NASDAQ$AMED

Amedisys Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Amedisys reported strong Q4 2019 financial results, showing increases in net service revenue and net income.

Amedisys reported a net service revenue increase of $66.3 million to $500.7 million for Q4 2019, compared to $434.4 million in 2018. Net income attributable to Amedisys, Inc. was $27.7 million, slightly up from $27.5 million in 2018. The company issued its 2020 guidance, anticipating net service revenue between $2.115 billion and $2.160 billion.

  • Net service revenue increased to $500.7 million from $434.4 million year-over-year.
  • Net income attributable to Amedisys, Inc. rose to $27.7 million compared to $27.5 million in the previous year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $52.2 million, up from $43.9 million in 2018.
  • The company issued 2020 revenue guidance of $2.115 billion to $2.160 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$501M

Previous: $434M+15.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.94

Previous: $0.91+3.3%
Capital Expenditures

$1.55M

Previous: $874K+77.5%
Free Cash Flow

$73.7M

Previous: $63.2M+16.6%
Net Income

$28M

Previous: $27.5M+1.8%
Operating Income

$41.6M

Previous: $36.4M+14.1%
Gross Profit

$205M

Previous: $172M+19.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$30.3M

Previous: $20.2M+49.8%
Total Assets

$1.26B

Previous: $717M+76.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.59M

Previous: $5.23M+25.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Amedisys · Revenue · Quarterly

$501M

Q4 2019+15.3%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Amedisys anticipates net service revenue in the range of $2.115 billion to $2.160 billion, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $250 million to $260 million, and adjusted diluted earnings per share in the range of $4.90 to $5.13.

Tailwinds

  • Net service revenue is anticipated to be in the range of $2.115 billion to $2.160 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be in the range of $250 million to $260 million.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share is anticipated to be in the range of $4.90 to $5.13.
  • Guidance is based on an estimated 33.4 million shares outstanding.
  • The company is set up for a great 2020 as they navigate the waters of PDGM.

Headwinds

  • Guidance excludes the effects of any future acquisitions.
  • The home health, hospice and personal care industries are highly competitive.
  • The industries are subject to intensive regulations.
  • Trends are subject to numerous factors, risks, and uncertainties.
  • Future results could differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.0%

Avg return

30 days after

46%

32 / 70 earnings

Positive

+25.6%

Q2 2014

Best reaction

-25.3%

Q3 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025
Q3 2025
Q2 2025+1.2%+1.0%
Q1 2025+0.2%-0.8%-1.6%
Q4 2024+0.1%+0.6%+1.5%
Q3 2024+0.9%-3.4%-10.4%
Q2 2024+0.0%+0.5%-0.2%
Q1 2024+0.0%+0.8%+5.5%
Q4 2023+0.9%+0.6%-1.6%
Q3 2023-0.8%-1.1%+1.8%
Q2 2023-0.6%-0.2%+2.5%
Q1 2023+4.2%+3.9%+2.8%
Q4 2022+5.4%+2.2%-23.6%
Q3 2022-9.0%-4.2%-10.7%
Q2 2022-3.8%+0.9%-4.5%
Q1 2022+0.4%-3.3%-10.5%
Q4 2021+5.8%+14.5%+18.4%
Q3 2021+0.1%+1.7%-20.2%
Q2 2021-22.8%-22.9%-29.3%
Q1 2021+0.2%
Q4 2020-6.2%
Q3 2020-1.9%
Q2 2020+3.7%
Q1 2020-3.3%
Q4 2019-2.1%
Q3 2019-1.5%
Q2 2019-1.9%
Q1 2019-6.3%
Q4 2018+0.0%
Q3 2018+17.3%
Q2 2018+11.1%
Q1 2018+7.2%
Q4 2017+2.3%
Q3 2017+4.8%
Q2 2017-20.9%
Q1 2017+4.4%
Q4 2016+4.7%
Q3 2016-10.1%
Q2 2016-7.1%
Q1 2016-7.0%
Q4 2015+12.3%
Q3 2015+10.8%
Q2 2015-3.2%
Q1 2015+6.0%
Q4 2014-5.4%
Q3 2014+16.2%
Q2 2014+25.6%
Q1 2014-1.0%
Q4 2013-10.0%
Q3 2013-25.3%
Q2 2013+17.8%
Q1 2013-2.8%
Q4 2012-8.7%
Q3 2012-5.0%
Q2 2012+12.5%
Q1 2012-1.2%
Q4 2011-0.6%
Q3 2011-23.8%
Q2 2011-10.7%
Q1 2011-6.4%
Q4 2010-8.0%
Q3 2010+1.3%
Q2 2010-7.9%
Q1 2009-4.3%
Q1 2010+2.6%
Q4 2007-1.3%
Q4 2009-1.3%
Q3 2008-5.7%
Q3 2009-5.7%
Q4 2008+7.6%
Q2 2008+7.6%
Q2 2009+7.6%

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