NASDAQ$AMGN

Amgen Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Amgen's financial performance declined due to the impact of COVID-19 but was offset by volume growth in key products.

Amgen's first quarter 2021 results showed a decrease in total revenues by 4% to $5.9 billion, driven by lower net selling prices, though partially offset by volume growth. GAAP EPS decreased by 8% to $2.83, while non-GAAP EPS decreased by 12% to $3.70. The company reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance and revised its GAAP EPS guidance.

  • Total revenues decreased by 4% to $5.9 billion due to lower net selling prices, offset by volume growth.
  • GAAP EPS decreased by 8% to $2.83, and non-GAAP EPS decreased by 12% to $3.70.
  • The company generated $1.9 billion in free cash flow, compared to $2.0 billion in the first quarter of 2020.
  • 2021 total revenues guidance reaffirmed at $25.8-$26.6 billion; EPS guidance revised to $9.11-$10.71 on a GAAP basis, and reaffirmed at $16.00-$17.00 on a non-GAAP basis.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.9B

Previous: $6.16B-4.2%
EPS (adj)

$3.70

Previous: $4.17-11.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$166M

Previous: -$142M-16.9%
Free Cash Flow

$1.48B

Previous: $1.68B-12.1%
Net Income

$1.65B

Previous: $1.83B-9.8%
Operating Income

$2.13B

Previous: $2.36B-9.6%
Gross Profit

$4.41B

Previous: $4.65B-5.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$6.11B

Previous: $7.69B-20.5%
Total Assets

$62.5B

Previous: $61.7B+1.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Amgen · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.9B

Q1 2021-4.2%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Amgen · $5.18B total across 16 segments · Q1 2021

  • Enbrel
    $924M-19.9%
  • Prolia
    $758M+15.9%
  • Neulasta
    $482M-20.9%
  • Otezla
    $476M-0.6%
  • XGEVA
    $468M-2.7%
  • Aranesp
    $355M-15.9%
  • MVASI
    $294M+155.7%
  • Repatha
    $286M+24.9%
  • KYPROLIS
    $251M-10.4%
  • Nplate
    $227M+4.1%
  • Vectibix
    $191M-5.4%
  • EVENITY
    $107M+7.0%
  • BLINCYTO
    $107M+13.8%
  • AMJEVITA/AMGEVITA
    $106M+23.3%
  • Parsabiv
    $79M-54.9%
  • Other products
    $72M

Forward guidance

Amgen reaffirmed its total revenue guidance for 2021, projecting revenues between $25.8 billion and $26.6 billion. The company revised its GAAP EPS guidance to $9.11-$10.71 and reaffirmed its non-GAAP EPS guidance at $16.00-$17.00.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenues in the range of $25.8 billion to $26.6 billion, unchanged from previous guidance.
  • On a non-GAAP basis, EPS in the range of $16.00 to $17.00, unchanged from previous guidance
  • Share repurchases in the range of $3.0 billion to $5.0 billion, versus previous guidance of $3.0 billion to $4.0 billion.
  • Enrollment completed in a Phase 3 study (CodeBreaK 200) comparing LUMAKRAS to docetaxel in patients with KRAS G12C-mutated advanced NSCLC.
  • Regulatory submissions in the U.S. and EU are expected in Q2 2021 for Tezepelumab.

Headwinds

  • On a GAAP basis, EPS in the range of $9.11 to $10.71.
  • Previously, the Company expected GAAP EPS in the range of $12.12 to $13.17.
  • Capital expenditures to be approximately $900 million.
  • Parsabiv’s inclusion in the end-stage renal disease (ESRD) bundled payment system in the U.S., we expect declining year-over-year sales trends to continue through 2021 as numerous dialysis centers update their treatment protocols due to the reimbursement change
  • We expect to see continuing disruption from COVID-19 in the second quarter and, to a lesser degree, in the second half of the year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.1%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

39 / 73 earnings

Positive

+12.2%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-8.7%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.9%-4.4%-2.7%
Q4 2025+3.0%+11.0%+9.1%
Q3 2025+7.7%+9.1%+11.2%
Q2 2025-5.1%-5.0%-5.5%
Q1 2025-1.1%-2.8%+1.6%
Q4 2024+6.5%+2.0%+12.4%
Q3 2024+1.3%+0.3%-10.5%
Q2 2024-3.9%-0.8%-0.3%
Q1 2024+12.2%+8.3%+10.3%
Q4 2023-8.1%-9.6%-15.3%
Q3 2023-0.9%+2.5%+2.5%
Q2 2023+5.6%+13.2%+11.4%
Q1 2023+0.4%-1.2%-9.2%
Q4 2022-2.1%-2.6%-6.7%
Q3 2022+0.0%+8.7%+6.1%
Q2 2022-0.4%+0.5%-1.9%
Q1 2022-4.7%-7.6%+2.2%
Q4 2021+8.5%+2.7%+4.2%
Q3 2021+4.0%+1.9%-4.1%
Q2 2021-4.8%-4.0%-5.8%
Q1 2021-7.4%-6.2%-7.9%
Q4 2020-1.4%-1.7%-7.7%
Q3 2020-2.5%-1.5%+0.6%
Q2 2020-1.9%-3.5%-0.3%
Q1 2020-2.0%+0.3%-2.5%
Q4 2019-4.9%-2.4%-12.1%
Q3 2019+2.9%+6.3%+14.4%
Q2 2019+6.0%+6.3%+17.5%
Q1 2019-2.8%-2.1%-6.7%
Q4 2018-3.7%-2.5%-1.0%
Q3 2018+2.4%-0.6%+7.5%
Q2 2018-0.3%+1.8%+1.9%
Q1 2018+0.1%+1.6%+1.9%
Q4 2017+0.5%-5.1%-0.5%
Q3 2017-2.1%-3.2%-5.7%
Q2 2017-2.9%-3.6%-6.1%
Q1 2017-1.2%-1.3%-5.9%
Q4 2016+4.9%+4.5%+12.9%
Q3 2016-8.7%-11.5%-8.5%
Q2 2016+2.2%+3.9%+2.6%
Q1 2016-1.7%
Q4 2015+1.5%
Q3 2015-0.9%
Q2 2015+3.0%
Q1 2015+1.9%
Q4 2014-3.2%
Q3 2014+6.7%
Q2 2014+6.0%
Q1 2014-3.2%
Q4 2013+0.5%
Q3 2013+1.8%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2013-7.5%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012+0.8%
Q2 2012+7.6%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011-0.8%
Q3 2011+4.9%
Q2 2011-3.0%
Q1 2011-1.5%
Q4 2007+0.7%
Q4 2010+0.7%
Q3 2008+0.7%
Q3 2010-0.9%
Q2 2010-0.4%
Q1 2009+1.5%
Q1 2010+1.2%
Q4 2009+0.5%
Q3 2009+1.6%
Q4 2008+3.8%
Q2 2009+3.8%
Q2 2008+3.8%

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