NYSE$ZWS

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong Q3 2023 results, demonstrating successful integration and strategic growth investments.

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions reported a decrease in net sales by 5% to $398 million. However, the company's adjusted EBITDA margin improved significantly, reaching 24.1%, and adjusted EPS increased to $0.29. The company also raised its free cash flow outlook to approximately $230 million for the year.

  • Net sales decreased 5% to $398 million.
  • Net income from continuing operations was $35 million, with diluted EPS of $0.20.
  • Adjusted EPS was $0.29, compared to $0.26 in the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $96 million, representing 24.1% of net sales.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$398M

Previous: $418M-4.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.29

Previous: $0.26+11.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$4.8M

Previous: -$4.3M-11.6%
Free Cash Flow

$41.4M

Previous: -$23.4M+276.9%
Net Income

$41.4M

Previous: -$19.1M+316.8%
Operating Income

$60.1M

Previous: -$10.1M+695.0%
Gross Profit

$170M

Previous: $140M+21.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$173M

Previous: $71.9M+140.8%
Total Assets

$2.81B

Previous: $2.93B-3.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$10M

Previous: $7.8M+28.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Zurn Elkay · Revenue · Quarterly

$398M

Q3 2023-4.6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company expects fourth-quarter sales to be around $351 million, implying approximately 6% proforma core organic growth. The adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be between 23.0% and 23.5%. The full-year outlook is $1.525 billion in sales and an adjusted EBITDA of $336 million to $338 million. The outlook for free cash flow is raised to $230 million.

Tailwinds

  • Fourth quarter sales expected to be around $351 million.
  • Implies ~6% proforma core organic growth over the prior year fourth quarter
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin between 23.0% and 23.5% for the fourth quarter.
  • Full year outlook to $1.525 billion
  • Free cash flow outlook increased to $230 million.

Headwinds

  • Based on demand trends as we exited the third quarter and the month of October
  • Market has more uncertainty in it than any point over the past year.
  • Not to say we won’t be impacted by the market
  • Our actual results may be materially impacted by events for which information is not available, such as asset impairments, purchase accounting effects related to future acquisitions, future restructuring actions, last-in first-out inventory adjustments, gains (losses) recognized on the disposal of tangible and intangible assets, gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt, actuarial gains (losses) on our defined benefit plans, and other gains (losses) related to events or conditions not yet known.
  • Consequently, we have not included incremental gains or (losses) for these items in our forward-looking guidance since that information is not reasonably available.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

62%

36 / 58 earnings

Positive

+13.5%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-18.5%

Q1 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+9.4%+10.1%+0.1%
Q4 2025+10.0%+11.6%+0.7%
Q3 2025+3.6%+2.2%+3.6%
Q1 2025+4.9%+8.3%+14.1%
Q4 2024-3.3%-3.6%-10.2%
Q3 2024-0.4%+2.8%+10.0%
Q2 2024+0.7%-5.3%+0.0%
Q1 2024+0.1%-1.2%-1.1%
Q4 2023+6.4%+3.3%+2.7%
Q3 2023+5.0%+9.9%+13.0%
Q2 2023+6.6%+11.4%+5.6%
Q1 2023-4.5%+0.7%+3.7%
Q4 2022+8.0%+4.3%+0.0%
Q3 2022-8.1%-5.8%+2.6%
Q2 2022-8.9%-6.9%-2.6%
Q1 2022-7.1%-10.3%-20.4%
Q4 2021+4.9%+0.7%+8.7%
Q3 2021-1.1%-0.3%+2.1%
Q2 2021+9.2%+8.7%+22.4%
Q1 2021+1.6%+2.8%+5.9%
Q4 2020+13.5%+11.7%+18.6%
Q3 2020-4.1%-0.0%+19.5%
Q2 2020-1.2%-5.4%-2.7%
Q1 2020-9.4%-13.5%+22.0%
Q4 2019+1.4%+0.5%+4.5%
Q3 2019+5.3%+6.1%+9.1%
Q2 2019+11.0%+17.3%+15.3%
Q1 2019-0.9%-0.7%+2.8%
Q4 2018-1.2%+0.6%+4.0%
Q3 2018+4.5%-2.9%-0.2%
Q2 2018-2.2%-1.9%-4.0%
Q1 2018+0.4%-0.6%+0.5%
Q4 2017-0.3%-0.3%+1.2%
Q3 2017-1.1%+1.9%+4.6%
Q2 2017-11.7%-6.2%+3.7%
Q1 2017+2.5%+0.5%+10.7%
Q4 2016-3.1%
Q3 2016+2.8%
Q2 2016+10.4%
Q1 2016+2.6%
Q4 2015-6.6%
Q3 2015+1.6%
Q2 2015-3.8%
Q1 2015+0.8%
Q4 2014-4.5%
Q3 2014-4.3%
Q2 2014+6.1%
Q1 2014+4.7%
Q4 2013+5.4%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q3 2012+3.5%
Q2 2013+1.6%
Q1 2012-18.5%
Q1 2013+1.6%
Q4 2012+2.6%
Q4 2011+2.6%
Q2 2012+2.6%
Q4 2010+2.6%

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