NASDAQ$ADTN

ADTRAN Holdings Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. reported preliminary financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year ended December 31, 2024.

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. reported a revenue of $242.9 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, showing a 7% sequential increase and exceeding the mid-point of their outlook. The company achieved a GAAP gross margin of 37.6% and a non-GAAP gross margin of 42.0%. Operating margin improved sequentially on both GAAP and non-GAAP bases, also above the mid-point of outlook. The company reported a GAAP diluted loss per share of $0.58 and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.00.

  • Revenue for Q4 2024 was $242.9 million, up 7% sequentially and above the mid-point of outlook.
  • GAAP gross margin was 37.6%, and non-GAAP gross margin was 42.0%.
  • Operating margin improved sequentially on both GAAP and non-GAAP bases, exceeding the mid-point of outlook.
  • GAAP diluted loss per share was $0.58, while non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $0.00.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$243M

Previous: $225M+7.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.00

Previous: -$1.09+100.0%
GAAP Gross Margin

37.6%

No prior period
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

42.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$14.9M

Previous: -$9.45M-58.2%
Net Income

-$43.5M

Previous: -$110M+60.4%
Operating Income

-$15.1M

Previous: -$37.6M+59.8%
Gross Profit

$91.2M

Previous: $78.5M+16.3%
R&D Expense

$46.7M

Previous: $51.1M-8.6%

Revenue & EPS history

ADTRAN · Revenue · Quarterly

$243M

Q4 2024+7.7%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 4 of 14 quarters(29%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADTRAN · $272M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Network Solutions
    $229M-25.0%
  • Services & Support
    $43.8M+22.4%

Forward guidance

For the first quarter of 2025, ADTRAN Holdings expects revenue to be within a range of $237.5 million to $252.5 million, and non-GAAP operating margin is expected to be within a range of 0% to 4%.

Tailwinds

  • Expectation of higher revenue in Q1 2025, overcoming typical seasonality.
  • Market conditions continued to improve during Q4 2024.
  • Higher service provider spending noted.
  • Lower customer inventories observed.
  • Continuing shift away from high-risk vendors and secular trend of increased fiber access and optical transport.

Headwinds

  • Non-GAAP operating margin guidance excludes certain items, including continued restructuring expenses.
  • The company is unable to quantitatively predict the impact of certain adjustments on GAAP financial results.
  • Difficulty in predicting the timing and amounts of various items within a reasonable range.
  • Materiality of excluded items could have a significant impact on GAAP financial results.
  • Typical seasonality in Q1, though expected to be overcome by other positive trends.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

30 / 68 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-26.1%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-16.4%-18.4%-5.7%
Q4 2025-6.3%-7.6%+21.0%
Q3 2025-24.1%-23.6%-18.1%
Q1 2025-3.4%+7.7%+1.0%
Q4 2024-0.4%+0.2%-16.1%
Q3 2024+22.0%+32.0%+36.2%
Q2 2024-23.0%-21.4%-14.3%
Q1 2024+13.7%+15.2%+12.9%
Q4 2023+2.1%+0.2%-13.2%
Q3 2023-26.1%-25.5%-16.6%
Q2 2023-19.2%-11.2%-7.5%
Q1 2023+0.6%-4.1%+7.2%
Q4 2022-2.7%+1.9%-12.8%
Q3 2022-1.4%-4.2%-7.1%
Q2 2022-5.3%-2.2%-7.0%
Q1 2022-5.2%-1.6%+8.8%
Q4 2021+4.7%+8.3%+2.8%
Q3 2021+4.2%+12.0%+7.3%
Q2 2021-1.9%+6.7%-7.1%
Q1 2021+3.8%+15.6%+21.1%
Q4 2020-5.4%-1.8%+1.5%
Q3 2020+4.5%+14.0%+19.4%
Q2 2020-5.7%-5.8%-18.7%
Q1 2020+15.7%+6.0%+14.3%
Q4 2019+0.3%-11.4%-14.4%
Q3 2019-8.1%-0.5%-4.2%
Q2 2019-23.0%-27.4%-31.7%
Q1 2019+12.9%+18.7%+10.2%
Q4 2018+15.1%+24.7%+23.9%
Q3 2018-12.0%-19.2%-19.2%
Q2 2018+0.3%+3.1%+2.8%
Q1 2018-3.9%-5.5%-5.1%
Q4 2017-4.3%-13.8%-16.7%
Q3 2017-6.9%-8.5%-12.3%
Q2 2017+7.3%+13.7%+4.9%
Q1 2017+2.9%+2.1%+0.5%
Q4 2016+2.0%-0.4%-2.5%
Q3 2016+10.2%+5.5%+10.2%
Q2 2016-2.9%-8.5%-8.4%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015+2.9%
Q3 2015-8.0%
Q2 2015-4.8%
Q1 2015-13.6%
Q4 2014+2.2%
Q3 2014+2.5%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q1 2014-4.7%
Q4 2013+9.7%
Q3 2013-6.8%
Q2 2013-6.2%
Q1 2013+17.1%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012-17.1%
Q1 2012-0.8%
Q4 2008-10.8%
Q4 2011-10.8%
Q3 2011+1.3%
Q2 2011-1.1%
Q1 2010+1.9%
Q1 2011-2.8%
Q4 2010+1.8%
Q3 2009+0.9%
Q3 2010+0.9%
Q2 2009-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q4 2009-0.6%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro