NASDAQ$ALLO

Allogene Therapeutics Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Allogene reported financial results and provided a corporate update for Q4 2023.

Allogene Therapeutics ended 2023 with $448.7 million in cash, cash equivalents and investments and anticipates its cash runway will fund operations into 2026. Start-up activities for the ALPHA3 trial are underway and the trial is expected to begin in mid-2024. Initial data readout from Phase 1 ALPHA2 CLL cohort (n=12) is projected by year-end 2024. ALLO-329 is expected to enter Phase 1 clinical trials in early 2025.

  • Cema-cel Pivotal ALPHA3 First Line (1L) Consolidation Trial in Large B-Cell Lymphoma (LBCL): Start-Up Activities Underway; Enrollment to Begin Mid-2024
  • Cema-cel Phase 1 ALPHA2 Trial in Relapsed/Refractory Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (CLL): Enrolling Patients with Initial Data Projected YE 2024
  • ALLO-329 in Autoimmune Disease (AID): Differentiated Next-Generation CD19 Dagger® Program Designed for AID will Focus on Eliminating Lymphodepletion and Meeting Demand; Phase 1 Clinical Trials in Early 2025
  • Ended 2023 with $448.7 Million in Cash, Cash Equivalents and Investments; Reiterates Cash Runway Projection into 2026

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$21K

Previous: $47K-55.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.43

Previous: -$0.66+34.8%
Capital Expenditures

$181K

Previous: $1.69M-89.3%
Net Income

-$85.8M

Previous: -$94.8M+9.6%
Operating Income

-$85.1M

Previous: -$96.4M+11.7%
Gross Profit

-$54.6M

Previous: -$3.26M-1575.6%
R&D Expense

$54.7M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$15.2M

Previous: $17.2M-11.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Allogene · Revenue · Quarterly

$21K

Q4 2023-55.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 7 of 12 quarters(58%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company expects a decrease in cash, cash equivalents, and investments of approximately $190 million in 2024. Based on current assumptions, the Company continues to expect its cash runway to fund operations into 2026. GAAP Operating Expenses are expected to be approximately $280 million, including estimated non-cash stock-based compensation expense of approximately $60 million. These estimates exclude any impact from potential business development activities.

Tailwinds

  • Cash runway to fund operations into 2026.
  • GAAP Operating Expenses are expected to be approximately $280 million.
  • Estimated non-cash stock-based compensation expense of approximately $60 million.
  • Start-up activities for the ALPHA3 trial are underway and the trial is expected to begin in mid-2024.
  • ALLO-329 is expected to enter Phase 1 clinical trials in early 2025.

Headwinds

  • The Company expects a decrease in cash, cash equivalents, and investments of approximately $190 million in 2024.
  • Estimates exclude any impact from potential business development activities.
  • Net loss for the fourth quarter of 2023 was $85.8 million
  • ALPHA3 trial will initially test two lymphodepletion regimens (one with standard fludarabine and cyclophosphamide plus ALLO-647 and one without ALLO-647).
  • One lymphodepletion arm will be discontinued following a planned interim analysis in mid-2025 designed to select the most appropriate regimen for this patient population.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.0%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

16 / 30 earnings

Positive

+23.7%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-11.8%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.4%-16.0%-17.7%
Q4 2025-2.8%-13.0%+10.1%
Q3 2025+10.7%+17.1%+36.2%
Q1 2025-1.8%-1.8%+23.4%
Q4 2024+2.6%-10.6%-23.3%
Q3 2024-4.3%-11.8%-32.0%
Q2 2024-7.5%-7.5%-5.5%
Q1 2024+7.2%+0.4%-6.9%
Q4 2023-4.5%-10.0%-22.1%
Q3 2023+23.7%+15.9%-11.0%
Q2 2023+7.3%-11.3%-15.4%
Q1 2023+20.6%+18.1%+4.9%
Q4 2022+0.2%-5.4%-21.5%
Q3 2022-9.9%-14.2%-10.5%
Q2 2022+1.5%+8.1%-3.5%
Q1 2022+2.3%-18.9%-8.0%
Q4 2021-4.8%-5.9%-0.7%
Q3 2021-0.1%-5.8%-12.6%
Q2 2021+8.2%+3.2%+16.1%
Q1 2021-0.7%-1.4%-19.0%
Q4 2020+0.8%+0.5%-1.9%
Q3 2020-11.8%-17.5%-0.4%
Q2 2020+0.3%-0.6%-10.9%
Q1 2020-0.9%+8.2%+38.1%
Q4 2019+6.1%+8.1%-21.7%
Q3 2019-10.5%-5.5%+2.1%
Q2 2019+4.4%-0.9%-7.4%
Q1 2019-2.1%-2.5%-16.5%
Q4 2018-4.7%-9.3%-5.7%
Q3 2018+3.8%+8.3%-5.5%
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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