NASDAQ$ADTN

ADTRAN Holdings Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported third quarter results, which included revenue of $272.3 million and sequential improvements in GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses, and announced a business efficiency program.

ADTRAN Holdings reported Q3 2023 revenue of $272.3 million. The company is implementing a business efficiency program targeting a reduction of non-GAAP operating expenses of approximately $90 million for the year 2024 as compared to 2023.

  • Q3 revenue at $272.3 million with sequential improvement in GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses
  • 15% projected reduction in non-GAAP operating expenses in Q4 2023 as compared to Q3 2023
  • Targeting positive non-GAAP operating margin for the second quarter 2024
  • Expected reduction of non-GAAP operating expenses of approximately $90 million for the year 2024 as compared to 2023

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$272M

Previous: $341M-20.1%
EPS (adj)

-$0.14

Previous: $0.11-227.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$33.7M

Previous: -$10.1M-232.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$106M

Previous: -$52.1M-104.3%
Net Income

-$72.7M

Previous: -$41.9M-73.5%
Operating Income

-$89.3M

Previous: -$48M-86.0%
Gross Profit

$74.2M

Previous: $103M-27.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$116M

Previous: $111M+4.5%
Total Assets

$1.74B

Previous: $1.84B-5.2%
R&D Expense

$62.8M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$4.13M

Previous: $12.1M-66.0%

Revenue & EPS history

ADTRAN · Revenue · Quarterly

$272M

Q3 2023-20.1%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 4 of 14 quarters(29%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADTRAN · $272M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Network Solutions
    $229M-25.0%
  • Services & Support
    $43.8M+22.4%

Forward guidance

The outlook for the fourth quarter 2023 includes revenue to be between $210 million and $240 million, and non-GAAP operating margin between negative 7% and 0%.

Tailwinds

  • Significant cost efficiency program targeting a reduction of non-GAAP operating expenses of approximately $90 million for the year 2024 as compared to 2023
  • Projected $15 million reduction in non-GAAP operating expenses for the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to the third quarter of 2023
  • Capital efficiency program includes a site consolidation plan that management expects to generate proceeds up to $150 million
  • Suspension of the quarterly dividend
  • Aiming to lower costs by $90 million by the end of 2024 as compared to 2023

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty around the current macro-economic environment
  • Customer inventory levels
  • Impact on customer spending levels
  • Anticipate that the ongoing uncertainty affecting customer spending will extend into 2024
  • Environment has proven to be very challenging

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

30 / 68 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-26.1%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-16.4%-18.4%-5.7%
Q4 2025-6.3%-7.6%+21.0%
Q3 2025-24.1%-23.6%-18.1%
Q1 2025-3.4%+7.7%+1.0%
Q4 2024-0.4%+0.2%-16.1%
Q3 2024+22.0%+32.0%+36.2%
Q2 2024-23.0%-21.4%-14.3%
Q1 2024+13.7%+15.2%+12.9%
Q4 2023+2.1%+0.2%-13.2%
Q3 2023-26.1%-25.5%-16.6%
Q2 2023-19.2%-11.2%-7.5%
Q1 2023+0.6%-4.1%+7.2%
Q4 2022-2.7%+1.9%-12.8%
Q3 2022-1.4%-4.2%-7.1%
Q2 2022-5.3%-2.2%-7.0%
Q1 2022-5.2%-1.6%+8.8%
Q4 2021+4.7%+8.3%+2.8%
Q3 2021+4.2%+12.0%+7.3%
Q2 2021-1.9%+6.7%-7.1%
Q1 2021+3.8%+15.6%+21.1%
Q4 2020-5.4%-1.8%+1.5%
Q3 2020+4.5%+14.0%+19.4%
Q2 2020-5.7%-5.8%-18.7%
Q1 2020+15.7%+6.0%+14.3%
Q4 2019+0.3%-11.4%-14.4%
Q3 2019-8.1%-0.5%-4.2%
Q2 2019-23.0%-27.4%-31.7%
Q1 2019+12.9%+18.7%+10.2%
Q4 2018+15.1%+24.7%+23.9%
Q3 2018-12.0%-19.2%-19.2%
Q2 2018+0.3%+3.1%+2.8%
Q1 2018-3.9%-5.5%-5.1%
Q4 2017-4.3%-13.8%-16.7%
Q3 2017-6.9%-8.5%-12.3%
Q2 2017+7.3%+13.7%+4.9%
Q1 2017+2.9%+2.1%+0.5%
Q4 2016+2.0%-0.4%-2.5%
Q3 2016+10.2%+5.5%+10.2%
Q2 2016-2.9%-8.5%-8.4%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015+2.9%
Q3 2015-8.0%
Q2 2015-4.8%
Q1 2015-13.6%
Q4 2014+2.2%
Q3 2014+2.5%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q1 2014-4.7%
Q4 2013+9.7%
Q3 2013-6.8%
Q2 2013-6.2%
Q1 2013+17.1%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012-17.1%
Q1 2012-0.8%
Q4 2008-10.8%
Q4 2011-10.8%
Q3 2011+1.3%
Q2 2011-1.1%
Q1 2010+1.9%
Q1 2011-2.8%
Q4 2010+1.8%
Q3 2009+0.9%
Q3 2010+0.9%
Q2 2009-0.6%
Q2 2010-0.6%
Q4 2009-0.6%

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