NASDAQ$AFYA

Afya Limited · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Afya records 52.5% EBITDA margin and reaffirms 2025 guidance

Afya Limited reported first-quarter 2025 net revenue of R$936.4 million, up 16.4% year over year, with organic revenue growth of 10.9% excluding acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA rose 23.7% to R$492.0 million, producing a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 52.5%, up 300 basis points. Net income increased 23.4% to R$257.0 million and adjusted net income grew 17.1% to R$293.9 million; adjusted EPS was R$3.20. The company generated R$470.2 million in operating cash flow with a 96.8% cash conversion ratio and held R$1.15 billion in cash. Management reaffirmed 2025 guidance for net revenue of R$3.67–3.77 billion and adjusted EBITDA of R$1.62–1.72 billion, and closed the FUNIC acquisition adding 60 medical seats near Belo Horizonte.

  • Net revenue of R$936.4M rose 16.4% YoY; organic revenue up 10.9% excluding UNIDOM.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of R$492.0M grew 23.7% with a record 52.5% margin, up 300bps.
  • Net income R$257.0M (+23.4%); adjusted net income R$293.9M; adjusted EPS R$3.20.
  • Operating cash conversion 96.8%; cash position R$1.15B; net debt reduced R$290.8M in quarter.
  • 2025 guidance reaffirmed: revenue R$3.67–3.77B and adjusted EBITDA R$1.62–1.72B.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

R$936M

Previous: R$162M+476.5%
EPS (adj)

R$3.20

Previous: R$0.55+481.8%
Adjusted EBITDA margin

52.5%

No prior period
Medical school students

25.9K

No prior period
Ecosystem users

317.3K

No prior period
Net Income

R$257M

Previous: R$41.1M+525.7%
Cash & Equivalents

R$1.15B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Afya · Revenue · Quarterly

R$936M

Q1 2025+476.5%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Afya · R$940M total across 3 segments · Q1 2025

  • Undergraduate
    R$827M
  • Continuing Education
    R$71.1M
  • Medical Practice Solutions
    R$41.7M

Forward guidance

Management reaffirmed FY 2025 guidance: net revenue R$3.67–3.77 billion, adjusted EBITDA R$1.62–1.72 billion, and CAPEX R$250–290 million.

Tailwinds

  • 100% occupancy in integrated medical schools after strong intake
  • FUNIC acquisition expands presence in Belo Horizonte metro area

Headwinds

  • Higher tax rate from OECD Pillar Two CSLL provision of R$23.2M in Q1

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.2%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

11 / 21 earnings

Positive

+8.9%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-20.8%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.4%+1.6%+3.4%
Q3 2026+1.2%+2.2%+0.7%
Q2 2025+3.4%+0.2%+4.6%
Q1 2025-3.3%-2.1%-9.7%
Q3 2024-7.8%-6.2%-10.7%
Q2 2024-1.8%-2.4%-14.1%
Q1 2024-1.9%+0.2%-13.1%
Q4 2023+3.3%+2.2%-18.9%
Q3 2023+3.3%+8.6%+22.1%
Q1 2023+7.3%+6.8%+16.6%
Q4 2022-8.5%-1.9%+11.0%
Q3 2022-4.5%-3.7%+2.2%
Q4 2021-9.4%-7.3%+0.8%
Q3 2021-10.9%-2.7%+0.5%
Q1 2021+8.5%+9.2%+24.2%
Q4 2020+6.3%+7.1%+4.7%
Q3 2020-0.7%-2.8%-0.7%
Q1 2020+8.9%+9.9%+26.3%
Q4 2019+6.4%+5.9%-4.1%
Q3 2019+3.5%+6.5%-1.5%
Q2 2019-20.8%-22.3%-19.7%
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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