billion, and adjusted EBITDAX was $1.5 billion.

  • Delivered full-year net cash from operating activities of $4.9 billion, adjusted EBITDAX of $6.8 billion and $2.5 billion of free cash flow (FCF).
  • Returned $1.6 billion of FCF to shareholders and exceeded 60% capital return to shareholders commitment.
  • Reported fourth-quarter production was 414,000 BOE per day; adjusted production, which excludes Egypt noncontrolling interest and tax barrels, was 334,000 BOE per day.
  • APA ended the year with strong performance in each of our operational areas

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.38B

Previous: $2.4B-1.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.48

Previous: $1.29+14.7%
Adjusted EBITDAX

$1.5B

Previous: $1.3B+15.4%
Free Cash Flow

$360M

No prior period
Net Income

$443M

Previous: $382M+16.0%
Operating Income

$802M

Previous: $732M+9.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$245M

Previous: $302M-18.9%
Total Assets

$13.1B

Previous: $13.3B-1.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$348M

Previous: $175M+98.9%

Revenue & EPS history

APA · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.38B

Q4 2022-1%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 15 quarters(87%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

In 2023, APA plans to invest $2.0 to $2.1 billion in upstream oil and gas capital, which is consistent with the preliminary guidance provided in the third-quarter 2022. This capital investment level is expected to result in year-over-year adjusted BOE growth of 4 to 5%, underpinned by a more than 10% increase in oil volumes.

Tailwinds

  • Reiterating upstream capital budget of $2.0 to $2.1 billion.
  • Expecting adjusted barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) growth of 4 to 5%, and oil growth of more than 10%.
  • Substantial upside FCF potential from Cheniere gas sales contract commencing in third-quarter 2023.
  • Committed to returning at least 60% of FCF to shareholders and strengthening the balance sheet.
  • Continuing to appraise and explore Block 58 offshore Suriname.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.8%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

30 / 64 earnings

Positive

+20.2%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-7.7%-11.5%-11.8%
Q4 2025+0.0%+14.4%+59.4%
Q3 2025+9.1%+13.5%+25.1%
Q2 2025+8.0%+13.2%+26.0%
Q1 2025+4.5%+19.3%+19.5%
Q4 2024-7.2%-15.6%-5.0%
Q3 2024-7.0%-5.9%-9.1%
Q1 2024-7.2%-4.8%-2.9%
Q4 2023-2.5%-4.4%+8.0%
Q3 2023-0.1%-1.1%-8.9%
Q2 2023+3.5%+4.8%+12.0%
Q1 2023-6.1%-3.7%-2.0%
Q4 2022+2.8%+3.1%-9.3%
Q3 2022+3.3%+8.1%+2.9%
Q2 2022-14.6%-10.4%+8.0%
Q1 2022-2.9%-11.7%+13.6%
Q4 2021-3.5%+4.7%+26.6%
Q3 2021+6.6%+12.3%-6.3%
Q2 2021-3.8%-4.6%+4.7%
Q1 2021+6.2%+8.5%+16.1%
Q4 2020+1.9%-1.2%-4.9%
Q3 2020+2.7%+11.7%+73.9%
Q2 2020+20.2%+18.0%+13.0%
Q1 2020+0.8%+2.1%+36.4%
Q4 2019-1.7%+0.1%-80.9%
Q3 2019-1.8%+11.2%+1.0%
Q2 2019+0.1%-3.5%-10.5%
Q1 2019-9.5%-6.5%-20.8%
Q4 2018+0.3%+1.8%+4.7%
Q3 2018-2.8%+0.3%-6.2%
Q2 2018-3.5%-0.8%-4.7%
Q1 2018-4.7%-2.4%-3.7%
Q4 2017-2.9%-6.5%-0.5%
Q3 2017+1.2%+7.0%+4.7%
Q2 2017-5.6%-7.9%-17.6%
Q1 2017+1.0%+3.4%-3.7%
Q4 2016-2.7%-4.2%-8.5%
Q3 2016-5.6%-4.3%+9.5%
Q2 2016-4.0%-2.9%-0.9%
Q1 2016+6.1%
Q4 2015+2.3%
Q3 2015-3.5%
Q2 2015+3.8%
Q1 2015-2.7%
Q4 2014+3.6%
Q3 2014+1.3%
Q2 2014-1.0%
Q1 2014+1.3%
Q4 2013+2.6%
Q3 2013+1.5%
Q2 2013+2.2%
Q1 2013+7.2%
Q4 2012-2.1%
Q3 2012-4.7%
Q2 2012+2.7%
Q1 2012-0.8%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2011-1.7%
Q2 2011-4.3%
Q1 2011+3.0%
Q4 2010-2.2%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2010-1.4%
Q1 2010+2.4%

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