ASX$CODQL

Coronado Global Resources Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Coronado delivered record revenues and price realisations, distributing US$470 million in cash dividends to shareholders while maintaining a strong balance sheet.

Coronado reported strong Q3 results with improvements in production and sales volumes compared to the prior quarter. The company delivered record revenues and price realizations, distributing US$470 million in cash dividends. However, operations were impacted by unseasonal wet weather and global economic circumstances, leading to revised full-year production and cost guidance.

  • Delivered record revenues and price realisations.
  • Distributed US$470 million in cash dividends to shareholders.
  • Maintained a strong balance sheet, high liquidity levels and retained a net cash position.
  • Production and sales volumes increased compared to the prior June quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

A$875M

Previous: A$574M+52.5%
EPS (adj)

A$0.90

Previous: A$0.57+57.9%
Capital Expenditures

A$54.1M

Previous: A$17.6M+207.3%
Free Cash Flow

A$373M

Previous: A$96.6M+286.2%
Net Income

A$151M

Previous: A$82M+83.7%
Gross Profit

A$489M

Previous: A$264M+85.2%
Cash & Equivalents

A$699M

Previous: A$196M+256.5%
Total Assets

A$2.8B

Previous: A$2.2B+27.4%
Stock-Based Comp

A$289K

Previous: A$139K+107.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Coronado · Revenue · Quarterly

A$875M

Q3 2022+52.5%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 11 quarters(91%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Coronado · A$2.17B total across 4 segments · Q4 2019

  • Curragh
    A$1.43B-1.3%
  • Buchanan
    A$405M-20.6%
  • Logan
    A$286M+23.0%
  • Greenbrier
    A$53.3M-20.6%

Forward guidance

Coronado has revised its production and cost guidance for fiscal year 2022 due to the impacts of wet weather and global inflationary pressures. Saleable production guidance is revised to between 16.9 and 17.1 million tonnes, and average mining cost guidance is revised to between $81 and $83 per tonne.

Tailwinds

  • North American annual contract negotiations for fiscal year 2023 are largely complete, with a volume-weighted average price of approximately $201 per metric tonne FOR.
  • Fixed price met and thermal tonnages are expected to cover approximately 90% of anticipated US mine cost and royalties for the year 2023.
  • Coronado expects met coal prices to remain elevated and well above historical averages.
  • The company's unique geographical diversification allows it to switch products into different geographical markets or market segments that provides the highest return.
  • Planned sales of approximately 410,000 tonnes into the thermal market in quarter four of 2022.

Headwinds

  • Saleable production guidance for fiscal year 2022 is revised to between 16.9 and 17.1 million tonnes due to wet weather.
  • Average mining cost guidance for fiscal year 2022 is revised to between $81 and $83 per tonne due to inflationary pressures, wet weather impacts, and geological issues.
  • Inflation levels in both the US and Australia remained elevated at 8.2% and 7.3% respectively.
  • Global economic environment and steel demand outlook remains subdued due to the conflict in Ukraine, the resulting energy crisis in Europe, and high inflation rates.
  • The company is still subject and at risk for additional well-above-average rain.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 18 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+41.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+51.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+42.6%

Avg return

30 days after

6%

1 / 18 earnings

Positive

+844.0%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-38.9%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+0.0%+0.0%-3.3%
Q3 2024+0.0%+0.0%-8.3%
Q2 2024+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%
Q1 2024+0.0%+0.0%-6.7%
Q4 2023-26.9%+0.0%-21.3%
Q3 2023+0.0%-1.9%-1.9%
Q2 2023+0.0%-14.4%-9.6%
Q1 2023-28.3%-1.8%-20.5%
Q4 2022-38.9%-5.1%-5.8%
Q3 2022+0.0%+0.0%+12.8%
Q2 2022+844.0%+964.0%+804.0%
Q1 2022+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%
Q4 2021+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%
Q3 2021+0.0%+1.2%-1.2%
Q2 2021-11.1%-11.1%-11.1%
Q1 2021+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%
Q4 2020+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%
Q3 2020+0.0%+0.0%+39.7%
Q2 2020
Q1 2019
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
Q4 2018
Q2 2019

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